Very interesting that sales for the base Switch model seems like they are decaying into oblivion, but the OLED and Switch Lite are going strong.  I really do think Nintendo could keep these two models going strong in all regions (not just Japan) with an attractive bundle and/or a price cut.  Back in the Iwata/Reggie years they would do this sort of thing, but I don't think the current leadership wants the Switch to keep going.  They are trying to put all of their eggs into the Switch 2 basket.

Nobody is expecting that to change here.  I'm just curious as to what the split will be.  While the PS5 version will sell more, I think 4/5 is a bit much to expect for a couple of reasons. 

First, Resident Evil had a pretty good showing on Gamecube, with both games selling over 1m units.  And considering the lopsided install base comparison between the Cube and the PS2, RE4 selling only 700k less on Nintendo's console means that either a lot of RE fans bought Gamecubes to play the game several months early or Nintendo fans like Resident Evil more than you think (remember, the Wii Edition sold 2m too).

Secondly, the Switch 2 port is so impressive here that portability may take precedence for a lot of people.  It wouldn't for me personally for a game like this if I owned both consoles but this is Japan.  And the Generation Pack is such a good deal that it could do a lot to entice many people to get these games for the popular system in the region.

Switch 2 is back in the 60's and the Switch 1 surprises being up a bit compared to last week. This is surely abnormally high so it should go back to being sub 20k again soon but even then while it is just about dead in the US and Europe perhaps the Switch still has a bit more life left in Japan than I thought. Strange the OLED is still getting bought some though since it is pretty bad value now. Also the PS5 is 20% down YoY so far but that is about to get significantly worse after the next few weeks.

Nearly twice as much total hardware sold compared to this week last year; Switch 2 does seem to have given the Japanese console market a much needed shot in the arm.

Even though Switch 2 is doing very good in Japan, it's still not doing quite like the 3DS did in 2012 which did 5.5M. I hope Switch 2 get to that level. It will either need to up the level to a baseline of around 80-90k per week, or have very big holiday numbers in November and December to compensate.

It is a low base however Xbox could beat 2025 the way it has started plus Forza Horizon 5 is in Japan and is exclusive for this year so that may move some additional units - the Series has moved more units than the One lifetime so Xbox has actually grown in Japan this gen, possibly due to lots of additional support from Japanese devs whom are almost all embracing play anywhere