I did, it's 50M now.

I only did because of the 2026 release tho, as I was thinking it would be delayed to April 2027 before preorders were confirmed.

50M is a damn lot, lol.

And does this account for PC version releasing next year?

LOL while that would be an amazing turn around, I would not count on it. Given the extra long dev cycle for this game...

No PC version was announced.

Are you accounting for the NS2 version on yours?

It does, if you think it will release by next year, yes. If you think it would not then no. Take it as two way prediction.

When you insisted it was impossible for the game to sell 70 million by 2028, you initially said it could only happen if the PC version is released simultaneously with consoles "later this year". But it turns out you expected it to release in April "next year" on consoles.

I don't expect a hypothetical Switch 2 version to release next year. But the PC version is inevitable, if not in 2027 then in 2028 or later. The general assumption was that it gets released in November 2026 on consoles and around a year (or less) later on PC. So almost everyone made their prediction with these conditions in mind. Whether or not a PC version is released in 2027 makes a huge difference in how much it can sell.

Personally, I initially expected the PC version to release by November 2027. But following the recent data about GTA5's revenue splits and Rockstar's comments, I'm now skeptic it's coming that soon. I expect the PC release would add 20-25 million if released in November 2027.

In the Micromania store where I work in France, pre-orders for GTA 6 are absolutely colossal. It's unprecedented—even Pokémon doesn't do this well. We've also sold a lot of PS5s, especially the PS5 Pro. I don't know about other stores, but if it's the same as mine, GTA 6 is going to smash sales records hands down. It’s going to be insane! Especially since the game comes out in 5 months, so pre-orders are bound to increase even more. I also have a lot of customers who are holding out for a PS5 or PS5 Pro GTA 6 bundle before buying. If PlayStation plays their cards right, they are going to sell a massive number of PS5s and PS5 Pros.

Yes, I've always expect it to be delayed again into 2027. The console version. And as I believed it, my predictions were always made around it. You can see I'm talking about consoles and even reflecting splits.

But GTA VI will have 2 holidays for its 1 year and 1 month sales period, my original estimate was about April to December as what 2027 was concerned, and April to March to what a full year was concerned. Which I believed over 40M sales was too much. 50M with 2 holidays is not impossible and I'll admit I'm a bit more influenced by the hype to raise it so much.

And yes, even when its already being sold and will release this year, giving it 2 holydays, 80M is still pretty much impossible without PC. That's more than half the PS5 + XBS install base, it just don't work like that, GTA V was crossing those numbers with 4 consoles and nearly 4 years of sales, in mid 2017.

If there is no PC version by the end of 2027 I expect sales to considerably slow as soon as early 2028, after the holidays, as so much of the console userbase will already have bought it that's only natural.

Yeah but OP asked us to assume a November 2026 console release date to narrow down the variables. So it was like a thread rule that you kept ignoring lol. And don't be sneaky! You said "70M" would be completely impossible without a day 1 PC release, not "80M" 😜

PS4 and PS5's software sales are individually higher than PS3 and X360 combined, and one of the reasons why is that there were a lot more multi-console owners then compared to now, so spending was less concentrated and hardware more inflated as a measure of userbase. And of course GTA is way bigger now, and no PS6 version is being announced just months later to damage short term legs this time around (not that it matters; a $1000 PS6 wouldn't affect PS5's engagement the way PS4 affected PS3). All of this could propel GTA6 to achieve a much higher attach rate than GTA5.

The bad news though is that it won't sell anywhere close to as many consoles as I had expected one or two years ago. Hardware is too expensive now and we're only heading to darker times.

There are people talking about 80M here too, but sure, 70M is impossible too without PC until 2027 ends.

GTA V sales picked up tremendously post covid, massive discounts and people triple or quadruple diping, when it was available now on 7 platforms. It was selling 10M a year from 2016 to 2017, it is selling 20M a year since PS5 launched and those kicked it.

That's what I've always been saying, the attach rate people expect based on sales solely on PS5 and XBS, the only two platforms it has always been announced for, is not something GTA V was able to pull so quick, GTA VI will simply run out of potential customers to reach those numbers so fast as people expect.

My first response to someone in this thread is about the game being able to reach 100M+ sales once a PC version is available and enough time has passed and 10th is possibly available.

GTA VI will have more frontloaded sales than V, it seems pretty clear people are really jumping into it, but the install base difference between GTA V and GTA VI is so, so big that expecting it to pull in 1 year numbers GTA V pulled 3 to 4 years when it only have PS5 and XBS install base to do it sounds like way too much of a reach, and that people don't understand that GTA V sells so much because it has had many re-releases and so much repeat sales to the same customer over the years.

GTA VI is a more desired producted now than GTA V ever was, but it won't just sell to everyone that has a PS5 and XBS within a single year. I'm not buying it myself until it has an actual physical media and has substantial discounts.