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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Sales: Week 52 & 53, 2023 (Dec 18 - Dec 31)

Phenomajp13 said:

In that thread where I called you out, I believe I mention you only changed your prediction after Zelda blows Switch up. So technically that was correct then, since you didn't make the change until end of June. But we can move pass this, I could have had a better attitude towards you and shouldn't have offended you like i did. Its quite commendable to see you put in this effort. So honestly bro, I sincerely apologize. Being called a liar certainly was too far.

I don't remember exactly the date Zelda launched, I remember I waited a little to see what boost had on Switch, and when some weeks go by then I knewed Switch is making more than 3/3.5M and I wrote it. But changing the prediction spring or even start of the summer if you want, is not a lie or bad thing. Simply I was confident enough to make the change in the prediction there. If I knew you would get in such a discussion I would go dig out the post at the very beginning. Just didn't want to put effort, but with the writing I ended putting much more ..

About the lifetime predictions, take it like a change of prediction 2 years later if you want .. I wouldn't take it as so, since " no more than 150" means 150.00 at most (my prediction made from around 2 years ago - again may be 2.5 years maybe 1.5 years, somewhere around 2 years period.) and now " high 140s to low 150s, the difference between these two is literally chance of the doubt of 1-2M more than 150M. So it's 99% the same. But as I said if you want take it like lifetime prediction adjustment 2 years later. Which by itself is very far from " lie " or " dishonesty ".

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 12 January 2024

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

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XtremeBG said:
Phenomajp13 said:

In that thread where I called you out, I believe I mention you only changed your prediction after Zelda blows Switch up. So technically that was correct then, since you didn't make the change until end of June. But we can move pass this, I could have had a better attitude towards you and shouldn't have offended you like i did. Its quite commendable to see you put in this effort. So honestly bro, I sincerely apologize. Being called a liar certainly was too far.

I don't remember exactly the date Zelda launched, I remember I waited a little to see what boost had on Switch, and when some weeks go by then I knewed Switch is making more than 3/3.5M and I wrote it. But changing the prediction spring or even start of the summer if you want, is not a lie or bad thing. Simply I was confident enough to make the change in the prediction there. If I knew you would get in such a discussion I would go dig out the post at the very beginning. Just didn't want to put effort, but with the writing I ended put much more ..

Zelda launched in May but i felt that way because I felt like you were trying to mislead the forum. So yes you definitely watch the boost and adjusted up. Regardless, I could have expressed this to you without the attact on your character. I went in it emotionally triggered and realize I can disagree without attacking you. So honestly bro, I do apologize to you and look forward to our debates in the future because we certainly will. I'm thinking Switch can still reach between 155 to 160, which means Sony and Nintendo fans will fight for eternity which sold more.



Phenomajp13 said:

Zelda launched in May but i felt that way because I felt like you were trying to mislead the forum. So yes you definitely watch the boost and adjusted up. Regardless, I could have expressed this to you without the attact on your character. I went in it emotionally triggered and realize I can disagree without attacking you. So honestly bro, I do apologize to you and look forward to our debates in the future because we certainly will. I'm thinking Switch can still reach between 155 to 160, which means Sony and Nintendo fans will fight for eternity which sold more.

For this I am fine 100%. Every one has opinion and it's normal to be different. There were even people suggesting 180M lifetime in 2021 I remember.

Also nothing is impossible. However the most likely and the bigger chances of what will happen according to me, I express as my opinion and prediction. Which is around 150M lifetime (148/149 - 151/152M go in there as well) as of the date I am writing this.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 12 January 2024

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Thanks for stopping you two lol
You sure showed him.
Switch had another dominating year in Japan. And I expect Switch to sell better than PS5 and Xbox Series combined in 2024.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

Famitsu published a list of the best selling games of 2023.

1. [NSW] Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom – 1,929,603 / NEW
2. [NSW] Super Mario Bros. Wonder – 1,549,401 / NEW
3. [NSW] Pikmin 4 – 1,119,027 / NEW
4. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet – 907,432 / 5,246,363
5. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu World: Chikyuu wa Kibou de Mawatteru! – 795,681 / NEW
6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 617,223 / 5,631,598
7. [NSW] Kirby’s Return to Dream Land Deluxe – 514,581 / NEW
8. [NSW] Dragon Quest Monsters 3: The Dark Prince – 510,477 / NEW
9. [NSW] Splatoon 3 – 503,312 / 4,191,126
10. [NSW] Super Mario RPG – 447,687 / NEW

https://www.famitsu.com/news/202401/12330808.html

Last edited by deerox - on 13 January 2024

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Does anyone know when are we going to get numbers for the first week of 2024? P.s I can't see how switch 2 will be released in 2024 instead of 2025+, having sold the whopping 4m in its 7th year... In Japaaaan, where consoles usually have their steepest decline nearing  replacement...

Last edited by tak13 - on 13 January 2024

tak13 said:

Does anyone know when are we going to get numbers for the first week of 2024? P.s I can't see how switch 2 will be released in 2024 instead of 2025+, having sold the whopping 4m in its 7th year... In Japaaaan, where consoles usually have their steepest decline nearing  replacement...

————————————————

very true, console in Japan dip rather steeply.
so will 2024 only sell near 1-2M consoles?



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

tak13 said:

Does anyone know when are we going to get numbers for the first week of 2024? P.s I can't see how switch 2 will be released in 2024 instead of 2025+, having sold the whopping 4m in its 7th year... In Japaaaan, where consoles usually have their steepest decline nearing  replacement...

DS and PS2 were still selling really well the year before their replacement. 

Ideally you want to move on to the next thing while your brand is still hot rather than waiting for it to lose momentum and goodwill.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 13 January 2024

Switch is the most successful console  of all time. That is not an opinion.



Valdney said:

Switch is the most successful console  of all time. That is not an opinion.

Well technically, will be in Japan at least. Globally it isn't so sure it'll surpass the PS2. 

Nonetheless, a run marathon of legends !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909