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Forums - Sales - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

Fight-the-Streets on 09 May 2026
Zippy6 said:
Fight-the-Streets said:

The price increase of the Switch 2 will help the Switch 1!

The price increase for the Switch 1 models is bigger than the price increase for the Switch 2. Proportionally the price gap between SW1 and SW2 has shrunk.

Heck the increase for the OG and Lite models is bigger than the 30% increase PS5/XSX have had since launch.
The Switch is only receiving a price increase in Japan, the only place where there hadn't been a price hike until now. Furthermore, percentage price increases can be deceptive. If I raise the price of an item from USD 2 to 4, that’s a massive 100% increase, yet it’s still not a lot of money. If, on the other hand, I increase a USD 1,000 item by 20%, that’s a substantial USD 200!

The same logic applies to more affordable consoles like the Switch family. Their price increases in Japan might be higher in percentage terms than those of the PS5/XSX. However, that doesn't change the fact that the Switch family remains significantly cheaper in hard currency.
Last edited by Fight-the-Streets - on 10 May 2026

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XtremeBG on 09 May 2026
tak13 said:

Something very odd happened with past quarter shipments.
They were 210k in Japan, while it had sold 260k units in that trimester.
Hence, Shipping rate is lower than demand (it's not overshipped, it faced supply issues in February).

I wonder if that is somehow connected to the price increase itself, since it's only there.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

CosmicSex on 09 May 2026
Soundwave said:

160 is easy to hit, it's just whether or not Nintendo wants to do it or not.

Switch 1 has a perfectly reasonable justification to exist ... what the hell are parents of younger kids supposed to buy? A $500 Switch 2 is overkill for a 8 year old, so is a PS5.

If console makers are not going to offer anything affordable for the entry level/kids market you're just driving that audience straight to smartphone/tablet gaming.

 

Isn't it cheaper to just give your kid your Switch/Switch Lite?  I think its safe to assume that most people getting a Switch 2 like myself already own a Switch. And given the fact that the Switch is more expensive now than ever it just makes more sense.



EricHiggin on 09 May 2026
FarleyMcFirefly said:

The more time goes on, the more prices increase, the more baffled I get that they haven't had a budget tv only model.

Meanwhile you've got Apple dropping great budget laptops. Everything is becoming backwards from what would be expected.

I guess this is really what they meant by the "new normal".



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.

Ashadelo on 09 May 2026

Not sure who made this, but its a very clean chart



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loy310 on 09 May 2026

There’s been a significant drop of 65% year-over-year. At this rate, they’ll only sell around 1.3 million to 1.5 million units in 2027, bringing the total to 157.4 million.

Based on this assumption, it’s unlikely that the console will ever reach 160 million units. I expect it to peak at 158 million units.

Here’s a breakdown of the sales projections:

- Year 11: 1.33 million units

- Year 12: 0.4655 million units

- Year 13: 0.1629 million units

- Year 14: 0.057 million units

Even though the console will be on the market for a year longer than Sony’s best selling console, it will still fall short by nearly 2 million units.


For anyone that needs to hears it straight from Sony on their console sales figures.

https://sonyinteractive.com/en/our-company/business-data-sales/

Last edited by loy310 - on 11 May 2026

XtremeBG on 09 May 2026
Ashadelo said:

Not sure who made this, but its a very clean chart
@ShadowLink93 
loy310 said:

There’s been a significant drop of 65% year-over-year. At this rate, they’ll only sell around 1.3 million to 1.5 million units in 2027, bringing the total to 157.4 million.

Based on this assumption, it’s unlikely that the console will ever reach 160 million units. I expect it to peak at 158 million units.

Here’s a breakdown of the sales projections:

- Year 11: 1.33 million units

- Year 12: 0.4655 million units

- Year 13: 0.1629 million units

- Year 14: 0.057 million units

Even though the console will be on the market for a year longer than Sony’s best selling console, it will still fall short by nearly 2 million units.

Therefore, the old saying of " ooh Switch sold so much more for 8 years " and " this is a sprint not a marathon " will be invalid or at least will be flipped, since by discontinuation, the other console can be the one with shorter life, and the point will be the opposite " the other console has sold more for 13 years, than what Switch sold in 14 years "

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 09 May 2026

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

angrypoolman on 09 May 2026
XtremeBG said:
Ashadelo said:

Not sure who made this, but its a very clean chart

@ShadowLink93 
loy310 said:

There’s been a significant drop of 65% year-over-year. At this rate, they’ll only sell around 1.3 million to 1.5 million units in 2027, bringing the total to 157.4 million.

Based on this assumption, it’s unlikely that the console will ever reach 160 million units. I expect it to peak at 158 million units.

Here’s a breakdown of the sales projections:

- Year 11: 1.33 million units

- Year 12: 0.4655 million units

- Year 13: 0.1629 million units

- Year 14: 0.057 million units

Even though the console will be on the market for a year longer than Sony’s best selling console, it will still fall short by nearly 2 million units.

Therefore, the old saying of " ooh Switch sold so much more for 8 years " and " this is a sprint not a marathon " will be invalid or at least will be flipped, since by discontinuation, the other console can be the one with shorter life, and the point will be the opposite " the other console has sold more for 13 years, than what Switch sold in 14 years "

The other console actually sold 155 point whatever since thats what the number has been for eons, at least for as long as i can remember. All the sudden one day some other console just says its 160 now, we all have to just nod our heads and agree and not question anything. 

In my view, switch is already the champion and anything they cell this year is icing because theyve already passed the milestoone as far as im concerned. There is no other console that has claimed to have sold 160 million units who has sold more units than switch and thats a fact. 



Total Championships: Nintendo - 4, Sony - 2, Atari - 1, Microsoft - 0, Sega - 0

XtremeBG on 09 May 2026
angrypoolman said:
The other console actually sold 155 point whatever since thats what the number has been for eons, at least for as long as i can remember. All the sudden one day some other console just says its 160 now, we all have to just nod our heads and agree and not question anything. 

In my view, switch is already the champion and anything they cell this year is icing because theyve already passed the milestoone as far as im concerned. There is no other console that has claimed to have sold 160 million units who has sold more units than switch and thats a fact. 

Cope.

Go read the comments on @Norion here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/467766/switch-2-ships-1986-million-units-as-of-march-2026-switch-1-ships-15592-million/



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

wohufana on 09 May 2026
loy310 said:

There’s been a significant drop of 65% year-over-year. At this rate, they’ll only sell around 1.3 million to 1.5 million units in 2027, bringing the total to 157.4 million.

Based on this assumption, it’s unlikely that the console will ever reach 160 million units. I expect it to peak at 158 million units.

Here’s a breakdown of the sales projections:

- Year 11: 1.33 million units

- Year 12: 0.4655 million units

- Year 13: 0.1629 million units

- Year 14: 0.057 million units

Even though the console will be on the market for a year longer than Sony’s best selling console, it will still fall short by nearly 2 million units.

There are many of you who say that. But remember, Switch 2 was not in the market for the first half of 2025 so it still sold a lot back then. The best comparison on Switch's year-over-year performance will be in July 2026 onwards. Switch sold 251,728 that time. Do you think Switch will sell only 88,105 in July to justify your 65% year-over-year drop narrative? Suppose that it falls to 50%, that is 126,000. But January-April data showed otherwise because it consistently sold 180,000-190,000.

Last edited by wohufana - on 10 May 2026