December 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

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December 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the five-week period from November 30 to January 3 and will be released on January 22.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for December 2024:

1. PS5 - 1,377K
2. NS - 827K
3. XS - 600K

VGChartz US estimates for November 2025:

1. PS5 - 743K
2. NS2 - 473K
3. XS - 120K
4. NS - 80K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

• Cyber Monday / Holidays
• Switch 2 Mario Kart World bundle $50 discount at Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy / Target
• Xbox Series X $50 discount at Walmart / Amazon / Best Buy
• PS5 discount on all models
• Nex Playground, portable PCs like ROG Xbox Ally

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

• Dec (Nov 30 - Jan 3) - Jan 22
• Jan (Jan 4 - Jan 31) - Feb 20
• Feb (Feb 1 - Feb 28) - Mar 18
• Mar (Mar 1 - Apr 4) - Apr 22
• Apr (Apr 5 - May 2) - May 20