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Forums - Sales - Switch 2 Ships 26.35M. LT sales expectations?

 

Lifetime sales expectations?

Under 80M 1 4.76%
 
80-100M 3 14.29%
 
100-115M 0 0%
 
115-130M 9 42.86%
 
130-150M 5 23.81%
 
150M+ 3 14.29%
 
Total:21

I voted 120~140 initially but I'm adjusting down to 80~120

Prices are increasing, this hobby is becoming less accessible and smaller sales are expected



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Since many people are adjusting, I will be resetting the poll once the quarter report is released, 2 weeks from now.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Switch 2 ships 23.68M by 30.06.2026.
Poll reset. Vote now!



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Nintendo should release Switch 2 Pro in 4 years. Later, I expect Switch 2 Tablet version to be released to increase the sales and reach people who want a productivity device that can be used for gaming too at the price of $799. If Nintendo executes this well they can sell 160M+ Switch 2 devices.



Im expecting around the 130M range. I think the primary thing that's gonna keep it from getting to Switch 1 numbers in the price. 500$ is not an easy or accessible entry price point anymore for less casual gamers to pick it up as much as Switch 1.

Also, some Switch 1 owners might feel content with the hybrid concept of Switch 1 and not feel the need to upgrade
Switch 1 had the novelty factor advantage



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My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

It's a bit hard to say as most of Nintendo's big hitters are still absent from the system, so we don't know how well they perform on the Switch 2. But I do expect many people waiting for them before buying a Switch 2, so I think it has a lot of potential to at least do 120M+



115M is right around what I expect, but since I have to choose I will pick over rather than under.