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Forums - Sales - Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

Should I change it to Switch 2 vs everything else combined?

Yes 22 56.41%
 
No 17 43.59%
 
Total:39
Kyuu on 30 July 2026
ConciousMan said:
CosmicSex said:

Sony's quartly report is tomorrow. If it turns out that they simply can't get the supply then we can reevaluate our stances. I think that simply bundling GTA 6 with PS5 is enough to generate the demand necessary to beat the Switch 2. However, it really is a moot point if they can't even procur the RAM and storage needed to build the consoles. We haven't had the luxary of seeing real competition between Nintendo and Sony this gen at all because there are forces outside of the gaming industry that are limiting supply. Covid hit PS5 and advantaged the Switch. The Ram supply is hitting both the PS5 and Switch 2... and admittedly its going to effect Sony more because the PS5 uses more ram and storage. I wish we could have gotten a chance to see both cosoles see to thei fullest ability.

As of last report, Sony said they expect shipments of PS5 to roughly equal those from the last FY. This would roughly be around 16 million units. This roughly matches Nintendo's stated prediction at their last fiscal. If Sony has to shift down due to supply constraints then we will begin to determin what is actually possible. If Nintendo has to then turn around and do something similar on 8/6 or changes their forcast higher as they had hoped to be able to do, that will again inform us as what is actually possible.

If Nintendo releases Metroid Ravenous or 1 2 3 Switch then there's no competition with PlayStation LOL. Of course I am kidding, but seeing that Xboxes are selling at the loss, I don't think Sony will keep current pricing going at $649 when memory prices are going to increase by about 20 to 30% next quarter. It's a game over for cheap consoles and the winner of this race has been decided.

PS5 is the superior design for the price and is probably a lot cheaper to produce than a Series X and not much more expensive than a Series S due in part to Sony's capability of buying/selling at much greater volumes.

We know that PS5 (disc drive edition) made profit at $500/825GB close to launch when Series S (digital only) at $300/512GB couldn't (Xbox Series combined were estimated to have lost around $200 per unit). We know that PS is breaking profit records whereas Xbox is struggling. And we know that PS5 game file sizes are smaller and yet the consoles' base storage is larger, meaning they can choose to offer a 512 GB option and sell it notably cheaper than the current models (825GB, 1TB, and 2TB). They also claimed to have secured enough RAM to cover the entire fiscal year (this was before their latest price hike which caught everyone off guard). I don't think another price hike is happening before January 2027 at the very earliest, but I've been wrong before and nothing surprises me anymore.

But even if Sony doesn't raise the price, and Nintendo adjusts up their September price hike by another $50, I just don't see PS5 beating the Switch 2 this year. For Switch 2 to lose this, the implications are that it already peaked at year 1 (assuming prices won't return to the previous"normal"), and that PS5 will beat its previous holiday season (which was quite strong due to great deals/discounts) by an extent large enough to make up for the big Jan-Oct decline. Basically the stars need to align.

Last edited by Kyuu - on 30 July 2026

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Norion on 31 July 2026

I do think the Switch 2 has this in the bag but something that could make the holidays interesting is if Sony announced in October or November that the PS5 will get another price increase early next year. That would cause quite the holiday boost when combined with GTA 6. In general this year will probably be the last that Sony will actually try to sell a lot of PS5's before letting sales of it tank hard next year after another increase.



Sephiran on 31 July 2026

My guess will be that PS5 outsells Switch 2 in Europe and in some other markets, while Switch 2 will sell more mostly due to outselling PS5 in Japan and NA.



ConciousMan on 31 July 2026
Kyuu said:
ConciousMan said:

If Nintendo releases Metroid Ravenous or 1 2 3 Switch then there's no competition with PlayStation LOL. Of course I am kidding, but seeing that Xboxes are selling at the loss, I don't think Sony will keep current pricing going at $649 when memory prices are going to increase by about 20 to 30% next quarter. It's a game over for cheap consoles and the winner of this race has been decided.

PS5 is the superior design for the price and is probably a lot cheaper to produce than a Series X and not much more expensive than a Series S due in part to Sony's capability of buying/selling at much greater volumes.

