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Forums - Sales - August 2026 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

August 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from August 2 to 29 and will be released on October 8 around 6:00 am PT / 9:00 am ET / 2:00 pm UK.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
  4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for August 2025:

  1. NS2 - 309K
  2. PS5 - 171K
  3. NS - 75K
  4. XS - 49K

VGChartz US estimates for July 2026:

  1. NS2 - 227K
  2. PS5 - 168K
  3. XS - 53K
  4. NS - 30K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

  • XS - $100 to $150 price hike on August 1
  • NS2 - $50 price hike on September 1 (People buying before increase)
  • PS5+XS - GTA6 pre-orders / gameplay reveal

Upcoming release dates for Circana reports:

  • August - Oct 8
  • September - Oct 22
  • October - Nov 19
  • November - Dec 17
  • December - Jan 21, 2027


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Around the Network

US sales data from Circana's Mat Piscatella for last week of August:

In the US, combined PS5/XBS hardware unit sales for the week ending Aug 29 increased 14% versus the prior week. PS5 grew 17%, XBS 9%. The combined increase across both platforms amounted to less than 8k units. Source: Circana Retail Tracking Service.

Post by @matpiscatella.bsky.social — Bluesky



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

  • NS2 - 250K
  • PS5 - 200K
  • XS - 40K
  • NS - 30K
Last edited by XtremeBG - 4 hours ago

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