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Forums - Sales - December 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

December 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the five-week period from November 30 to January 3 and will be released on January 22.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
  4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for December 2024:

  1. PS5 - 1,377K
  2. NS - 827K
  3. XS - 600K

VGChartz US estimates for November 2025:

  1. PS5 - 743K
  2. NS2 - 473K
  3. XS - 120K
  4. NS - 80K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

  • Cyber Monday / Holidays
  • Switch 2 Mario Kart World bundle $50 discount at Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy / Target
  • Xbox Series X $50 discount at Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy
  • PS5 discount on all models
  • Nex Playground, portable PCs like ROG Xbox Ally

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

  • Dec (Nov 30 - Jan 3) - Jan 22
  • Jan (Jan 4 - Jan 31) - Feb 20
  • Feb (Feb 1 - Feb 28) - Mar 18
  • Mar (Mar 1 - Apr 4) - Apr 22
  • Apr (Apr 5 - May 2) - May 20

RESULTS

Link to the VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Best-Seller in the US in December 2025, Metroid Prime 4 Debuts in 7th

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in the US for December 2025 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the five-week period of November 30 to January 3.

The Switch 2 was not only the best-selling console in December, but was also number one for 2025. This helped offset the declines in the PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch.

In seven months the Switch 2 has sold 4.4 million units in the US, which is nearly double the original Switch on a time-aligned basis. It also remains the fastest-selling video game console of all-time through seventh month as it is tracking 35% ahead of the PlayStation 4. Only the Game Boy Advance has sold more in the US through seven months.

The total number of consoles sold for the month were down eight percent compared to last year, while the average sales price increased 18 percent.

The PlayStation 5 was the second best-selling console for the month of December with sales about 30 percent year-on-year. The Xbox Series X|S came in third place with sales down about 55 percent and the Nintendo Switch 1 came in fourth place with sales down a little over 70 percent. The NEX Playground came in fifth place with sales a little below 200,000 units.

Overall spending on video games in December increased three percent year-on-year from $7.57 billion to $7.77 billion. Spending on video game content increased three  percent from 5.76 billion to $5.93 billion, while video game hardware sales increase six percent from $1.14 billion to $1.21 billion. Spending on accessories decreased seven percent from $674 million to $625 million.

In terms of 2025 total sales, overall spending on video games is up one percent year-on-year from $59.88 billion to $60.69 billion. Spending on video game content increased one percent from $51.70 billion to $52.30 billion, while video game hardware sales grew nine percent from $5.00 billion to $5.44 billion. Spending on accessories decreased seven percent from $3.18 billion to $2.95 billion.

"Increases in consumer spending on subscription services, hardware and mobile content helped the US video game market reach $60.7 billion in 2025, achieving 1.4% growth when compared to a year ago," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella.

He added, "December video game content spending grew 3% when compared to a year ago, to $5.9B. Spending on subscription services increased by 24% when compared to a year ago, while the PC, cloud and non-console VR content segment gained 6%.

"2025 annual video game content spending grew 1% compared to 2024, reaching $52.3 billion. 20% growth in spending on subscription services and a 1% increase in mobile offset declines across other content segments."

Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 was the best-selling game in December and is seven year in a row Call of Duty was number one in December. It is now the fifth best-selling game of the year.

There was one new game in the top 20 in December and that was Metroid Prime 4: Beyond in 7th place. It should be noted Nintendo does not share digital sales of its games.

Battlefield 6 was the third best-selling game of the month and is the top selling game of the year. It came in first on Xbox and PC, while it came in second on PlayStation only behind NBA 2K26.

Fortnite was number one in terms of the total active users on PlayStation and Xbox in 2025 with over half of all active users on both platforms playing the game at least once.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for December 2025:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in 2025 year-to-date:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PlayStation platforms in December 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Xbox platforms in December 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Nintendo platforms in December 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PC in December 2025:

Last edited by trunkswd - 1 day ago

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Around the Network

1. PS5 900k
2. NS2 750k
3. XS 150k
4. NS 90k

I expect the switch 2 discount, along with the ps5 sale to keep them close. I also see the ps5 being down YOY since it was down YOY in November, but I may be wrong since the discount lasted the entire month not just a couple of weeks compared to Nov.



 

mM

I will just copy and paste my predictions from the November thread, as that one was way worse than expected, that's why now my previous expected numbers for November go to December.

  1. NS2 - 1.5M
  2. PS5 - 1M
  3. NS - 200K
  4. XS - 150K


My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Switch 2- 1.4 million
PS5- 1.2 million
Switch- 150k
Xbox- 120k



PS5 - 900K
NS2 - 490K
NS- 160K
XS - 80K



Around the Network

NS2 - 1,25K
PS5 - 1,05K
NS - 140K
XS - 220K



PS5 - 950K
NS2 - 650K
XSX- 260K
NS - 90K

What a wild year. Not sure what to expect. I do expect PS5 to take it based on the never-ending sale and looking at current charts on GameStop. I also expect sales to be higher than in November due largely in part to the Nintendo Switch price cut. Total sales may once again be down compared to last december. This is mostly driven by the total collapse of the Xbox who doesn't have any sales to speak of. That and a bad economy.



Ps5 800k
Ns2 750k
Ns. 150k
Xsx 250k



 

My youtube gaming page.

http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

trunkswd said:

December 2025 Circana

    Just a quick question.  When ever I go to update my monthly numbers for the Switch 2 global totals, I notice that the numbers keep changing on the archived hardware chart.  All the way back to June after the November numbers got added in.  Are these still adjustments that are being made? 



    ...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

    DroidKnight said:
    trunkswd said:

    December 2025 Circana

      Just a quick question.  When ever I go to update my monthly numbers for the Switch 2 global totals, I notice that the numbers keep changing on the archived hardware chart.  All the way back to June after the November numbers got added in.  Are these still adjustments that are being made? 

      It seems like every month, a large amount of the older data is being altered. 



      ...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.