The west's "FOMO" Switch 2 sales have been abysmal compared to Japan's May. August may be the last chance in a while to buy the Switch 2 cheap. With the Pokopia and FOMO boosts behind, Q4 is not looking good for Nintendo. Hopefully Ocarina is as good or better than we imagine.

I still think/hope Sony's shit PR and decisions will have long term consequences, but I'm surprised at how little they're affecting PS5's trajectory. If Sony makes solid holiday deals again or announce a price hike for Q1 2027 weeks in advance, GTA6 is going to give the PS5 a massive holiday boost (assuming no shortages).

Switch 2 should still win thanks to its current big lead and Japan's December, but maybe not by the wide margin some of us thought.

NS2 really is tanking in EU, my guess is PS5 winning this year.

The "Stop Killing Games" people really aren't putting their money where their mouth is.

What do sales of NS2 in Europe have to do with SKG?   They are fighting for preservation of all games.  They are on anyone's 'side'.

I'm talking of the sales of the PS5 in the EU.

And it will get even more ironic when the PS5 get a big boost in EU because of a code in a box.

I think i misunderstood what you mean when you said the stop killing games people aren't putting their cash where there mouth is.  The policies they are fighting against exist across all  platforms.  I don't think supporting the cause precludes your buying habits.  Also, we may be overestimating its influence over consumers at large.  

Oh that's a good point. S2 sales are very mediocre right now despite the price raise happening soon. Japan, the one place where S2 sales had remained strong ever since launch (up until the price raise at least), had a crazy huge rush to buy the system before price raise, but the west at least through Aug 1 is seeing exactly no extra interest in buying. Maybe when Aug numbers come in we'll see a boost, but the interest just doesn't seem to be there.

And I feel that. I could easily afford a S2, and the time to buy would be now with it about to go up in price and very likely will never be $450 again. But there's nothing on the system yet to make a purchase desired. Not a single must-have game on the system, and the only one coming soon is, as great as OoT is, a 30 year old remake. I'd love to be playing the new 3D Mario next year, but with it not even announced yet I ain't buying an expensive system that I probably wouldn't even get a single game for right now just because the price is about to be raised.

Earlier this year, I predicted a PS5 victory based purely on GTA 6.

After the price hike to over $600, I started to think it would be impossible, but...

It would be absolutely impressive for PS5 to win while costing over $600...

It would be a testament to the strength of PS5, the strength of GTA VI, and the notable fragility of Nintendo's game lineup...

I wasn't aware that Sony gave any projections for shipments this FY.

If they're aiming to essentially be flat YoY, we're looking at a 10M+ holiday, and a new peak quarter for the PS5. It would definitely make this race close after the NS2 officially increases its price in NA/EU.

Yeah I think the exact exception is 15.9 million.  So its effectively tied with Switch 2 expectations.   Both seem interested in shipping more but the current supply chain is absolutely wrecked.