Do you expect this to be the leak year for Xbox Series or PS5?

I really don't get you here.

Link to the article here.

Switch vs DS Sales Comparison - December 2022

This monthly series compares the aligned worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch and the Nintendo DS.

The DS launched in November 2004 in North America, December 2004 in Japan, and March 2005 in Europe, while the Nintendo Switch launched worldwide in March 2017. Therefore, the holiday periods for the two consoles do not lineup, which is why there are big increases and decreases.

Switch Vs. DS Global:

Gap change in latest month: 3,085,280 - Switch

Gap change over last 12 months: 3,922,707 - DS

Total Lead: 9,318,676 - DS

Switch Total Sales: 120,741,508

DS Total Sales: 130,060,184

December 2022 is the 70th month that the Nintendo Switch has been available for. During the latest month, the gap grew in favor of the Switch by 3.09 million units when compared to the DS during the same timeframe.

In the last 12 months, the DS has outsold the Switch by 3.92 million units. The DS is ahead of the Switch by 9.32 million units.

The 70th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is December 2022, while for the DS it is August 2010. The Switch has sold 120.74 million units, while the DS sold 130.06 million units during the same timeframe.

The Nintendo DS sold 154.02 million units lifetime. The Nintendo Switch is currently 33.28 million units behind the lifetime sales of the DS.

Another 33 million seems a little out of reach I think; DS got down to like $99 which Switch never will, and existed in a market before mobile gaming became ubiquitous.

That said, just getting close to the second highest selling system of all time is an accomplistment in itself.

That's Liquid Laser's argument as to why PS5 and XBS will crater this year.

A few months later the Switch and DS gap will peak at about 20m and then it'll slowly decline the next few years and regardless if the DS gets passed or not it'll end up being close either way.

For the gap to grow to 20mil the next DS holiday quarter would need to be way bigger than it was.

It's gonna reach 141m very soon though. It won't be exactly 20m but will be close to that size.

I still stand to my prediction I did last summer, I think it was ?

For 2023, Switch to finish between 12M (at lowest) and 16M (at highest) depend on if there is a pricecut or successor announcement.
With how the 2022 turned out to be (relatively weak (compared to previous ones) holiday period, and worse than most people anticipated) my prediction becomes more and more likely to become real for this year. Yes Nintendo said they will speed up the production, however it is clear that the demand is declining, and the speed of declining is now not so slow. (mainly seen in the holiday period). Keep in mind that 2022 numbers are not final yet, because 2021 numbers for example were adjusted continiously through out all of 2022 and even as soon as last month when we have them at 24.1M now (originally they were over 25.3M in january 2022). So of course I am very far from saying there will be similar adjustments with the 2022 numbers however it is not out of the question, at the start of 2024, the 2022 numbers for Switch with adjustments to be at 19M or even in the high 18s. And how the pace has gone till now - 2021 (28.2M) 2021 (24.1M) 2022 (19.3) It is number of between 4 and 5M decline year on year.

PS5 - if the stock is full all year - something between 14 and 18M.
XBSX - if stock is full all year - something between 10 and 14M.

Wow, DS was really impressive late in its lifecycle.