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Forums - Sales - Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

Should I change it to Switch 2 vs everything else combined?

Yes 21 58.33%
 
No 15 41.67%
 
Total:36
XtremeBG on 05 February 2026

PlayStation 5 vs Switch 2 Comparison

Week/Month PS5 - Weekly PS5 - Yearly SW2 - Weekly SW2 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 182,352 182,352 231,125 231,125 +48,773 +48,773
2 150,746 333,098 178,683 409,808 +27,937 +76,710
3 138,568 471,666 166,696 576,504 +28,128 +104,838
4 137,359 609,025 158,491 734,995 +21,132 +125,970
February 153,038 762,063 167,602 902,597 +14,564 +140,534
6 161,455 923,518 164,580 1,067,177 +3,125 +143,659
7 165,457 1,088,975 181,337 1,248,514 +15,880 +159,539
8 192,169 1,281,144 238,516 1,487,030 +46,347 +205,886
March 160,277 1,441,421 438,456 1,925,486 +278,179 +484,065
10 148,806 1,590,227 364,802 2,290,288 +215,996 +700,061
11 155,863 1,746,090 306,373 2,596,661 +150,510 +850,571
12 198,491 1,944,581 268,657 2,865,318 +70,166 +920,737
13 235,477 2,180,058 251,468 3,116,786 +15,991 +936,728
April 145,393 2,325,451 233,165 3,349,951 +87,772 +1,024,500
15 140,447 2,465,898 209,820 3,559,771 +69,373 +1,093,873
16 116,944 2,582,842 202,279 3,762,050 +85,335 +1,179,208
17 113,528 2,696,370 245,129 4,007,179 +131,601 +1,310,809
May 111,058 2,807,428 283,815 4,290,994 +172,757 +1,483,566
19 112,133 2,919,561 376,829 4,667,823 +264,696 +1,748,262
20 114,571 3,034,132 407,350 5,075,173 +292,779 +2,041,041
21 115,930 3,150,062 184,020 5,259,193 +68,090 +2,109,131
June 142,419 3,292,481 198,781 5,457,974 +56,362 +2,165,493
23 142,928 3,435,409 195,968 5,653,942 +53,040 +2,218,533
24 145,390 3,580,799 189,759 5,843,701 +44,369 +2,262,902
25 143,978 3,724,777 205,328 6,049,029 +61,350 +2,324,252
26 146,591 3,871,368 202,959 6,251,988 +56,368 +2,380,620
July 190,882 4,062,250 172,074 6,424,062 -18,808 +2,361,812
28 190,750 4,253,000 159,279 6,583,341 -31,471 +2,330,341
29 198,322 4,451,322 203,768 6,787,109 +5,446 +2,335,787
30 204,148 4,655,470 172,037 6,959,146 -32,111 +2,303,676
August
32
33
34
September
36
37
38
39
October
41
42
43
November
45
46
47
December
49
50
51
52

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Poll before any data for the year was available:

Poll update in the end of March:

Last edited by XtremeBG - 10 hours ago

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Norion on 05 February 2026

Almost surely the Switch 2. It could sell over 5m in Japan alone this year considering it's not even fully fulfilling demand there yet so that would be a gap of over 4m the PS5 would have to make up elsewhere and Europe could make up a lot but not enough. My high end expectation for the PS5 is 16m and my low end one for the Switch 2 is 17m so I expect a gap of about 2-3m between the two. GTA 6 is huge but it's not gonna prevent the PS5 from declining this year, just significantly soften the decline due to giving the PS5 a really strong holiday.

Last edited by Norion - on 05 February 2026

Kyuu on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 would have to royally underperform to not win this. This could've been a lot closer if GTA6 retained its May release date.

But I guess it can still be close-ish in the event it gets a price hike and PS5 doesn't. Remember... Sony increased PS5's price and reduced storage in response to Trump's tariffs and rising SSD prices. Nintendo didn't. But we don't know which one between the two will be affected first by the new RAM problem. If only we can have a quick glance at their contracts...



CosmicSex on 05 February 2026

And here we go!



xl-klaudkil on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict



 

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Ashadelo on 05 February 2026

You forgot the Gabecube some of us like to gamble :D



我是广州人

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026

Switch 2, but I think it will be close. Probably no more than a 2m gap.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 05 February 2026

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026
xl-klaudkil said:

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict

You think Switch 2 is going to outsell Switch 1's 2018 by almost 40%? That would be very impressive lol.

It had a crazy launch but I expect it to be much more similar to SW1 sales patterns going forward, like it was this holiday quarter.



Louie on 05 February 2026

Switch 2. Console sales usually increase in the second year and decline at the end of life. Switch 2 should cross the 20 million units mark and PS5 maybe 15 million? Of course, GTA VI is huge, but the install base is already there and there will be heavy rumors of a PS6 at the end of the year. Switch 2 on the other hand could be kneecapped by a price hike (so could PS5 of course). Crazy times we live in.



Aerys on 05 February 2026

PS5, you people really underestimate the craziness around GTA VI

Considering Switch 2 has no big worldwide system seller announced for this year and the decline in it's sales in Europe and the US these last months, I don't see it selling as good as 2025. Not even talking about the possible price increase hinted by Nintendo.

Sony already announced they are not gonna increase the console price this year



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m