So, no one in the 156-159M category ?

lol Who voted for Under 152M? A Cliff believer, I guess

Switch ships 150.86M as of 31.12.2024.
Time to renew the poll! Vote now!

I don't know, numbers are about what i expected but i am very shortly before carefully raising my minimum LTD prediction from 155- 157 million by march 2027...

Unless Nintendo stops producing towards the end of this year 165m give or take a few Ms..

Ediit: But I guess if they don't cut Switches price and don't price S2 above $399 it will be the equivalent of discontinuing S1, so maybe 160m is a better bet

161 million, just enough to take the thrown according to Facts!

After Nintendo put out their latest report (152.12M shipped by March 31st) and made forecast for the new fiscal year of 4.5M, do you think there is a change in the expectations about lifetime sales ? Vote who hasn't till now!

It they do ship 4.5m this year then lifetime is probably going to be +-0.5m of 160m. It will be very close.

Nice to see that I nailed my prediction here though it really was just simple math so the predictions under 140m are funny to look back on since even at the time those were clearly not reasonable.

It's gonna be close, but based on this latest forecast from Nintendo and their recent quarter falling below my expectations, I'm leaning towards Switch falling just short of PS2 at around 158M. However, even a small boost could put it to 160M.

But 4.5M quarter would put the Switch at 156.6M by March 2026, and sales will only fall off a cliff after that with the Switch 2 out and software slowing for Switch 1.

For comparison the year where the DS sold 5M in a year, sales would drop to 2.48M for the next two fiscal years combined. If we were to put that same percentage on Switch's sales after their forecasted 4.5M year, they would sell only an additional 2.25M, adding up to sales hovering around 158.9M. So I think at its rate it'll fall short of PS2.