If Helix does come out late next year it should happen at basically the same time for both. The Xbox Series should get discontinued right after that comes out and the Switch 1 will sell a little next year but pretty much nothing in 2028.

Link to the VGChartz article here.

2026 Europe Sales Comparison Charts Through March - Switch 2 vs PS5 vs Xbox Series vs Switch

Here we see data representing the sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the four platforms still on the market (Nintendo Switch 2, PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch 1) over comparable periods for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026. Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

Market Share (Same Periods Covered)

2023 - (January 2023 to March 2023)

2024 - (January 2024 to March 2024)

2025 - (January 2025 to March 2025)

2026 - (January 2026 to March 2026)

"Year to date" sales for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026 sales are shown in series at the top of the table and then just below a comparison of 2026 versus 2025 and 2026 versus 2024 is displayed.  This provides an easy-to-view summary of all the data.

Total Sales and Market Share for Each Year

Nintendo

• Nintendo Switch 2
• 0.85 million units sold year-to-date
• Nintendo Switch 1
• 0.10 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 201,905 units (-66.8%)

Sony

• PlayStation 5
• 0.89 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 5,553 units (-0.6%)

Microsoft

• Xbox Series X|S
• 0.07 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 90,629 units (-56.1%)

Note: VGChartz 2026, 2025, and 2023 estimates through March includes 13 weeks, while 2024 estimates includes 14 weeks.

You can see in the weekly breakdown that PS5 got a significant bump towards the end of the month with the announcement of the imminent price hike, as a lot of folks ran out to grab one while it was still at the old price.

That should carry over to early April, followed by a drop as the new price came in.

Yeah, the first 2 weeks of April shouldn't be too bad as at least in the US most retailers took a week or 2 into the month before increasing the price. May data will be the true tell as to how much of an impact the price increase will have.

Definitely going to be interesting to see; Xbox nuking itself means the PS5 has little direct competition for those who want the dedicated home console experience, but at the same time $650 for the base system is pretty egregious, especially when so many people are already living paycheck to paycheck.

Link to the VGChartz article here.

2026 Americas Sales Comparison Charts Through March - Switch 2 vs PS5 vs Xbox Series vs Switch

Here we see data representing the sales through to consumers and change in sales performance of the four platforms still on the market (Nintendo Switch 2, PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch 1) over comparable periods for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026. Also shown is the market share for each of the consoles over the same periods.

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

Market Share (Same Periods Covered)

2023 - (January 2023 to March 2023)

2024 - (January 2024 to March 2024)

2025 - (January 2025 to March 2025)

2026 - (January 2026 to March 2026)

"Year to date" sales for 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026 sales are shown in series at the top of the table and then just below a comparison of 2026 versus 2025 and 2026 versus 2024 is displayed.  This provides an easy-to-view summary of all the data.

Total Sales and Market Share for Each Year

Nintendo

• Nintendo Switch 2
• 1.22 million units sold year-to-date
• Nintendo Switch 1
• 0.16 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 417,372 units (-72.1%)

Sony

• PlayStation 5
• 1.00 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 159,137 units (-13.8%)

Microsoft

• Xbox Series X|S
• 0.29 million units sold year-to-date
• Down year-on-year 267,581 units (-47.9%)

Note: VGChartz 2026, 2025, and 2023 estimates through March includes 13 weeks, while 2024 estimates includes 14 weeks.

The battle for America is likely gonna be the most interesting to watch, as unlike Europe or Japan no one console has an overwhelming advantage.
Even Xbox is still somewhat relevant there, even if playing third fiddle.

The big question is how much the price increase will hurt PS5 sales. It is possible Europe might be the most interesting with PS5 and Switch 2. Switch 2 will likely grow its lead in the Americas for 2026 from here on out.

Unless the Switch 2 also get a price increase, and 100$ at that .. 

Yeah a Switch 2 price increase would hurt sales for that. But with given the install base I think Nintendo wants to hold off as long as possible. With PS5 there are already over 90 million sold.