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Forums - Sales - When will the Switch pass 160M? (PS2 vs NSW chart)

 

When will the Switch pass 160M?

By end of 2027 3 12.50%
 
In 2028 2 8.33%
 
In 2029 5 20.83%
 
In 2030 5 20.83%
 
Never 9 37.50%
 
Total:24
znake 5 days ago

After 2027 holidays !!



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XtremeBG 4 days ago
Norion said:
XtremeBG said:

Unfortunately, we still don't have sure answer. The forecast is exactly at the 50/50 line. Although overall it's going more for being short of 160M, there are still a lot of people and also some chance, of getting there. So the conversations continue for at least 1 more year (if not more).

I'd say we basically do have a sure answer now since they'd need to exceed the forecast to have any shot still but considering they failed to meet the initial forecast the last two times and are giving it a significant price increase in the one region it's still selling decently I see no chance of them exceeding the forecast.

Not sure enough for everyone I mean. Since many people hoped for forecast of around 2M, that gives them the needed amount of hope, so the conversations can continue. 



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Norion 4 days ago
XtremeBG said:
Norion said:

I'd say we basically do have a sure answer now since they'd need to exceed the forecast to have any shot still but considering they failed to meet the initial forecast the last two times and are giving it a significant price increase in the one region it's still selling decently I see no chance of them exceeding the forecast.

Not sure enough for everyone I mean. Since many people hoped for forecast of around 2M, that gives them the needed amount of hope, so the conversations can continue. 

It just feels like you need to outright ignore console sales data at this point to think it's anything more than a pipe dream now. It is wild to me that only 30% of people have picked never in the new poll so far but I guess there's gonna be people having wishful thinking about this till the day the Switch is discontinued.



XtremeBG 3 days ago

Although I believe Switch 1 will end somewhere between 158M and 159M, I will entertain the idea of going over 160M with some unlikely, but not impossible projection of the future shipments, and will even add salt to the matter, by having this fiscal year coming short of the 2M forecast and drops of under 50% per year:

By end of March 2027 - 157.8M shipped (1.88M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 158.8M shipped (1M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.4M shipped (600k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.8m shipped (400k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.01m shipped (210k for the fiscal year)

For the folks that do believe Nintendo will match and even exceed it's forecast, here is another one, with drops of around 50% each year:

By end of March 2027 - 158M shipped (2.08M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 159.04M shipped (1.04M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.6M shipped (560k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.88m shipped (280k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.02m shipped (140k for the fiscal year)

Last edited by XtremeBG - 2 days ago

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Ashadelo 3 days ago
XtremeBG said:

Although I believe Switch 1 will end somewhere between 158M and 159M, I will entertain the idea of going over 160M with some unlikely, but not impossible projection of the future shipments, and will even add salt to the matter, by having this fiscal year coming short of the 2M forecast and drops of under 50% per year:

By end of March 2027 - 157.8M shipped (1.88M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 158.8M shipped (1M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.4M shipped (600k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.8m shipped (400k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.01m shipped (210k for the fiscal year)

For the folks that do believe Nintendo will match and even exceed it's forecast, here is another one, with drops of around 50% each year:

By end of March 2027 - 158M shipped (2.08M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 159.05M shipped (1.05M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.6M shipped (550k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.88m shipped (280k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.01m shipped (130k for the fiscal year)

hmmm, i love salt, its needed for a functional healthy body.

With that said, my guess is somewhere in 2029. I think theres another pandemic brewing.



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