By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 44, 2022 (Oct 24 - Oct 30)

ShadowLink93 said:

So November and December often have huge numbers for the Switch. Any guesses for 2022?

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

Peak Holiday was 2019, but 2020 and 2018 were close. 2021 was the lowest holiday, so 2022 will be interesting.



Around the Network

Lol , Switch is coming for blood these holidays



ShadowLink93 said:
Kakadu18 said:

Nope, PS5 launch week. PS5 sold 118k and Switch sold 116k.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/media-create-sales-week-46-2020-nov-09-nov-15.329204/

You're right so i guess it's the first loss excluding a new launch for 4 years 10 months then.

Still nope, the PS4 outsold the Switch for one week in early 2019 when Kingdom Hearts III launched and for one week in 2020 when FFVII Remake launched.



Farsala said:

So November and December often have huge numbers for the Switch. Any guesses for 2022?

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

Peak Holiday was 2019, but 2020 and 2018 were close. 2021 was the lowest holiday, so 2022 will be interesting.

No more than 1M for 2022 november + december



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown  /  YOY Charts



Around the Network
yo33331 said:
Farsala said:

So November and December often have huge numbers for the Switch. Any guesses for 2022?

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

Peak Holiday was 2019, but 2020 and 2018 were close. 2021 was the lowest holiday, so 2022 will be interesting.

No more than 1M for 2022 november + december

I'll take that bet if you want to wager sig or avatar control.



Farsala said:
ShadowLink93 said:

So November and December often have huge numbers for the Switch. Any guesses for 2022?

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

Peak Holiday was 2019, but 2020 and 2018 were close. 2021 was the lowest holiday, so 2022 will be interesting.

Around the same or a little less than last year so 1.2m.



Farsala said:

So November and December often have huge numbers for the Switch. Any guesses for 2022?

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

Peak Holiday was 2019, but 2020 and 2018 were close. 2021 was the lowest holiday, so 2022 will be interesting.

My guess is ~1.4M. Pokemon week alone should be huge, probably 200k+ if not even 300k+ if the supply is that low already 2 weeks before launch.

Edit: Maybe you should make a thread about it

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 04 November 2022

I'd go with 1.1-1.3 million November + December combined. So basically 1.2 million +/- 100k. ;)



yo33331 said:

It's obvious. Switch begins to lose steam. It's normal it is in it's 6th year. It's not only for the week and for japan. See the whole year since march or april. Switch has been constantly down. It has mere 2-3 exclusions where it received some bumps for a week or two but only that. In this point in time in it's life Switch can't receive big boost with software titles. ( I mean big, like 2019, 2020 or 2021 ones, where Switch's boost to continue through couple of weeks selling more than the norm before that ). It has been constantly down since the spring and even in japan most of the weeks this year are double digits, and when there is nothing interesting for it falls to levels such as ~40, 50 or 60k. The down ratio % will also be going up (it was 30% in some point in the year, then drop to ~20% and now is going up again and will probably finish close to 30% when everything is said and done).
Now even lower .. So low even I wasn't expecting. Of course holiday period is coming in the next weeks till end of the year and it is normal that Switch will get boost both worldwide and in japan. However that boost won't be near 2021 levels, and just like many other consoles every next year and holiday in that matter will be lower and lower.
Last year we had weekly numbers in the holiday period (november and december) most of them doing between 1 and 1.1M. This year they will probably be between 800k and 1M at best. For japan I expect weekly numbers between 100 and 150k. Of course there may be some other fluke week where it reaches maybe 200k just to check it out (since every single holiday till now there were weeks with 200k+ sales) but majority of them will be between 100k and ~ 150k. Something like that. Next year the drop will be even bigger. Both worldwide and japan.

I really think you're reading into this wrong. These numbers are for the week before the Pokemon themed Switch comes out in Japan. In addition, this is the lowest week Switch has had this year, with most weeks being almost double this number or more. It's much more likely that this sudden drop is due to people waiting for the new Switch themed model than it is a prediction for the future. 

Also, 800k is way too low for the holiday. 1.1M is reasonable, but 800k means Switch sells no more than 100k on average from here until the end of the year. That's not happening. Heck, it'll probably hit over 100k next week and there will definitely be at least one week they almost hit 200k. So you're pretty much saying that after next week there will be multiple weeks with only 50k units sold which I just can't see.