Switch 2 is out, and it's selling like peak periods. Switch 1 is dropping from over 500k in the first months of the year, to doing close to 250k in the last few months. The year is -52% until end of October from it's 2024 year for the same period. How much do you think it will sell for both months combined, and even separate ? Write your opinion and vote.

Poll results for 2025:

I think two million for Q3.

1.9-1.95 million, barely missing 2 million is what I'm thinking

1.8 million

Just over 2M is my guess

Judging based on JP Famitsu figures, I’d say 1.4-2.1mil. Switch 2 has had some pretty solid deals (e.g. $450 MKWorld Bundle) and Switch 1 is fighting with a recent price hike in US: I believe figures will be a bit lower than many are expecting. Switch 2 will make up for lost Switch 1 momentum, however, likely moving close to 10mil units during the holiday quarter.

The recent trend is it being 60% down YoY which would land it at 1.7m if that continues. That's what is happening in Japan so far with November being about 60% down but the most recent week in Spain the black Friday week was about 80% down so it looks like it might hold up better in Japan than elsewhere this holiday season and if so around 1.5m seems likely. I voted for 1.5-2m but wouldn't be surprised if it falls a bit short of 1.5m.

Switch did 1.1M in the holiday season. Down from 4.3M the holiday before.

Only about 22% predict correct.

I should've typed out my response before we knew but I thought 1-1.5 million was the reasonable range. 0.9 million as an unrealistic low, but anything above 1.6-1.7 million seemed too high. 2 million would've surprised me. And 2.5 million or up seemed nearly impossible.

My expectations were lower than most and I still significantly overestimated it. In the past like in 2023 the Switch significantly exceeded general expectations but this year the fabled cliff finally came making it do worse than basically everyone expected. For the year as a whole at the start of 2025 I thought it'd likely sell over 7m that year since I thought it wouldn't decline as quickly as the DS and be somewhere in between that and the 3DS post successor but so far it has declined as quickly as the former. I thought the Lite being so much cheaper than the Switch 2 would've helped it hold up better but the impact its having is pretty small.