While it is true that Japan historically has preferred physical media over digital and had a slower uptick towards that. People have been telling me on these forums since last gen that Sony could only ever be 50/50 tops with the split. All the while, year after year the digital split for Sony keeps increasing WW so some of that has to happening in Japan as well. It was 50/50 over 5 years ago for FF7R so it definitely increased since then especially with having a digital HW sku and the Pro not bundled with a disk drive. But you are right in the fact that there is no way of knowing the exact % but it has to be a decent amount at this point going into 2026. 

We can't prove it either way without the data but imo if it's happening with Sony everywhere else WW then Japan is definitely on the digital uptick for them. Black Myth Wukong tore up the charts on PSN Japan last year and that didn't have a physical version at launch. So there's some growth there for sure, how much at this point, who knows. I just believe at this point with certain titles it's possible to be over 50% and that doesn't have to be the ceiling anymore. 

Xbox Consoles in Japan according to Famitsu.

Can it get to 50% of what X360 sold? a.k.a 808k ?

Famitsu Retail Game sales YTD, courtesy of Nocturnal over on Install Base:

1. [NS2] Mario Kart World (Nintendo) - 1.655.926
2. [PS5] Monster Hunter Wilds (Capcom) - 816.454
3. [NSW] Super Mario Party: Jamboree (Nintendo) - 425.289
4. [NS2] Donkey Kong Bananza (Nintendo) - 286.119
5. [NSW] Donkey Kong Country Returns HD (Nintendo) - 277.204
6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) - 262.136
7. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft) - 227.322
8. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) - 186.580
9. [NSW] Tamagotchi Plaza (Bandai Namco) - 178.809
10. [NSW] Fantasy Life i: The Girl Who Steals Time (Level 5) - 157.178
11. [NSW] Switch Sports (Nintendo) - 125.207
12. [NSW] Xenoblade Chronicles X (Nintendo) - 113.492
13. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet (Pokemon Co) - 113.420
14. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo) - 109.292
15. [PS5] Dynasty Warriors: Origins (Koei Tecmo) - 101.119
16. [NSW] Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba 2 (Aniplex) - 97.425
17. [PS5] Death Stranding 2 (Sony) - 95.144
18. [PS5] Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii (Sega) - 83.533
19. [NSW] Dragon Quest III HD-2D Remake (Square Enix) - 78.014
20. [NSW] Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma (Marvelous) - 75.524
21. [PS5] Elden Ring: Nightreign (From Software) - 71.559
22. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo) - 68.644
23. [NSW] Super Mario Bros. Wonder (Nintendo) - 65.880
24. [PS5] Metal Gear Solid Δ: Snake Eater (Konami) - 63.585 / NEW
25. [NSW] Splatoon 3 (Nintendo) - 62.686
26. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) - 61.571
27. [NSW] Super Robot Wars Y (Bandai Namco) - 60.532 / NEW
28. [NS2] Super Mario Party Jamboree Jamboree TV (Nintendo) - 55.177
29. [NSW] Yu-Gi-Oh! Early Days Collection (Konami) - 55.042
30. [NS2] Tamagotchi Plaza (Bandai Namco) - 53.310
31. [NSW] Suikoden I & II HD Remaster (Konami) - 53.136
32. [NSW] Kirby and the Forgotten Land (Nintendo) - 51.522
33. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 49.309
34. [PS4] Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii (Sega) - 48.500
35. [NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) - 47.272
36. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Grand Bazaar (Marvelous) - 46.586 / NEW
37. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu World (Konami) - 46.226
38. [NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Rhythm Festival (Bandai Namco) - 43.196
39. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 42.154
40. [NSW] It Takes Two (Electronic Arts) - 40.930
41. [NSW] Power Pros 2024-2025 (Konami) - 40.796
42. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 40.683
43. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (Nintendo) - 38.439
44. [NSW] Mobile Suit Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny Remastered (Bandai Namco) - 38.094
45. [NS2] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 37.385
46. [NS2] The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (Nintendo) - 36.548
47. [NSW] Atelier Yumia (Koei Tecmo) - 36.304
48. [NSW] Tales of Graces f Remastered (Bandai Namco) - 35.936
49. [PS5] Atelier Yumia (Koei Tecmo) - 35.896
50. [NSW] Pikmin 4 (Nintendo) - 34.952
51. [NSW] The Battle Cats Unite! (Ponos) - 33.842
52. [PS5] Assassin's Creed: Shadows (Ubisoft) - 33.008
53. [NSW] The Hundred Line: Last Defense Academy (Aniplex) - 31.492

NSW - 36
PS5 - 7
NS2 - 6
PS4 - 1

TOTAL: 6.927.037
NSW: 3.486.782 (50.3%)
NS2: 2.124.465 (30.7%)
PS5: 1.267.290 (18.3%)
PS4: 48.500 (0.7%)


Top 10 Publishers

1. Nintendo - 4.043.475 (58.4%)
2. Capcom - 816.454 (11.8%)
3. Bandai Namco - 409.877 (5.9%)
4. Other - 383.072 (5.5%)
5. Konami - 299.468 (4.3%)
6. Microsoft - 227.322 (3.3%)
7. Sega - 181.342 (2.6%)
8. Koei Tecmo - 173.319 (2.5%)
9. Level 5 - 157.178 (2.3%)
10. Marvelous - 122.110 (1.8%)
11. Pokemon Co - 113.420 (1.6%)

Also, from Celine over there:

Software YTD by platform until this week using Famitsu's public available data:
NS1: 4.163.706 (51.1%)
NS2: 2.253.736 (27.6%)
PS5: 1.638.493 (20.1%)
PS4: 97.448 (1.2%)

Hardware YTD until this week using Famitsu's public available data:
NS2: 1.934.080 (LTD: 1.934.080)
NS1: 1.049.721 (LTD: 35.945.480)
PS5: 559.236 (LTD: 6.978.242)
XBS: 25.066 (LTD: 682.767)

I'm surprised DK Bananza is only #8.

DK Bananza already being the 4th bestselling game of the year at retail (with DK Country Returns HD right behind at 5th place) is pretty good and cool to see.

@XtremeBG.  Anything above 700k is a hard ask in my opinion. I think 750k might be the ceiling.

DK Bananza holds significant potential for future installments. I hope it enjoys strong longevity and continues to grow through word-of-mouth, as every person I know who owns it highly recommends it.
Zebra Zebra!

Also, after only 4 days of tracking MGS Delta was the #1 selling game on PSN Japan for the month of August which was announced this morning on their blog.