Do you think there will be a gaming console (home, handheld or hybrid) that will brake the 200M in sales, in the next 3 generations?

Or will the PS2, Switch and DS remain, the three best-selling consoles for the next 20ish years ?

For home consoles that means PS6/PS7/PS8 and the corresponding Xbox generations, and for the Switch this does start from Switch 2 and goes to Switch 3 and Switch 4 (or whatever their names are). (I am putting it that way, because PS5/XBSX gen is almost over, and Switch 2 gen just started, so ~20ish years from now).

Just a fun thread, that we can all look back on after some 10 or even 20 years if the site is still up by then.. 

Even if consoles become more affordable again in the USA and a lot of major regions as a whole, 150 million and up, and especially 200 million (way past PS2) is so unlikely.
I'd put the odds of outselling DS as maybe 10% or so of happening for current or future hardware. And that's generous. 200 million units or more for a console? Maybe a 1% chance, and that's rounding to a whole number. It's probably more like 0.5-0.6% chance.
Consoles still have a place right now, but PC and mobile continue to eat away at them.
Nintendo is very likely to be the last one standing, given their rejection of PC and the types of simple games and apps they put on mobile.
Switch 2 could crack 150 million units or so (a little short of DS and Switch) if it really delivers the games enough for the masses and especially if takes over 8 years to be replaced.
PS5's best hope to crack 150 million units or more is PS6 launching around 2029 or later with PS5 at a more affordable price than right now.
Project Helix can surprise us I'm sure, but is it going to outsell even Xbox Series? I'm skeptical.

Today's prices? No.

Honestly, the best bet of this happening is for gens to become long enough for consoles to sell that well through sheer endurance.

This thread would be more fertile if the number in question was 150M. But ok. 200M? No way

Prices would need to come down and generations would have to last much longer than 7 to 8 years we see today. We are talking $200 or less later in life and a generation of 12 years.

I don't agree. It can simply be 8 years, with sales each year with ~20M, while at the same time, continuing to be sold at a decent pace after the successor, just like PS2, or PS1. How likely is this in the future 20 years is another topic, but still, not impossible. The gen it self, does not need to be 12 years, the life of the console can however (8 years as major console, 4 as last gen). Other model is for example some years of 15 to 20M, and 3 years of peak 30M years and a decent tail.

Also the prices don't need to fall to 200$ (at least not for the full generation, of course not excluding it for some 2-3 last few years before discontinuation). PS5 will reach 110-120M at prices between 500$ and 700$ later in it's life. The same scenario with 300-400$ and increase to 500$ later in life would very likely result in 140-160M. And that is with that bullshit lifecycle with price increases. If we return to the normal traditional one (in the next 20ish years), then for sure a console can start at some even 500$ which is now an okayish price, and go as low as 300$ by the end of the lifecycle and if it's very popular and does good sales, I don't see why 200M aren't possible. But 12 years of major console on the market or 200$ through the whole time, or both combined, are not really needed for that. 

Yes those scenarios are certainly not very likely, but after all we are talking about just one such example here in the next 3 generations, not more. 1 of the bunch. The chances are certainly not big, but they aren't zero as well. It's not so impossible thing, or so far reach to say. It's just need everything to click (with a normal 8 years cycle of very good sales, decent post successor legs, and normal (for the time) prices.

150 isn't so interesting anymore .. and besides, it was done 3 times by now. Why we should limit ourselves ? Why the gaming market should limit around that number ? Why can't be there a new record ? If both DS and Switch can reach the highs of the PS2, why there can't be 1 future system (in the next 20ish years) to do not only the same, but to even exceed it, by some 40ish millions ? The population is getting bigger right ?

Do you really believe we will have today prices for the next 20 years ? and they will be through out all of that big period ?

Who knows. A lot can change in three generations. If these price increases keep up, we might not even own consoles by the 2040s. Instead, many folks could end up "renting" gaming hardware from some god forsaken AI powered RAM devouring cloud service, with everything streamed and nothing owned.

I think home consoles are not gonna be around 3 generations from now, my guess is everything will be handheld. Not even sure when the last time I actually sat down and turned on or used a TV was. Here in China the only ones who really use TV's are the old people. So could a console reach 200 million? NS1 could if it dropped a $100 hahaha

if it happens, itll be a nintendo console. xbox is likely to dissolve any generation now and sony doesnt have the innovative foresight in order to appeal to a mass audience to the tune of 200 million sales.