Jumpin

Currently Offline

94,257

12480 posts since 22/03/09

Recent Badges:

Shipped Or Sold? 15 comments posted on VGChartz sales articles.
God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
15 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 15 years.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
Congratulations on Pressing Start! Score your first game in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Final Fantasy VIII (All)
Final Fantasy VII (NS)

Jumpin on 03 August 2025

Jumpin said:

Well, in 4 days, Nintendo just eclipsed 4 months of PS5 sales. So itâ€™s not just looking like a Nintendo win, but it might not even be close.

And now that we have VGChartz numbers, it looks like Switch 2 leads in 2025 after just 4 weeks on the market vs 6 months of PS5. Switch 2 satisfied the requirement of an unprecedented supply at launch and flew so high above the record that Pachter’s head reportedly disconnected from his spine, flew up, and spun around 37 times, before falling back into place and reconnecting.

Last edited by Jumpin - on 04 August 2025

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

XtremeBG

Currently Offline

18,310

2104 posts since 25/07/11

Recent Badges:

Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
First Rung Of The Ladder Earned 10,000 gamrPoints
Social Butterfly 50 friends on gamrConnect.
You're Golden Subscribed at least one month as a Gold Tier Supporter.
12 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 12 years.
Man or Robot? Managed to avoid being banned for 10 years.

XtremeBG on 03 August 2025

So .. console gaming was dead eh ? If we need to have that types of discussions who will sell more, than it's not dead. Sony is doing good, Nintendo is doing more than good, only if Microsoft could join the party .. I miss those 360 days .. We could have one interesting relatively close battle between the three now instead of just Sony and Nintendo ..

But yeah with launch like this, I don't think Switch 2 will sell anything below 100M lifetime. And that is the base minimum, I don't want to speak too soon, but it's looking very good for now. At this time I see it way more likely Switch 2 will sell definitely more than PS5 this year. It's holiday will be 10M at minimum, it can do another 5M by the start of November. So 20M for the year should be guarantee. While PS5 will end up somewhere around 16-17M.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 03 August 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

DroidKnight

Currently Online

25,130

4373 posts since 17/09/16

Recent Badges:

Making Friends 10 friends on gamrConnect.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
Mighty Heart Logged in on Valentine's Day.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.

DroidKnight on 03 August 2025

...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

MadDogg

Currently Offline

493

79 posts since 01/07/24

Recent Badges:

1st Birthday Has been a VGChartz member for over 1 year.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
Escape Artist Managed to avoid being banned for 1 month.
Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.

MadDogg on 04 August 2025

DroidKnight said:

Well this competition is over. No way ps5 outsells switch 2 for the remainder of the year.

pretty crazy.

Phenomajp13

Banned

2,727

532 posts since 18/12/23

Recent Badges:

Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
Happy Birthday Logged in on your birthday.

Phenomajp13 on 04 August 2025

So we weren't quite over the top optimistic about Switch 2? Well what do you know! I imagine Switch 2 could lead PS5 by around 1 million for the year.

Sephiran

Currently Offline

2,750

466 posts since 26/10/24

Recent Badges:

1st Birthday Has been a VGChartz member for over 1 year.
Happy Birthday Logged in on your birthday.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.

Sephiran on 04 August 2025

The big advantage the Switch 2 has is that it will dominate PS5 sales in Japan this year, meaning even if PS5 ships more in total than Switch 2 in NA/EU this year, the huge Japanese sales difference should put the Switch 2 over PS5 in 2025 shipments.

Wman1996

Currently Offline

22,654

3198 posts since 01/02/15

Recent Badges:

4 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 4 years.
A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Shipped Or Sold? 15 comments posted on VGChartz sales articles.
Mighty Heart Logged in on Valentine's Day.

Wman1996 on 04 August 2025

Phenomajp13 said:

So we weren't quite over the top optimistic about Switch 2? Well what do you know! I imagine Switch 2 could lead PS5 by around 1 million for the year.

It could, but I think looking ahead it will outpace PS5 in 2026. GTA VI is not even enough to change that. Yes, GTA VI will help sell some PS5 consoles, but plenty of the players will be people who already have a PS5.

Lifetime Sales Predictions

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

firebush03

Currently Offline

16,741

2153 posts since 18/07/23

Recent Badges:

Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
You've Reached the Bronze Age Subscribed at least one month as a Bronze Tier Supporter.
Mirror Image Awarded for uploading an avatar.
Shipped Or Sold? 15 comments posted on VGChartz sales articles.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Quite a Comeback Enter your first Prediction League event.

Currently Playing:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (NS)

firebush03 on 04 August 2025

Norion said:

160rmf said:

That aged badly

To be fair the Switch 2 needed an absolutely record shattering first 7 months to have any shot so I think the reasoning was fine. Due to the circumstances the PS5 was a heavy favourite though unlikely events do happen occasionally. I never fully discounted the possibility while others said there was no chance the Switch 2 does it so there's worse aging posts in here. Hell Rol basically said the same sort of thing I did back in May as well.

yet i was the one who was bold lol. It wasn’t hard to see that 2.1mil pre-order requests from JP alone would equate to record-shattering figures.

firebush03

Currently Offline

16,741

2153 posts since 18/07/23

Recent Badges:

Shipped Or Sold? 15 comments posted on VGChartz sales articles.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
Escape Artist Managed to avoid being banned for 1 month.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
Breaking Out Managed to avoid being banned for 1 year.
Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.

Currently Playing:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (NS)
The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (NS)

firebush03 on 04 August 2025

Zippy6 said:

firebush03 said:

(i should've just multi-quoted you lol.) Not sure if â€œboldâ€Â is the right word: Nintendo had been making a big statement about how they would meet Switch 2 demand, and seeing that that JP had 2.2mil pre-order requests, it then must follow Nintendo would likely be seeing nothing short of 5mil in June alone (2.8mil from EU+NA is a conservative estimate according to JP demand). And knowing that demand would not slow down, expecting 3-5mil for the Fall quarter & 10mil for the Christmas quarter fall very in-line with reality.

15m shipments in 10 months will be basically the fastest of all time if achieved afaik. With the numbers you've put they'd be doing about 22-24m in 10 months, shipping over 50% faster than the previous fastest selling console of all time. 18-20m in 7 months was never on the cards.

also, turns out i was correct…at least, as far as June is concerned. You guys should’ve listened.