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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict console sales for November and December (Japan)

Famitsu Week 45 Week 46 Week 47 Week 48 Week 49 Week 50 Week 51 Week 52 Total
Switch 90,478 97,542 170,693 156,127 152,284 158,106 173,083 163,556 1,161,869
PS5 13,274 28,716 32,749 50,920 27,835 18,822 70,496 68,819 311,631
XBS 3,113 748 1,527 11,939 1,854 1,524 910 1,109 22,724

The end of the year is already here, so lets predict how much these consoles will sell in Japan.

Context:

Switch

2017- 1.302m

2018- 1.506m

2019- 1.587m

2020- 1.556m

2021- 1.238m

PS4/PS5

2018(PS4)- 382k

2019(PS4)- 285k

2020- 48k(PS4) and 255k(PS5 launch)

2021(PS5) - 66k

XBS

2020- 31k (XBS launch)

2021- 15k

Some people have already predicted in the Famitsu thread for the Switch, so I thought it would be fun to do all 3 consoles.

Last edited by Farsala - on 29 December 2022

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Well the PS5 seems to be gearing up for a massive holiday globally, but how much of that will be Japan is hard to say. Still, I'll throw down some numbers:

Switch - 1350k

PS5 - 250k

Xbox Series - 70k



Try out my free game on Steam

2024 OpenCritic Prediction Leagues:

Nintendo | PlayStation | Multiplat

Switch

2022 - around 1M

PS5

2022 - around 300k

XBSX

2022 - around 100k



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts

Switch 1.15 million
PS5 350k
Xbox Series 95K



Switch - 1.2mil
PS5 - 260k
XBS - 60k

Last year I remember the PS5 having several very bad weeks right in the holiday period. It won't be nearly as bad this time.



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Switch ~ 1.4M

PS5 ~ 280k

XS ~ 135k

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 06 November 2022

Switch 1.75 milion
PS5 225k
Xbox Series 90k



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

NSW: 1.15 million
Ps5: 300k
Xbox series: 95k



As for me I think...

Switch ~ 1.1M

PS5 ~ 220k

XS ~ 55k

Pretty pessimistic overall. Switch will probably be slightly down YoY. PS5 won't have enough to stock until week 1 2023 for a big week. XS will maintain about 4k per week until getting a slight uptick during the holidays. Let's hope I am wrong on all predictions!



Predictions close when Famitsu releases their next sales report (Week 45).