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Forums - Sales Discussion - September 2023 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Estimates Out Now

UK estimates:

PS5 101k
Xbox Series 62k
Switch 32k



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Link to VGChartz article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch 2023 Europe Sales Comparison Charts Through September

Here we see data representing the sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the three current platforms (PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch) and two legacy platforms (PlayStation 4 and Xbox One) over comparable periods for 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023. Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

Market Share (Same Periods Covered)

2020 – (January 2020 to September 2020)

2021 – (January 2021 to September 2021)

2022 – (January 2022 to September 2022)

2023 – (January 2023 to September 2023)

"Year to date" sales for 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 sales are shown in series at the top of the table and then just below a comparison of 2023 versus 2022 and 2023 versus 2021 is displayed.  This provides an easy-to-view summary of all the data.

Total Sales and Market Share for Each Year

Microsoft

  • Xbox Series X|S
    • 1.21 million units sold year-to-date
    • Down year-on-year 149,809 units (-11.0%)

Nintendo

  • Nintendo Switch
    • 2.53 million units sold year-to-date
    • Down year-on-year 172,979 units (-6.4%)

Sony

  • PlayStation 5
    • 4.33 million units sold year-to-date
    • Up year-on-year 2,390,714 units (123.5%)
  • PlayStation 4
    • 0.05 million units sold year-to-date
    • Up year-on-year 1,836 (3.9%)


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Worldwide Hardware Estimates for September 2023

Link to VGChartz article here.

PS5 Sells Over 1.6M, NS Tops 130M Lifetime - Worldwide Hardware Estimates for September 2023

The PlayStation 5 was the best-selling console worldwide with 1,644,955 units sold for September 2023, according to VGChartz estimates. The PlayStation 5 has now sold an estimated 43.87 million units lifetime worldwide.

The Nintendo Switch sold an estimated 996,622 units to bring its lifetime sales to 130.42 million units. The Xbox Series X|S sold 671,715 units to bring their lifetime sales to 23.90 million units. The PlayStation 4 sold an estimated 21,420 units to bring its lifetime sales to 117.13 million units.

PS5 sales compared to the same month for the PS4 in 2016 are up by over 190,000 units, while the Xbox Series X|S compared to the same month for the Xbox One are down by nearly 60,000 units. PS4 sold 1,454,905 units for the month of September 2016 and Xbox One sales were at 731,697 units.

PlayStation 5 sales compared to the same month a year ago are up by 422,133 (34.5%). Xbox Series X|S sales are down by 21,583 units (-3.1%) and Nintendo Switch sales are down by 428,164 units (-30.1%). The PlayStation 4 is up 7,778 units (57.0%) year-over-year.

Looking at sales month-on-month, PlayStation 5 sales are up by nearly 250,000 units, Xbox Series X|S sales are up by nearly 241,000 units, and Nintendo Switch sales are up by over 52,000 units. It should be noted there are five weeks in September, while there were four in August.

2023 year-to-date, the PlayStation 5 has sold an estimated 12.86 million units, the Nintendo Switch has sold 10.03 million units, and the Xbox Series X|S has sold 4.20 million units.

Check out the breakdown of the Americas sales here, the Europe sales here, and the Japan sales here.

Monthly Sales:

Global hardware estimates for September 2023 (Followed by lifetime sales):

  1. PlayStation 5 - 1,644,955 (43,869,431)
  2. Switch - 996,622 (130,419,670)
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 671,715 (23,902,979)
  4. PlayStation 4 - 21,420 (117,132,862)
Americas (US, Canada, Latin America) hardware estimates for September 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 559,658
  2. Xbox Series X|S - 366,131
  3. Switch - 261,118
  4. PlayStation 4 - 8,882
Europe hardware estimates for September 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 633,693
  2. Switch - 224,263
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 193,914
  4. PlayStation 4 - 6,505
Asia (Japan, mainland Asia, Middle East) hardware estimates for September 2023:
  1. Switch - 489,398
  2. PlayStation 5 - 404,825
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 80,843
  4. PlayStation 4 - 5,312
Oceania (Australia and New Zealand) hardware estimates for September 2023:
  1. PlayStation 5 - 46,779
  2. Xbox Series X|S - 30,827
  3. Switch - 21,843
  4. PlayStation 4 - 721

Weekly Sales:

Global September 2, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 360,851
  2. Switch - 216,383
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 148,270
  4. PlayStation 4 - 4,692

Global September  9, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 342,667
  2. Switch - 208,131
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 139,163
  4. PlayStation 4 - 4,472

Global September 16, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 295,332
  2. Switch - 194,019
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 114,945
  4. PlayStation 4 - 3,849

Global September 23, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 310,017
  2. Switch - 197,040
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 129,430
  4. PlayStation 4 - 4,359

Global September 30, 2023 hardware estimates:

  1. PlayStation 5 - 336,088
  2. Switch - 181,049
  3. Xbox Series X|S - 139,907
  4. PlayStation 4 - 4,048
Last edited by trunkswd - on 23 October 2023

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

So .. the Switch finally came to under 200k weekly ..
It hadn't had a week with under 200k since august 2019.


The beginning of the end is obviously here. Now is more clear than ever. To go from peak 300-400k weeks to 180k weeks.. which means (if history is any indication) that there is not much left in the tank. Historically when system goes down close to half what it did on peak years, then the decline is coming pretty fast.
What I am trying to say here is that weeks with around 100k weekly aren't too far off. Switch successor is too not far off, since the decline may even boost the launch sooner than earlier predictions like 2025 spring or even fall 2024.


