Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

[Kyuu]

Kyuu said:

I mean Nintendo is dominating PR at the moment. And for the first time in a while, Playstation is getting more (deserved) mass-hate than Xbox lol. Couple that with the current trajectory, and it's easy to see Switch 2 dominating this year despite GTA6. However...

If Nintendo decides to adjust up their September price hike by another $50, then the Switch 2 may have a really poor Q4. I just don't think it'll be poor enough to outweigh FOMO sales from the previous months, nor do I see GTA6 cancelling out PS5's poor performance all year. We all saw how insane Switch 2 sales got in Japan prior to the price hike, and we might see something similar in the west before September.

The west's "FOMO" Switch 2 sales have been abysmal compared to Japan's May. August may be the last chance in a while to buy the Switch 2 cheap. With the Pokopia and FOMO boosts behind, Q4 is not looking good for Nintendo. Hopefully Ocarina is as good or better than we imagine.

I still think/hope Sony's shit PR and decisions will have long term consequences, but I'm surprised at how little they're affecting PS5's trajectory. If Sony makes solid holiday deals again or announce a price hike for Q1 2027 weeks in advance, GTA6 is going to give the PS5 a massive holiday boost (assuming no shortages).

Switch 2 should still win thanks to its current big lead and Japan's December, but maybe not by the wide margin some of us thought.