Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

[Wman1996]

XtremeBG said:

Wman1996 said:

This poll should be reset if possible.
94 votes in favor of 40 million and up, 84 against.
With Series X/S cratering and the next Xbox likely coming out 2027 or before it's not looking good.

I agree. The new question of the thread should be Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 35 million? While I think it will, it won't be that much far in the end. If for real they launch the next Xbox in end of 2026, then they will announce it in the first half of next year. The Series will probably finish at 35M after this year's holidays, and with announcement in let's say April/May or June next year, the Series will do no more than 1.5M for 2026. And as Microsoft's traditions is when launching new hardware, they will discontinue the Series around the launch of the next console. So there won't be any more sales left after 2026. It can finish as low as 36M lifetime. Of course I lay down the lowest possible sales scenario here. 40M is maybe the highest possible one, with next console launching in 2027 holidays, sales not falling below 3.5M this year, and not below 2.5M next year, and not below 2M in 2027. The discontinuation once the next console launches is almost 100% sure, so I am not including that factor in the highest sales scenario.

Xbox 360 is the only Xbox console that stayed in production for a notable time after replacement. Xbox was discontinued at some point in 2006 globally and Xbox One was discontinued as Series launched. 

It's most likely Series will be discontinued right as Xbox 5 launches which as you said does not bode well for its sales. Perhaps Series S will be kept around a year or more after Xbox 5 launches as the "budget" Xbox.