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Forums - Sales - Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

How much will the PS5 sell in November?

<2M (PS4 '19 was 1.4M, PS3 '13 was 1M) 3 11.11%
 
2 to 3M (decent, 2022 was 2.4M) 9 33.33%
 
3 to 4M (strong, '23 and '25 were 3.5M) 8 29.63%
 
4M+ (record breaking, '24 was 4.26M) 7 25.93%
 
Total:27
XtremeBG on 05 February 2026

PlayStation 5 vs Switch 2 Comparison

Week/Month PS5 - Weekly PS5 - Yearly SW2 - Weekly SW2 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 183,452 183,452 236,025 236,025 +52,573 +52,573
2 153,046 336,498 184,583 420,608 +31,537 +84,110
3 140,868 477,366 172,696 593,304 +31,828 +115,938
4 138,659 616,025 163,491 756,795 +24,832 +140,770
February 156,038 772,063 172,602 929,397 +16,564 +157,334
6 164,455 936,518 170,580 1,099,977 +6,125 +163,459
7 168,457 1,104,975 186,337 1,286,314 +17,880 +181,339
8 193,169 1,298,144 243,516 1,529,830 +50,347 +231,686
March 165,277 1,463,421 440,456 1,970,286 +275,179 +506,865
10 154,806 1,618,227 366,802 2,337,088 +211,996 +718,861
11 160,863 1,779,090 309,073 2,646,161 +148,210 +867,071
12 202,491 1,981,581 271,657 2,917,818 +69,166 +936,237
13 236,477 2,218,058 254,468 3,172,286 +17,991 +954,228
April 146,393 2,364,451 234,165 3,406,451 +87,772 +1,042,000
15 141,447 2,505,898 209,820 3,616,271 +68,373 +1,110,373
16 117,944 2,623,842 203,279 3,819,550 +85,335 +1,195,708
17 113,528 2,737,370 245,129 4,064,679 +131,601 +1,327,309
May 111,058 2,848,428 283,315 4,347,994 +172,257 +1,499,566
19 112,133 2,960,561 376,329 4,724,323 +264,196 +1,763,762
20 114,571 3,075,132 406,850 5,131,173 +292,279 +2,056,041
21 115,930 3,191,062 183,520 5,314,693 +67,590 +2,123,631
June 142,419 3,333,481 197,781 5,512,474 +55,362 +2,178,993
23 143,928 3,477,409 194,968 5,707,442 +51,040 +2,230,033
24 146,390 3,623,799 187,759 5,895,201 +41,369 +2,271,402
25 144,978 3,768,777 203,328 6,098,529 +58,350 +2,329,752
26 146,591 3,915,368 202,959 6,301,488 +56,368 +2,386,120
July 189,882 4,105,250 174,174 6,475,662 -15,708 +2,370,412
28 189,750 4,295,000 162,379 6,638,041 -27,371 +2,343,041
29 198,322 4,493,322 205,868 6,843,909 +7,546 +2,350,587
30 204,148 4,697,470 174,137 7,018,046 -30,011 +2,320,576
August 197,331 4,894,801 183,428 7,201,474 -13,903 +2,306,673
32 194,327 5,089,128 196,842 7,398,316 +2,515 +2,309,188
33 183,145 5,272,273 207,923 7,606,239 +24,778 +2,333,966
34 210,300 5,482,573 251,847 7,858,086 +41,547 +2,375,513
September 210,875 5,693,448 145,234 8,003,320 -65,641 +2,309,872
36 193,570 5,887,018 157,987 8,161,307 -35,583 +2,274,289
37 273,255 6,160,273 187,504 8,348,811 -85,751 +2,188,538
38 211,303 6,371,576 175,136 8,523,947 -36,167 +2,152,371
39 222,341 6,593,917 166,759 8,690,706 -55,582 +2,096,789
October
41
42
43
November
45
46
47
December
49
50
51
52

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Poll before any data for the year was available:

Poll update after the data for February released:

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 05 November 2026

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

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Norion on 05 February 2026

Almost surely the Switch 2. It could sell over 5m in Japan alone this year considering it's not even fully fulfilling demand there yet so that would be a gap of over 4m the PS5 would have to make up elsewhere and Europe could make up a lot but not enough. My high end expectation for the PS5 is 16m and my low end one for the Switch 2 is 17m so I expect a gap of about 2-3m between the two. GTA 6 is huge but it's not gonna prevent the PS5 from declining this year, just significantly soften the decline due to giving the PS5 a really strong holiday.

Last edited by Norion - on 05 February 2026

Kyuu on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 would have to royally underperform to not win this. This could've been a lot closer if GTA6 retained its May release date.

But I guess it can still be close-ish in the event it gets a price hike and PS5 doesn't. Remember... Sony increased PS5's price and reduced storage in response to Trump's tariffs and rising SSD prices. Nintendo didn't. But we don't know which one between the two will be affected first by the new RAM problem. If only we can have a quick glance at their contracts...



CosmicSex on 05 February 2026

And here we go!



xl-klaudkil on 05 February 2026

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict



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Ashadelo on 05 February 2026

You forgot the Gabecube some of us like to gamble :D



我是广州人

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026

Switch 2, but I think it will be close. Probably no more than a 2m gap.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 05 February 2026

Zippy6 on 05 February 2026
xl-klaudkil said:

Switch 2 and it wont even be close.
22mill vs 15.8mill i predict

You think Switch 2 is going to outsell Switch 1's 2018 by almost 40%? That would be very impressive lol.

It had a crazy launch but I expect it to be much more similar to SW1 sales patterns going forward, like it was this holiday quarter.



Louie on 05 February 2026

Switch 2. Console sales usually increase in the second year and decline at the end of life. Switch 2 should cross the 20 million units mark and PS5 maybe 15 million? Of course, GTA VI is huge, but the install base is already there and there will be heavy rumors of a PS6 at the end of the year. Switch 2 on the other hand could be kneecapped by a price hike (so could PS5 of course). Crazy times we live in.



Aerys on 05 February 2026

PS5, you people really underestimate the craziness around GTA VI

Considering Switch 2 has no big worldwide system seller announced for this year and the decline in it's sales in Europe and the US these last months, I don't see it selling as good as 2025. Not even talking about the possible price increase hinted by Nintendo.

Sony already announced they are not gonna increase the console price this year



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m