Switch 2 is super popular, wow

Nearly 18k is pretty darn good for a system that's been replaced.

With its successor so hard to come by, the original must still seem a decent alternative for those who don't want to wait.

The real question is who will reach 7 million first???? NS2 or the PS5?

If the ps5 averages 5k a week the switch 2 would need to average well over 300k a week to reach 7 million first.

The debate is real more about number like 7.5M. Will the Switch 2 sell 6M more before the PS5 sells 600k more ?

Yeah, I think 7.5m is a good number for comparison; it's impossible for Switch 2 to cross 7m first and absolutely certain that it will reach 8m before PS5.

Top 30: https://nintendoeverything.com/famitsu-software-sales-6-30-25-7-6-25-top-30/

1. [NS2] Mario Kart World – 114,106 / 1,299,219
3. [NSW] Tamagotchi Plaza – 24,173 / 126,462
3. [PS5] Death Stranding 2 – 11,471 / 83,435
4. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe – 7,441 / 6,366,260
5. [NSW] Super Mario Party Jamboree – 6,307 / 1,338,302
6. [NS2] Tamagotchi Plaza Nintendo Switch 2 Edition – 6,204 / 32,600
7. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons – 5,915 / 8,160,492
8. [NSW] Minecraft – 5,480 / 3,928,867
9. [NSW] Fantasy Life i: The Girl Who Steals Time – 5,154 / 141,175
10. [NSW] Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma – 3,876 / 68,666

11. [NS2] Yakuza 0 Director’s Cut – 3,369 / 19,470
12. [NS2] Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma Nintendo Switch 2 Edition – 3,005 / 20,735
13. [NSW] ToHeart – 2,701 / 20,777
14. [NSW] Raidou Remastered – 2,662 / 27,750
15. [NSW] Pokemon Scarlet / Violet – 2,538 / 5,577,051
16. [NS2] Zelda: Breath of the Wild – Nintendo Switch 2 Edition – 2,406 / 26,462
17. [NSW] Nintendo Switch Sports – 2,368 / 1,608,725
18. [NS2] Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom – Nintendo Switch 2 Edition – 2,106 / 23,973
19. [PS5] Elden Ring Nightreign – 2,098 / 68,688
20. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate – 2,068 / 5,772,958
21. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics – 1,556 / 1,416,506
22. [NSW] Splatoon 3 – 1,538 / 4,452,354
23. [NS2] Nintendo Switch 2 Welcome Tour (Download Card) – 1,224 / 8,784
24. [NSW] The Battle Cats Unite – 1,202 / 347,082
25. [NSW] Castlevania Anniversary Collection – 1,197 / 14,114
26. [NSW] Super Mario Bros. Wonder – 1,194 / 2,021,179
27. [NSW] Zelda: Breath of the Wild – 1,169 / 2,390,435
28. [PS5] Raidou Remastered – 1,129 / 22,697
29. [NSW] Kirby and the Forgotten Land – 1,102 / 1,210,624
30. [NSW] Donkey Kong Country Returns HD – 1,063 / 275,840

NS - 20
NS2 - 7
PS5 - 3

At this rate, I wonder if Mario Kart World will beat MK8DX total sales in Japan.

In fact, if those sales keep going on for a while, maybe even AK:NH could be threatened on the throne.

I think the question is: How long will it take the Switch 2 to overtake lifetime sales of PS5 in Japan? Given current trajectories, i would expect it to happen in 2026, Pokemon gen 10 launching on Switch 2 next year will probably take the Switch 2 over PS5 there and then at the latest.

Switch 2 is catching up very quickly already. After more than 1 month on the market Switch 2 already has an install base that it took PS5 a good way into 2022 to reach in Japan.

If they manage to get stock, holidays will be massive