Leaks:

NSW - 284.000
PS4 - 195.000
XB1 - 101.000

Smash Ultimate (inc. digital) > 5 million (lifetime)
Kingdom Hearts III > 1 million (inc. digital)

NPD Data:

• Total: $893 million (Down 19% from $1,101 million in January 2018)
• Hardware: $199 million (down 28% from $278 million)
• PC and console software: $427 million (down 18% compared to $520 million)
• Accessories: $267 million (down 12% from $303 million)

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NPD threads archivie

2018: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2017: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2016: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2015: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2014: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2013: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2012: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2011: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2010: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2009: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2008: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December
2007: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December

[NSW] 271K
[PS4] 171K
[XB1] 139K

I can’t guess exactly, but the switch will win by atleast 60k

Huh, y'know I completely forgot about the NPD amidst the Nintendo Direct hype.

Os this a leak or a prediction?

I expect the Switch to win!

I'm gonna assume this is a prediction. There's no way the PS4 and XB1 could be THAT low considering January had Resident Evil 2 and Kingdom Hearts III. Even if they were released in the last week of the month, those are still two major games that sold huge numbers. They had to have had a noticeable effect on hardware.

KH3, maybe. RE2 shift many consoles this late? Not likely. It's a remake, not a sequal that people have been waiting years for like KH3.

The drop will be quite considerable this year.

Switch should be YoY up because strong momentum from Pokemon, Smash and NSMBU DX, its far harder to predict PS4 and XB1.

[NSW] 300K
[PS4] 180K
[XB1] 160K

[NSW] 269k
[PS4] 196k
[XB1] 169k

Bonus:
[3DS] 6.9k