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Forums - Sales - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

XtremeBG said:
angrypoolman said:
The other console actually sold 155 point whatever since thats what the number has been for eons, at least for as long as i can remember. All the sudden one day some other console just says its 160 now, we all have to just nod our heads and agree and not question anything. 

In my view, switch is already the champion and anything they cell this year is icing because theyve already passed the milestoone as far as im concerned. There is no other console that has claimed to have sold 160 million units who has sold more units than switch and thats a fact. 

Cope.

Go read the comments on @Norion here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/467766/switch-2-ships-1986-million-units-as-of-march-2026-switch-1-ships-15592-million/

lol the "cope" stuff is funny everyone including you knows damn well the Switch would wipe the floor with 160 mill easy if it had any kind of normal year end cycle that any of the successful 90s/2000s consoles had, like a price cut (or two or three or four price cuts like the PS2 needed). 

If you give the Switch even one price cut and let it sell for 12 years it would hit 165+ million without much fuss. 



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Soundwave said:

lol the "cope" stuff is funny everyone including you knows damn well the Switch would wipe the floor with 160 mill easy if it had any kind of normal year end cycle that any of the successful 90s/2000s consoles had, like a price cut (or two or three or four price cuts like the PS2 needed). 

If you give the Switch even one price cut and let it sell for 12 years it would hit 165+ million without much fuss. 

The "ifs" are unlimited for every system and for every thing in life. And honestly pointless too. So.. stop the bullshit. Only the end result matters. With "ifs" we can make 3 more threads long as this one.

For example, if the other console could be used as a handheld, its sales would be so much more. (Let alone the fact you compare it to other consoles, but only talk about the advantages that Switch didn't got, without including the ones that got .. such as selling for more than 8 years as the only one major console, unlike any other, going through pandemic, unlike any other, having cheaper model by 100$ unlike most of the other ones, covering two markets at once which is a lot more potential for sales than only covering one - home and handheld again, unlike any other, and more .. but that is a long discussion, that was already discussed here and elsewhere in the last few years, so I am not going to get into it now).

To summarize, if we go the way of "if it was that it would be that" just like you could reach new highs (as you did there) you can also use "ifs" for negative things and reach lows as well. That goes both ways. And that goes for each other system as well. You can stretch system that has sold 87M, threw some ifs in there and make it reach 120-130M, you can do it on a system with 117M and stretch it to 150M. You can do it even on a system that did 13M, and do like 30M. And you can also put some negative "ifs" in a system's life and lower it's total number by a lot. As I said, all of this is pointless. The end result is the only thing that it matters. Of course, with the right factors, each system (not only Switch) can reach 160, 180, 200 and even 300M.

And by the way, no, the system did not "needed" those price cuts. It was selling okay even before each one of them, it wasn't falling of a cliff, to say that it "needed" them. By that logic, Switch needed those 2 extra years more as the major console from Nintendo, to reach what it reached. Without them it would've done a lot lower.

You (and others) needs to understand that no one is doubting the potential of what is possible, but what will the final result in reality be.. If I had wings, I would fly. But I don't.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 10 May 2026

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Fight-the-Streets said:
Zippy6 said:

The price increase for the Switch 1 models is bigger than the price increase for the Switch 2. Proportionally the price gap between SW1 and SW2 has shrunk.

Heck the increase for the OG and Lite models is bigger than the 30% increase PS5/XSX have had since launch.

Furthermore, percentage price increases can be deceptive. If I raise the price of an item from USD 2 to 4, that’s a massive 100% increase, yet it’s still not a lot of money. If, on the other hand, I increase a USD 1,000 item by 20%, that’s a substantial USD 200!
The same logic applies to more affordable consoles like the Switch family. Their price increases in Japan might be higher in percentage terms than those of the PS5/XSX. However, that doesn't change the fact that the Switch family remains significantly cheaper in hard currency.

Percentage wise is exactly how you should look at price changes. An entry level GPU increasing from $299 to $399 would be a massive deal, a high-end GPU going from $1199 to $1299 hardly matters by comparison.

Looking from the opposite direction it's the same. If a $299 product goes on sale for $199 that's a great deal and people will be flocking to the stores for it, if a $999 product goes on sale for $899 that's barely a saving and will attract much less interest.

Looking at flat numbers isn't the way to do it. The base price of the product matters.

A cheap product increasing by $100 is going to have a far bigger negative effect on sales than an expensive product going up by $100. It's all about percentage.



Zippy6 said:
Fight-the-Streets said:
Furthermore, percentage price increases can be deceptive. If I raise the price of an item from USD 2 to 4, that’s a massive 100% increase, yet it’s still not a lot of money. If, on the other hand, I increase a USD 1,000 item by 20%, that’s a substantial USD 200!
The same logic applies to more affordable consoles like the Switch family. Their price increases in Japan might be higher in percentage terms than those of the PS5/XSX. However, that doesn't change the fact that the Switch family remains significantly cheaper in hard currency.

Percentage wise is exactly how you should look at price changes. An entry level GPU increasing from $299 to $399 would be a massive deal, a high-end GPU going from $1199 to $1299 hardly matters by comparison.

Looking from the opposite direction it's the same. If a $299 product goes on sale for $199 that's a great deal and people will be flocking to the stores for it, if a $999 product goes on sale for $899 that's barely a saving and will attract much less interest.

Looking at flat numbers isn't the way to do it. The base price of the product matters.

A cheap product increasing by $100 is going to have a far bigger negative effect on sales than an expensive product going up by $100. It's all about percentage.