We know that PS5 (disc drive edition) made profit at $500/825GB close to launch when Series S (digital only) at $300/512GB couldn't (Xbox Series combined were estimated to have lost around $200 per unit). We know that PS is breaking profit records whereas Xbox is struggling. And we know that PS5 game file sizes are smaller and yet the consoles' base storage is larger, meaning they can choose to offer a 512 GB option and sell it notably cheaper than the current models (825GB, 1TB, and 2TB). They also claimed to have secured enough RAM to cover the entire fiscal year (this was before their latest price hike which caught everyone off guard). I don't think another price hike is happening before January 2027 at the very earliest, but I've been wrong before and nothing surprises me anymore.

But even if Sony doesn't raise the price, and Nintendo adjusts up their September price hike by another $50, I just don't see PS5 beating the Switch 2 this year. For Switch 2 to lose this, the implications are that it already peaked at year 1 (assuming prices won't return to the previous"normal"), and that PS5 will beat its previous holiday season (which was quite strong due to great deals/discounts) by an extent large enough to make up for the big Jan-Oct decline. Basically the stars need to align.

It's hard to tell, but seeing that AMD and Nvidia are raising prices again, I doubt Sony can take more losses on the hardware. Even if they don't raise the price again next quarter, they will have to produce less consoles, which will lead to weaker holiday sales. If by October, the difference between Switch 2 and PS5 is more than 4 millions, then nothing can change the trajectory.



firebush03 on 31 July 2026

For PS5 to win would mean a crash in Switch 2 demand. PS5 is barely over 3M shipped this calendar year, and we’re already halfway through. Unless GTAVI sends console sales into the stratosphere and unless tbe incoming NA price hikes really destroy Nintendo’s holiday sales, I don’t see it happening.



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DarkHunter on 31 July 2026

I can tell you one thing, 2027 Switch 2 will explode. Mario, 2-D Metroid, Pokemon, Xenoblade Genesis. Nothing will be able to compete.



CosmicSex on 31 July 2026
Norion said:

I do think the Switch 2 has this in the bag but something that could make the holidays interesting is if Sony announced in October or November that the PS5 will get another price increase early next year. That would cause quite the holiday boost when combined with GTA 6. In general this year will probably be the last that Sony will actually try to sell a lot of PS5's before letting sales of it tank hard next year after another increase.

Wild theory but possible lol



CosmicSex on 31 July 2026
DarkHunter said:

I can tell you one thing, 2027 Switch 2 will explode. Mario, 2-D Metroid, Pokemon, Xenoblade Genesis. Nothing will be able to compete.

As for 2027, im looking forward to:

FF7:R. (PS5 for me as I can't do 30 FPS)

GoW: L (PS5)

Intergalactic  (PS5)

Mario (NS2. I actually want a 2.5D)

Pokemon (NS2)

Xenoblade: G (NS2 my big NS RPG)

Fable (PS5)

A lo of these games will launch early in the year.  Pokemon is a holiday release for sure... if the PS6 handheld launches next year I am buying it ASAP so that may alter my pics... but all the PS5 games run on it so maybe not.  Actually between no and the end of next year its non stop game releases.



CosmicSex on 31 July 2026
firebush03 said:

For PS5 to win would mean a crash in Switch 2 demand. PS5 is barely over 3M shipped this calendar year, and we’re already halfway through. Unless GTAVI sends console sales into the stratosphere and unless tbe incoming NA price hikes really destroy Nintendo’s holiday sales, I don’t see it happening.

I think the end result will be a lot closer than people expect.  I think the PS5 is gonna sell everything it produces and I also do not believe the price hike will kill demand.  In fact it should boost August demand.  After that demand will fall but we will be close enough to the holiday that it will not really matter..



BonfiresDown on 31 July 2026
XtremeBG said:

It seems big portion of the people voted for the comparison to remains as is. 40% is more than what I would've liked if I was going to change the comparison. Therefore unless the ratio gets at least to 70% - 30% for "yes" I am leaving it as it is. Honestly I can't see how PS5 will catch up to the Switch 2. GTA 6 is strong enough to help it, however the time is less than what it needs in my opinion. If the launch was in September, then sure, it would have a real chance, but in November, this has to be some very very big spike in sales for the second half of November and December for the PS5 to be at least competitive in the end to the Switch 2's total number for the year.

It's not that I think PS5 has a chance to catch up. It's just that whether Switch 2 outsells the other consoles combined doesn't really mean anything to me one way or the other. So I prefer it as it is.