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Forums - Sales - When will the PS5 outsell the PS1?

 

When will the PS5 outsell the PS1?

By end of 2026 10 55.56%
 
By summer of 2027 4 22.22%
 
By end of 2027 2 11.11%
 
By end of 2028 1 5.56%
 
Never 1 5.56%
 
Total:18

The PS5 has sold almost 92M by end of April 2026. When do you think it will outsell (not outship) the PS1 (standing at 102.5M) ?

Reminding you that PS5 just dropped to under 500k per month, and under 100k per week following the recent price increase. Will it stay that way or the sales will improve over time, will there be price cut after some time ? When will the PS6 launch and how fast Sony will discontinue the PS5 ? How much GTA 6 will help it's sales ? Vote now, and write down your opinions on the matter.

Last edited by XtremeBG - 1 day ago

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To outsell PS1 this year would mean PS5 sold about 12.5m in 2026?

Even with the price rise I expect them to be able to do that lol.

I think the only way they don't is if Sony don't manufacture that many. Which is questionable due to what they said in their fiscal report.

"We plan to base our PS5 hardware sales in FY26 on the volume of memory we can procure at reasonable prices."

Sony are seemingly saying they expect PS5 sales to be limited by manufacturing due to them making a lower number because of memory prices.

So we'll have to see if that does actually become a problem and the PS5 starts having stock problems, could be especially damaging if they don't have good stock for GTA VI launch.



Zippy6 said:

To outsell PS1 this year would mean PS5 sold about 12.5m in 2026?

13M actually .. PS5 has sold 89.5M by end of December 2025.

Last edited by XtremeBG - 1 day ago

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

I think they could hit it by the end of 2026 if 2 things happen, the price of the PS5 remains the same(probable) and GTAVI releases this year.



The world belongs to you-Pan America

If 500k is the norm per month up through September, then that’s 7M needed for the holiday quarter. It’s a slight bit of a stretch, but GTAVI should be enough to get the job done IMO. Unless they start charging $700USD for the base PS5 lol.



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Hopefully by the end of this year, or the price increase will really have basically killed the system



I voted end of 2026 because I thought we were going on shipments, but if we're going on actual sales to consumers, then I think Summer 2027.



I'm only expecting ~400k for May and then maybe 500k a month through September. If that happens then it will likely fall just short of making it by the end of the year if we are talking actual sales but it will be close either way.



I think something like Summer 27. Even at ~600k for May-October and no holiday decline wouldn't quite get it there. It's hard to say how much the price increase will have on sales, as of now it seems ~500k seems a bit more likely. I am also not expecting it's holiday to be flat.