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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ultimate Consoles Showdown 2024 |Completed|

Bofferbrauer2 said:

PS5: 19M
Switch: 11M
Xbox: 6.5M

Underestimated the Switch somewhat, overestimated the Xbox quite a bit, but was pretty much correct on my PS5 prediction.

All in all, I'd say my prediction could have been much worse



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Bofferbrauer2 said:

Underestimated the Switch somewhat, overestimated the Xbox quite a bit, but was pretty much correct on my PS5 prediction.

All in all, I'd say my prediction could have been much worse

You can make new ones in the Ultimate Console Showdown 2025.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

@XtremeBG, 2024 PS5 did end up beating 2019 Switch post adjustments.



Geralt99 said:

@XtremeBG, 2024 PS5 did end up beating 2019 Switch post adjustments.

Yep, I know. I will be adjusting the figures very soon. The charts are already adjusted.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 16 February 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

Geralt99 said:

@XtremeBG, 2024 PS5 did end up beating 2019 Switch post adjustments.

The adjustment are now done. Here are the final 2024 numbers:

  • XBSX 2024 and NSW in USA - 2.8M vs 3.15M
  • Nintendo Switch - 11.8M
  • PlayStation 5 - 19.65M
  • XBOX Series - 4.8M


My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

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Wman1996 said:

PS5 - 18 million
Switch - 8 million
Xbox Series X/S - 7 million

Looks like I slightly lowballed PS5, moderately lowballed Switch, and moderately highballed Xbox Series X/S.

PS5 has been the most predictable console in terms of sales. We more or less know it will sell similar to PS4 even by the end.

Switch is really old but still kicking. 

Even with Xbox Series starting to have warning signs by early 2024, I didn't seem them as enough. I suppose I thought Microsoft would make and sell enough of them, but alas. 

Last edited by Wman1996 - on 01 March 2025

Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 40 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Norion said:
Norion said:

PS5: 18m
Switch: 10m
Xbox Series: 7m.

It's likely all three end up being down this year. Xbox Series has Activision Blizzard games being added to Game Pass and hopefully a better received game lineup to help it be closer to 8m than 7m but even with that I wouldn't be surprised if it's still down a tad.

I was expecting below 18m after a middling few months and after November was expecting above 19m but in the end I was pretty spot on with the PS5 with my first prediction it seems. The Switch was a fair amount off due to me expecting the Switch 2 to have released by November so that isn't too bad but man I really overestimated the Xbox Series and my prediction for it wasn't even above average or anything like that, it just did really badly last year so basically everyone overestimated it. Overall I think my predictions for 2024 held up alright.

Also are you gonna do a thread like this for 2025 @XtremeBG?

In the end I wasn't spot on with the PS5 but only 1m off isn't bad at all so that doesn't change the overall picture much.



Norion said:
Norion said:

I was expecting below 18m after a middling few months and after November was expecting above 19m but in the end I was pretty spot on with the PS5 with my first prediction it seems. The Switch was a fair amount off due to me expecting the Switch 2 to have released by November so that isn't too bad but man I really overestimated the Xbox Series and my prediction for it wasn't even above average or anything like that, it just did really badly last year so basically everyone overestimated it. Overall I think my predictions for 2024 held up alright.

Also are you gonna do a thread like this for 2025 @XtremeBG?

In the end I wasn't spot on with the PS5 but only 1m off isn't bad at all so that doesn't change the overall picture much.

If we have to be exact, 18M is 1.65M off from 19.65M, so over 1.5M off but relatively close.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Polls: When will the Switch: Outsell the DS? / Outsell the PS2? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX

XtremeBG said:
Norion said:

In the end I wasn't spot on with the PS5 but only 1m off isn't bad at all so that doesn't change the overall picture much.

If we have to be exact, 18M is 1.65M off from 19.65M, so over 1.5M off but relatively close.

Well I wasn't being exact with it. By 18M I basically meant the overall million, not exactly 18m so anywhere from that to 18.9m.



XtremeBG said:
Geralt99 said:

@XtremeBG, 2024 PS5 did end up beating 2019 Switch post adjustments.

The adjustment are now done. Here are the final 2024 numbers:

  • XBSX 2024 and NSW in USA - 2.8M vs 3.15M
  • Nintendo Switch - 11.8M
  • PlayStation 5 - 19.65M
  • XBOX Series - 4.8M

Bofferbrauer2 said:

PS5: 19M
Switch: 11M
Xbox: 6.5M

PS5 and Switch are almost spot on, Switch sold 800k more and the PS5 650k, but the first 2 digits were correct.

XBOX I overestimated, but I think nobody expected the console to falter that much last year...