June 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the five-week period from May 31 to July 4 and will be released on July 22.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for June 2025:

1. NS2 - 1,625K (Launch month)
2. PS5 - 286K
3. NS - 98K
4. XS - 70K

VGChartz US estimates for May 2026:

1. NS2 - 254K
2. PS5 - 93K
3. XS - 64K
4. NS - 34K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

• XS - $573 Series X at Walmart from June 1 to 29 (Best Buy and Target price matched at various times)
• XS - $100-$150 price hike announced on June 25 for August 1 (People rushing to buy one)
• PS5 and XS - GTA6 pre-orders started June 25

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

• Jun (May 31 - Jul 4) - Jul 22
• Jul (Jul 5 - Aug 1) - Aug 19
• Aug (Aug 2 - Aug 29) - Oct 8
• Sep (Aug 30 - Oct 3) - Oct 22
• Oct (Oct 4 - Oct 31) - Nov 19

RESULTS

Link to VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Best-Seller in the US in June 2026, UFC 6 Debuts in 1st

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in the US for June 2026 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the five-week period of May 31 to July 4.

The PlayStation 5 came in second place in terms of units sold and dollar sales.

Switch 2 hardware spending is down 79 percent compared to its June 2025 launch month. PlayStation 5 spending is down 19 percent year-on-year, while Xbox Series X|S more than doubled. 

Xbox Series X|S unit sales are up 86 percent compared to June 2025. This was the highest month for Xbox Series sales of the year. Last year was impacted by the May price increase and the Switch 2 launch.

Switch 2 unit sales fell 78 percent year-on-year, PlayStation 5 unit sales dropped 43 percent, and Switch 1 unit sales fell 62 percent.

Overall spending on video games in June decreased 21 percent year-on-year from $5.69 billion to $4.50 billion. Spending on video game content was down 12 percent from $4.40 billion to $3.88 billion, while video game hardware sales decreased 62 percent from $1,000 million to $383 million. Spending on accessories decreased 21 percent from $294 million to $232 million.

In terms of 2026 total sales, overall spending on video games is down one percent year-on-year from $27.73 billion to $27.49 billion. Spending on video game content is up less than one percent from $24.31 billion to $24.31 billion, while video game hardware sales dropped nine percent from $2.15 billion to $1.97 billion. Spending on accessories is down five percent from $1.27 billion to $1.21 billion.

"U.S. Video Game Spending Fell 21% in June, Driven by Nintendo Switch 2’s Record June 2025 Launch Comparable," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella.

He added, "U.S. video game total market projected spending reached $4.5 billion during June 2026, a decrease of 21% when compared to a year ago. First half spending finished 1% behind 2025’s pace, at $27.5 billion."

UFC 26 debuted in first place for the month of June on the software charts. It also led all titles on PlayStation platforms. 

Meccha Chameleon debuted in second place.

Star Fox debuted in fourth place. It was the best-selling game on the Nintendo charts, ahead of Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream and Mario Kart World.

Resident Evil: Requiem remained the best-selling game of 2026 year-to-date, while Crimson Desert remained in second place. 

Here are the top 10 best-selling games in terms of dollars for June 2026:

Here are the top 10 best-selling games in June year-to-date:

• NS2 - 320K
• PS5 - 100K
• XS - 100K
• NS - 40K

1. NS2 335k

2. PS5 116k

3. XS 88k

4. NS 35k

5. NEX 28k

2 days left. Get your predictions in! 

NS2 - 325K
XBOXS -125K
PS5- 120K
NS-45K

OP updated with the results

Looks like these are estimates from Install Base:

https://www.installbaseforum.com/forums/threads/circana-june-2026-1-ufc-6-2-meccha-chameleon-4-star-fox-switch-2-1-79-revenue-from-june-2025-ps5-19-rev-xbox-2x-rev-86-units.4710/post-427916

Switch 2: ~348K
PS5: ~169K
XBS: ~123K
NSW: ~38K

Ouch for PS5. XBox maybe getting a dead cat bounce from people buying ahead of the next price increase. Switch 2 had a good month all things considered.

That's a pretty good hold for PS5, actually. In July Xbox might beat PS5 because it's the last chance to buy an "affordable" console for GTA6, and it's the month Sony announced killing discs.

From Circana's Mat Piscatella:

Seeing this old stat being thrown around. Wanted to update.

As of June 2026, digital editions comprise 27% of total LTD US unit sales of PS5 hardware.

For Xbox Series, 52% of total LTD US unit sales are digital only editions.

It's 0% for Switch 2.

Source: Circana Retail Tracking Service

Post by @matpiscatella.bsky.social — Bluesky

% of digital consoles sold in the US by platform:

• Xbox Series - 52%
• PS5 - 27%
• NS2 - 0% (No digital model)

And if I'm not mistaken, this data doesn't take into account the optional disc drive. With the disc drives accounted for, probably less than 20% of PS5's are digital only...