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Although I believe Switch 1 will end somewhere between 158M and 159M, I will entertain the idea of going over 160M with some unlikely, but not impossible projection of the future shipments, and will even add salt to the matter, by having this fiscal year coming short of the 2M forecast and drops of under 50% per year:

By end of March 2027 - 157.8M shipped (1.88M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 158.8M shipped (1M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.4M shipped (600k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.8m shipped (400k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.01m shipped (210k for the fiscal year)

For the folks that do believe Nintendo will match and even exceed it's forecast, here is another one, with drops of around 50% each year:

By end of March 2027 - 158M shipped (2.08M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2028 - 159.04M shipped (1.04M for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2029 - 159.6M shipped (560k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2030 - 159.88m shipped (280k for the fiscal year)
By end of March 2031 - 160.02m shipped (140k for the fiscal year)

Last edited by XtremeBG - 2 days ago

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2