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Forums - Sales - Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

Which one will sell more?

PS5 20 22.47%
 
Switch 2 69 77.53%
 
Total:89
XtremeBG on 05 February 2026

Lay down your predictions.

Switch 2 vs PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month SW2 - Weekly SW2 - Yearly PS5 - Weekly PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 244,025 244,025 225,052 225,052 -18,973 -18,973
2 186,183 430,208 187,246 412,298 +1,063 -17,910
3 171,896 602,104 176,568 588,866 +4,672 -13,238
4 163,691 765,795 171,459 760,325 +7,768 -5,470
February 177,302 943,097 195,698 956,023 +18,396 +12,926
6 176,580 1,119,677 202,855 1,158,878 +26,275 +39,201
7 196,937 1,316,614 205,657 1,364,535 +8,720 +47,921
8 260,616 1,577,230 235,969 1,600,504 -24,647 +23,274
March 473,456 2,050,686 185,777 1,786,281 -287,679 -264,405
10 397,802 2,448,488 172,006 1,958,287 -225,796 -490,201
11 332,973 2,781,461 179,363 2,137,650 -153,610 -643,811
12 289,657 3,071,118 237,191 2,374,841 -52,466 -696,277
13 271,468 3,342,586 268,977 2,643,818 -2,491 -698,768
April
15
16
17
May
19
20
21
June
23
24
25
26
July
28
29
30
August
32
33
34
September
36
37
38
39
October
41
42
43
November
45
46
47
December
49
50
51
52

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Switch 2 vs PlayStation 5 Monthly Comparison

Month SW2 - Monthly SW2 - Yearly PS5 - Monthly PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Monthly (+/-) Lifetime
January 765,795 765,795 760,325 760,325 -5,740 -5,740
February 811,435 1,577,230 840,179 1,600,504 +28,744 +23,004
March 1,765,356 3,342,586 1,043,314 2,643,818 -722,042 -699,038

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Poll before any data for the year was out:

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 22 April 2026

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PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

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Norion on 05 February 2026

Almost surely the Switch 2. It could sell over 5m in Japan alone this year considering it's not even fully fulfilling demand there yet so that would be a gap of over 4m the PS5 would have to make up elsewhere and Europe could make up a lot but not enough. My high end expectation for the PS5 is 16m and my low end one for the Switch 2 is 17m so I expect a gap of about 2-3m between the two. GTA 6 is huge but it's not gonna prevent the PS5 from declining this year, just significantly soften the decline due to giving the PS5 a really strong holiday.

Last edited by Norion - on 05 February 2026

Kyuu on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 would have to royally underperform to not win this. This could've been a lot closer if GTA6 retained its May release date.

But I guess it can still be close-ish in the event it gets a price hike and PS5 doesn't. Remember... Sony increased PS5's price and reduced storage in response to Trump's tariffs and rising SSD prices. Nintendo didn't. But we don't know which one between the two will be affected first by the new RAM problem. If only we can have a quick glance at their contracts...



CosmicSex on 05 February 2026

And here we go!



xl-klaudkil on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict



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Ashadelo on 05 February 2026

You forgot the Gabecube some of us like to gamble :D



我是广州人

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026

Switch 2, but I think it will be close. Probably no more than a 2m gap.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 05 February 2026

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026
xl-klaudkil said:

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict

You think Switch 2 is going to outsell Switch 1's 2018 by almost 40%? That would be very impressive lol.

It had a crazy launch but I expect it to be much more similar to SW1 sales patterns going forward, like it was this holiday quarter.



Louie on 05 February 2026

Switch 2. Console sales usually increase in the second year and decline at the end of life. Switch 2 should cross the 20 million units mark and PS5 maybe 15 million? Of course, GTA VI is huge, but the install base is already there and there will be heavy rumors of a PS6 at the end of the year. Switch 2 on the other hand could be kneecapped by a price hike (so could PS5 of course). Crazy times we live in.



Aerys on 05 February 2026

PS5, you people really underestimate the craziness around GTA VI

Considering Switch 2 has no big worldwide system seller announced for this year and the decline in it's sales in Europe and the US these last months, I don't see it selling as good as 2025. Not even talking about the possible price increase hinted by Nintendo.

Sony already announced they are not gonna increase the console price this year



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m