Switch2 even if ps5 with gtaVI.
650fucking euro.

Well the Switch 2 has this completely in the bag now unless it also gets a price increase within the next few weeks or so. The idea that GTA 6 will cause such a huge surge of PS5 sales that it'll last well into 2027 was already quite a stretch but that holds no water at all any more. Sales that year are gonna get crappy. The boost this holiday should still be notable though since Sony will offer discounts then I imagine but the amount by the end of October will be a lot lower now and those discounted PS5's won't be as enticing as previous discounts so holiday sales will be hurt by this as well.

PS6 releasing in 2030 confirmed!

Not voting again yet until I let some time pass. Switch 2 could easily be $500-$550 in the USA very soon. The fiscal year is almost over.
If Switch 2 holds steady in price all year, it should surpass PS5 by a bit.

Assuming the Switch stays the same price (which seems more unlikely than ever) it should probably win. If the Switch 2 price goes up to $600 I really don't know what to say... My only hope is that somehow when the temp tarriffs expire that Trump put into place that he doesn't put them back into place... oh who am I kidding we are screwed. Eagerly waiting to see what happend with Nintendo's lawsuit.

I think even if the Switch 2's price increases, it still has an advantage. The reason is because price-inelasticity doesn't usually follow a linear pattern. A $100 increase on a $500 system is not the same as a $100 increase on a $450 system. Everybody has a price that is "too expensive" and beyond which they can't purchase, so even if the Switch 2's price increases it will be below many people's "too expensive" than a PS5's.

If I were a budget gamer I would be looking into PC gaming with APU's at this point. By the time GTA 6 releases on PC (say middle of 2027) you probably can get a Nova Lake APU with graphics performance roughly at base PS5 level, that costs a little bit more than a base PS5, but is upgradeable to next-gen performance when PS6-equivalent dGPU's release. If ram prices come down, this is an even better comparison because I doubt Sony will decrease prices if ram prices come down.

Ram prices can easily come down too, given that all AI companies are trying to develop more memory efficient algorithms and there is a lot of pressure in the hardware area of that space too toward in-memory compute that would segment the market away from using consumer-like memory.

I must say, if AI doesn't make things cheaper than what's the actual point? Sure it has positive implications but the bubble that formed around it very divorced from reality.

They said they had secured the hardware. They didn’t say they had secured the hardware at a good price. 🫠

There is a real world scenario where PS5 now wins March. The Circana data covers the period from March 1st to April 4th. PS5 Pro (for obvious reasons) has shot to the top of the Gamestop charts. Even if it doesn't win units sold, it's gonna be hard for it to not win dollar sales.

Something is coming. Like most I absolutely can't wait to see what their projections for year 26 are. It will be absolutely fascinating.

Does anyone have predictions for Sony new fiiscal sales projections? (Not acttual sales predictions but rather internal sales projection predictions) ?

Also interested to see if folks have predictions for Nintendo FY sales projections for Switch 2.

Okay I will start.
FY projection predictions by company.

Nintendo: 20 million
Sony: 20 million

A lot can happen between now and March 3/31/27. In my prediction Nintendo plays it conservative. A lot depends on if they are going to raise prices. Bloomberg claims that they slashed production. Outside of the unknown, i can't see them selling more than 20 million units. PS5 price has gone up which one imagines would depress sales, but it all depends on how they bundle GTA 6 and what they do during the holiday season. So much is dependant on what happens in November.