40M is, likely, happening. On the other hand, not sure about 50M... but It's starting to look bad for Xbox team.

I mean technically Tropical Freeze and Bayonetta 2 were my "system sellers" in that they convinced me to buy the system, I meant more that not even Mario Kart or Smash could raise the system's sales above disastrous territory. No matter how great the games were, the hardware was just fundamentally unappealing.

I'm sceptical of the ability of price cuts to salvage Xbox Series; it has received a lot of steep temporary discounts so far, but these have not stopped its sales from tanking. Plus, the price of pretty much everything is increasing these days, not decreasing, leaving MS little room to cut without bleeding money.

After the recent news of studio closures I'm less sure about reaching 40 million. Sure there is GTA 6 coming, but it better arrive before sales dive too low to recover.

I just got Sea of Thieves for PS5 since I have ps+ anyway and can play together with my kids. Another reason gone to turn on the Series X. We played it together before on PC + XBox with Gamepass yet that lapsed, and wasn't working all that well on my 1060 anyway.

And with Eurogamer coming with articles like this
https://www.eurogamer.net/what-is-the-point-of-xbox
40M starts to look further away. I still think it should cross it, but less sure after recent developments.

Chart of XBSX WW vs GBA US vs Wii US

If a 2026 XB console is coming, which I think makes more sense than 2027 if they're going to try and launch before PS6, then it's quite possible this gen doesn't hit 40M. Even worse if MS announces next gen a year early again.

Could careless either way if Xbox fails I use gamepass and have ps5 but this will be my last Sony console I'll have to move to pc which I'm fine with to I guess lol

Yes it will xbox still makes good games and has a system with some backwards compatiabliltiy.

I think with the lineup announced at the Xbox showcase and the dedicated Xbox community, 40 million Series consoles will be sold, 50 million might be harder.

With the way it's going now, the sales, I really doubt it. This year is more than 500k behind (at this point) to a XB1 year of just 4M (2020), so even 4M will be hard. With such a drop (almost 50% from the previous year) I don't know what Microsoft should and can do to get back on track to the previous sales speed of 8M per year or at least 5-6M so they can reach let's say 45 or even 50M lifetime. With the current speed, the 40M is very doubtful let alone more. It is already down to 50-60k per week WW since the start of April. Heck there is a chance the Switch in Japan this year can beat the WW sales of the XBSX or at least be very close. Put that into perspective. 8 years old console with only it's Japanese sales to be competitive to a 4 year old one with its WW numbers. At that point of the year XBSX is 1.5M by the start of June, by the start of July (200k more) it is around 1.7M. Switch is 1.45M by the first week of July. If XBSX continues to go lower weekly they will get even at some point. And not only that but even if we look at the WW sales of XBSX vs the Japanese of the Switch is also comparable, Switch is 33M now, it will probably finish at around 35-36M (some may say up to even 38) this is the same range XBSX can finish too. There is even a chance where XBSX couldn't reach the final Japan numbers for Switch Worldwide. What an anomaly.

Still gonna be on PC day one so why get an xbox for it.