Where does this 16m prediction come from?

Nintendo said 16 million was the current shipping goal for the new fiscal year back around April while Sony said the were expecting to match the last fiscal (which was 15.9 so we just say 16 million).  Since then Nintendo has expressed interest in selling more, but they can commit to more due to the current memory pricing situation.  Sony said the expect to sell whatever they ship and seem to confirm that they have enough stock for the current year.  We assume the situation is similar for Nintendo.   This implies they could sell more if they could make more.  So all else remaining equal it is literally a dead heat.

The scary part is if the rush buy did actually happen and countered a bigger decline (May-July sales may have been noticeably lower). If that's the case, September and October might be really weak. But we still have August to go, and the price increases in the US and especially Europe aren't as big as they were in Japan, so maybe people just aren't bothered and sales will remain steady after the price hike.

I think Switch 2's lineup is quite good so far, but naturally it'll improve over time. The only announced game I'm interested in though (following Metroid Prime 4's disappointing reception) is the OoT remake. Not buying an expensive Switch 2 for a single remake, but I might get one in a few years, or borrow one from a close friend or relative.

Personally, I wouldn't have any rush to buy Switch 2 despite the price increase. The people living in the EU aren't seeing much value proposition in buying S2 right now, that's why sales are weak. With a couple of strong and well reviewed exclusives on GOTY level, the sales could explode. Right now, as a person living in the EU, I see no reason to buy S2 unless I was a fan of Nintendo.

We’re getting reports now that PS5 Pro is starting to sell out after the GTA showcase 😅

The PS5 Pro has been sold out for a while now on Amazon (US), with only 200+ units listed as sold in the last month and the price being $1299 from 3rd party sellers.

Between the base PS5 digital and disc skus, the console moved a combined 10k+ plus in the last month, with Switch 2 still comfortably ahead at 30k+ units.  Though I expect that to change dramatically in the coming months due to GTA6 getting closer and the Switch 2 price hike.

Yeah, although apparently its a supply issue not necessarily reflective of a huge surge in new sales although GTA would definitely provide that. I do wonder whether Sony has enough stock to fully capitalise on GTA's release

Ps5's are starting to sell out here,at a local toy store it says ps5 are sold out...crazy

On nedgames one of the biggest gaming chain store both ps5 and al digital ps5's are sold out...

About 3 months before the damn game comes out.

New poll added, about the PS5 numbers for November due to GTA! Vote now and make your prediction! And if June and July are some indication .. then the boost should've already started. From it's lowest weeks after the price hike of 110-115k in May, to 140-145k in June to 190-205k in July. 

Interesting poll.  While I want to lowball it, I think 4 million is the safest play.   A digital GTA bundle will probably move all available stock and one assumes there will be at least this much stock available.