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Forums - Sales - New target: Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 37 million?

 

Do you think it will?

Yes, it will 6 66.67%
 
No, it will fall short 3 33.33%
 
Total:9
trunkswd 1 day ago

Ignoring the chance of our estimates being a million or two off, the Xbox Series will likely top 38 million by the time it stops selling. If Helix doesn't come out until holiday 2028 you could add another million or so on top of that. However, I don't see 40 million as possible.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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tak13 1 day ago

50-50 now, a lurker voted yes in the last minute.
I thought the poll has closed.



tak13 1 day ago
trunkswd said:
XtremeBG said:

Another solid month for the Series, with not only 100k+, but almost 130k. It is 35.45k by end of September. It's reaching 36M by end of the year. The title should be changed to 37M, or even 38M if you want to go longer time, and to be more interesting. I still think 38M is not out of the question, although most likely is something around 37.5M

Sad to call this a solid month for Xbox Series. But given the price increases and the the last few years of sales, yeah it is doing better than I was expecting. I was expecting sales to crash after the August increase.

It had a whopping 150$ increase, something that slipped my mind.

Now it's explained how it was down by 27% in sales (in the USA) but only 2% in revenue.

How do you define crash?

Because if we take into account that September was a month of five weeks, it almost had it imo.

Disclaimer, if any who hasn't seen past comments here and considers my post an exhibition of an anti Xbox sentiment, I was a staunch believer back in time that Xbox had 36m in the bag hardware (vgc wise at least) and tried to substantiate it. 

Last edited by tak13 - 1 day ago

curl-6 1 day ago

Yeah 550k to go now, though once ROTW is added that will drop even further. This holiday should do it; when I originally posed this question most thought it wouldn't make it. 

Given the general doom and disaster surrounding the Xbox brand, it's a change of pace to see it win something for a change.



tak13 1 day ago
trunkswd said:

Ignoring the chance of our estimates being a million or two off, the Xbox Series will likely top 38 million by the time it stops selling. If Helix doesn't come out until holiday 2028 you could add another million or so on top of that. However, I don't see 40 million as possible.

With rumored price of helix, for God's sake will this turn out to be true? 

They should keep it as a cheaper choice and then maybe 38m+.

A new thread poll whether it hits 38 going to be more amusing.

How much has it sold so far in 2026?

It's not visible in tools sales hardware by date (yearly) , it doesn't show if the year is not completed. Upd: nevermind, my mistake.

1.2m so far

Last edited by tak13 - 1 day ago

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curl-6 1 day ago
tak13 said:

How much has it sold so far in 2026?

It's not visible in tools sales hardware by date (yearly) , it doesn't show if the year is not completed. 

Yeah I'd be curious to know this too.

Also, how does one close a poll without deleting it?



tak13 1 day ago
curl-6 said:
tak13 said:

How much has it sold so far in 2026?

It's not visible in tools sales hardware by date (yearly) , it doesn't show if the year is not completed. 

Yeah I'd be curious to know this too.

Also, how does one close a poll without deleting it?

1.2m

Eventually it's visible, my mistake.

Hard to spot it, at least on mobile. 

Last edited by tak13 - 1 day ago

XtremeBG 1 day ago
curl-6 said:

Yeah 550k to go now, though once ROTW is added that will drop even further. This holiday should do it; when I originally posed this question most thought it wouldn't make it. 

Given the general doom and disaster surrounding the Xbox brand, it's a change of pace to see it win something for a change.

ROTW figures are always added with the Japan ones. They are already in that number. But still, 550k are a given, with the holidays coming.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Biggest months, years and holidays / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

curl-6 23 hours ago

Update!

With 36m now looking like a foregone conclusion, it's time to raise the stakes a bit.

Do you think Xbox Series can make it to 37 million, and why/why not?



JRPGfan 19 hours ago
curl-6 said:

Update!

With 36m now looking like a foregone conclusion, it's time to raise the stakes a bit.

Do you think Xbox Series can make it to 37 million, and why/why not?

I think sneaking past 38m is possible.... but that is a maybe.
I do however think 37m is very very likely to happen. 

Sometime in 2028, I think you will see Xbox Series, above 37m.

Why? because I suspect it can do like ~1m or so, in 2027.
This is just my hunch.... if they do 1.4-1.5m this year, I suspect next year will be abit lower.