I don’t believe the average consumer knows what the original prices were. We gaming enthusiasts know everything, of course, so you can't really compare the two. But for products you aren't as close to—do you really always know the original prices? Certainly not. When an average consumer is interested in a product, they look at the price, and if the price feels right to them, they might buy it. They don’t go and research the product's price history first. At the moment of purchase, they might not even realize they’re paying more than they would have in the past. But that doesn’t matter because, first, they don’t know, and second, they’ve already decided for themselves that the price is acceptable.

What would the alternative be for families anyway? Instead of a Switch, buy an expensive Switch 2, PS5 or Xbox Series S/X, or maybe a gaming PC or laptop? Probably not. The fact remains that the Switch is still the only somewhat affordable console. We don't even need to mention smartphones; they have been the main driver of growth in the gaming industry for many years.

Despite everything, the Switch Lite still sells worse than the expensive OLED model. Perhaps that will change in the future.


angrypoolman said:
XtremeBG said:
loy310 said:

There’s been a significant drop of 65% year-over-year. At this rate, they’ll only sell around 1.3 million to 1.5 million units in 2027, bringing the total to 157.4 million.

Based on this assumption, it’s unlikely that the console will ever reach 160 million units. I expect it to peak at 158 million units.

Here’s a breakdown of the sales projections:

- Year 11: 1.33 million units

- Year 12: 0.4655 million units

- Year 13: 0.1629 million units

- Year 14: 0.057 million units

Even though the console will be on the market for a year longer than Sony’s best selling console, it will still fall short by nearly 2 million units.

Therefore, the old saying of " ooh Switch sold so much more for 8 years " and " this is a sprint not a marathon " will be invalid or at least will be flipped, since by discontinuation, the other console can be the one with shorter life, and the point will be the opposite " the other console has sold more for 13 years, than what Switch sold in 14 years "

The other console actually sold 155 point whatever since thats what the number has been for eons, at least for as long as i can remember. All the sudden one day some other console just says its 160 now, we all have to just nod our heads and agree and not question anything. 

In my view, switch is already the champion and anything they cell this year is icing because theyve already passed the milestoone as far as im concerned. There is no other console that has claimed to have sold 160 million units who has sold more units than switch and thats a fact. 

I mean…….

https://www.playstation.com/en-gb/playstation-history/2000-ps2-psp/



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Forgive my last post guys i was drunk when i wrote it



Total Championships: Nintendo - 4, Sony - 2, Atari - 1, Microsoft - 0, Sega - 0

Fight-the-Streets said:
What would the alternative be for families anyway? Instead of a Switch, buy an expensive Switch 2, PS5 or Xbox Series S/X, or maybe a gaming PC or laptop? Probably not. The fact remains that the Switch is still the only somewhat affordable console. We don't even need to mention smartphones; they have been the main driver of growth in the gaming industry for many years.

Older game console like 7th or 8th gen, why not ? Or even low end PC/laptop that can play light games, or heavier older ones. Or play on the smartphone you have. Nowadays you can play games on it even if it's old. There is always alternatives.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 10 May 2026

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Soundwave said:
XtremeBG said:

Cope.

Go read the comments on @Norion here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/467766/switch-2-ships-1986-million-units-as-of-march-2026-switch-1-ships-15592-million/

lol the "cope" stuff is funny everyone including you knows damn well the Switch would wipe the floor with 160 mill easy if it had any kind of normal year end cycle that any of the successful 90s/2000s consoles had, like a price cut (or two or three or four price cuts like the PS2 needed). 

If you give the Switch even one price cut and let it sell for 12 years it would hit 165+ million without much fuss. 

Gotta agree with Soundwave here. Nintendo is literally trying to make Switch 1 look less enticing so as to shore consumers to the new NS2 ecosystem. If Nintendo actually let the Switch survive, it would easily clear 160mil. 



trunkswd said:
CourageTCD said:

So... are we gonna have these sales comparison charts after all?

XtremeBG said:

You have it since 2023 But yeah, with official article it will be better, however as far as what I saw it was only a flat line where the console sits - 160M. It would be nice if there can be some estimated chart line in an article. 

PS2 was a generation before we did estimates, so no real way add that. So it will have to only have lifetime sales as a line. But yes I can start doing that as a monthly article for now.

And yes mods I know I shouldn't mention a certain console in this thread, but I was asked about it.

I'm glad we're gonna have these charts. It's good to have a dedicated space to have this discussion, since we can't do this here anymore



firebush03 said:
Soundwave said:

lol the "cope" stuff is funny everyone including you knows damn well the Switch would wipe the floor with 160 mill easy if it had any kind of normal year end cycle that any of the successful 90s/2000s consoles had, like a price cut (or two or three or four price cuts like the PS2 needed). 

If you give the Switch even one price cut and let it sell for 12 years it would hit 165+ million without much fuss. 

Gotta agree with Soundwave here. Nintendo is literally trying to make Switch 1 look less enticing so as to shore consumers to the new NS2 ecosystem. If Nintendo actually let the Switch survive, it would easily clear 160mil. 

Because no one can make a sane case for that. If the Switch 1 had even one price cut it could pass 160 mill easily. EASILY. Everyone knows this too. In virtually any other console generation (Gen 1, gen 2, gen 3, gen 4, gen 5, whatever) the Switch 1 would be $249.99 for the base model, $299.99 for OLED, and $169.99 for the Lite at least and that's still a modest price cut compared to other platforms often being 1/3 to 1/2 the cost by the late stages of their product cycle.