Historically consoles who've sold 200k+ or even 300k+ weekly, once they get to under 200k, they have about a year of selling between 120/130k and 200k and after that they fall even faster (like PS4, DS, Wii) the only exclusion here is maybe PS2 .. After all US and Europe are considerably down for the system with only Japan doing decent for now .. once Japan starts to fall it's done..


Of course holidays are coming, and Switch will rise back to 200k+ weekly very soon, and more in the last weeks of the year.
However the baseline of Switch's week sales for the next year will be anywhere between 120/130k and 200k. And depends on when the successor will launch and how it will be marketed, it may go to the lower numbers very fast.

And .. now someone will say " of course it's declining it's 7 years old, bla bla. That's not the point. I am saying here that many people wanted and expected and highballing the system to sell over 160M+ but from the looks of things especially with the recent data we are getting the things are going in this direction.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 23 October 2023

My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart

XtremeBG said:

So .. the Switch finally came to under 200k weekly ..
It hadn't had a week with under 200k since august 2019.


The beginning of the end is obviously here. Now is more clear than ever. To go from peak 300-400k weeks to 180k weeks.. which means (if history is any indication) that there is not much left in the tank. Historically when system goes down close to half what it did on peak years, then the decline is coming pretty fast.
What I am trying to say here is that weeks with around 100k weekly aren't too far off. Switch successor is too not far off, since the decline may even boost the launch sooner than earlier predictions like 2025 spring or even fall 2024.


Historically consoles who've sold 200k+ or even 300k+ weekly, once they get to under 200k, they have about a year of selling between 120/130k and 200k and after that they fall even faster (like PS4, DS, Wii) the only exclusion here is maybe PS2 .. After all US and Europe are considerably down for the system with only Japan doing decent for now .. once Japan starts to fall it's done..


Of course holidays are coming, and Switch will rise back to 200k+ weekly very soon, and more in the last weeks of the year.
However the baseline of Switch's week sales for the next year will be anywhere between 120/130k and 200k. And depends on when the successor will launch and how it will be marketed, it may go to the lower numbers very fast.

And .. now someone will say " of course it's declining it's 7 years old, bla bla. That's not the point. I am saying here that many people wanted and expected and highballing the system to sell over 160M+ but from the looks of things especially with the recent data we are getting the things are going in this direction.

I haven't seen many people expecting over 160 million.

The consensus on Switch's lifetime sales has always been a moving target, from many predicting a Wii U like failure at launch and their goal of 100 million being laughed at as impossible, to now when most predictions seem to come in between 140 and 160 million. It's been notoriously hard to predict as it has not behaved like a normal system.

At any rate, I doubt current sales will alter Nintendo's plans; the successor's launch timing has likely been set in stone for some time now, and about the only thing likely to change that is if their slate of software isn't ready in time. 

Every system comes to the end of its natural life eventually; Switch is getting there, but these sales aren't a collapse or anything.



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PS5 is strong as usual though the Starfield boost for the Xbox Series was certainly disappointing if it's down compared to last September even if only slightly and also down compared to the Xbox One. Considering how mixed the reception was for Starfield its legs probably aren't gonna be that good and since most people bought it on PC it's gonna help some but not enough to turn things around at all. There's still three months left to go but unless it ends up being up significantly this holiday season this'll be another weak year hardware wise for Xbox. At least Activision Blizzard games coming to Game Pass next year should help but even if there's a good first party lineup in 2024 it'll be tough for the needle to get moved when they're all coming to PC the same day.

Also after a long boost Switch is returning to normal now and while it should have at least a decent holiday season the sales decline should hasten throughout 2024.



Xbox sales are way too low

Guess Starfield wasn't the big deal we all were expecting



I think that PS5 is a bit undertracked and Switch a bit overtracked considering some leak numbers.



IcaroRibeiro said:

Xbox sales are way too low

Guess Starfield wasn't the big deal we all were expecting

On the Starfield note. As a past Bethesda Fallout/Elder Scrolls enjoyer, who bought multiple Skyrims, bought Fallout 76 and Elder Scrolls Online... I am probably skipping Starfield unless something significant changes. And I certainly am not buying it on XBOX.



A warrior keeps death on the mind from the moment of their first breath to the moment of their last.



XtremeBG said:

So .. the Switch finally came to under 200k weekly ..
It hadn't had a week with under 200k since august 2019.


The beginning of the end is obviously here. Now is more clear than ever. To go from peak 300-400k weeks to 180k weeks.. which means (if history is any indication) that there is not much left in the tank. Historically when system goes down close to half what it did on peak years, then the decline is coming pretty fast.
What I am trying to say here is that weeks with around 100k weekly aren't too far off. Switch successor is too not far off, since the decline may even boost the launch sooner than earlier predictions like 2025 spring or even fall 2024.


Historically consoles who've sold 200k+ or even 300k+ weekly, once they get to under 200k, they have about a year of selling between 120/130k and 200k and after that they fall even faster (like PS4, DS, Wii) the only exclusion here is maybe PS2 .. After all US and Europe are considerably down for the system with only Japan doing decent for now .. once Japan starts to fall it's done..


Of course holidays are coming, and Switch will rise back to 200k+ weekly very soon, and more in the last weeks of the year.
However the baseline of Switch's week sales for the next year will be anywhere between 120/130k and 200k. And depends on when the successor will launch and how it will be marketed, it may go to the lower numbers very fast.

And .. now someone will say " of course it's declining it's 7 years old, bla bla. That's not the point. I am saying here that many people wanted and expected and highballing the system to sell over 160M+ but from the looks of things especially with the recent data we are getting the things are going in this direction.

I'll say that Switch hold out strong sales for longer than I expected, Nintendo really kept it software feed for a long time with titles receiving good reception both from critics and sales with good cadence for most of Switch life. Let's see how Switch 2 or whatever they decide to make as next HW will accomplish.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."