I agree. The new question of the thread should be Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 35 million? While I think it will, it won't be that much far in the end. If for real they launch the next Xbox in end of 2026, then they will announce it in the first half of next year. The Series will probably finish at 35M after this year's holidays, and with announcement in let's say April/May or June next year, the Series will do no more than 1.5M for 2026. And as Microsoft's traditions is when launching new hardware, they will discontinue the Series around the launch of the next console. So there won't be any more sales left after 2026. It can finish as low as 36M lifetime. Of course I lay down the lowest possible sales scenario here. 40M is maybe the highest possible one, with next console launching in 2027 holidays, sales not falling below 3.5M this year, and not below 2.5M next year, and not below 2M in 2027. The discontinuation once the next console launches is almost 100% sure, so I am not including that factor in the highest sales scenario.

Xbox 360 is the only Xbox console that stayed in production for a notable time after replacement. Xbox was discontinued at some point in 2006 globally and Xbox One was discontinued as Series launched. 

It's most likely Series will be discontinued right as Xbox 5 launches which as you said does not bode well for its sales. Perhaps Series S will be kept around a year or more after Xbox 5 launches as the "budget" Xbox. 

I'd be surprised if X|S total sales in 2025 will surpass 4 million units globally.

It's at 1.13m as far as May.

I think November+December will add another 1.2m in total, in a best case scenario.

Which leaves June to October somewhere between 100k-200k monthly, I assume.

I assume X|S to top somewhere between 2.9-3.4m globally in 2025.

Zero official deals for black Friday. MS has truly given up on selling consoles.

We're genuinely looking at possibly ~300k global sales for November. Perhaps even worse. The XBO did 1.78m in the equivalent month.

I think the question now is will they even hit 37m? Heck there's a chance they won't get to 36m.

Yeah while it was clear by the start of this year that they'd run out of steam, the sheer totality of the console's collapse was even worse than I expected. 

Complete and total crash-out. 

Okay now that the 40 million dream is well and truly dead, how about a target that might still be in reach; 36 million, or another 2.12 million from where it currently stands.

What do you think, will it make it, or not?

What is crazy is that Xbox Series seemingly had a worse ratio of sales during black friday in the US compared to the UK. In the UK, Xbox had a 10 % market share, while its probably a bit lower than 10 % in the US during black friday.

Well that's mainly down to the Nex playground. Which doesn't exist in the UK.

The hard part about this question is… what are the current figures for XBSXS? Are they are still sub-30mil? Are they closer to 40mil than we expect? Could the system have already passed 36mil but is merely limping along? Nobody outside of Microsoft really knows.

That said, I can’t really answer the new question with even a slight bit of confidence. Especially when VGChartz had untracked LTD for XBOne by several millions.

Imho, based on data from insider Kepler, Xbox is overtracked here.
That said, i think Xbox will not cross the 35M unit mark.