I will again post that here. The last quarter is 0.55M. You see how much of a drop this is ? More than 50%. And even with the adjusted forecast of 4M, Nintendo didn't reach the 4M. 3.25+0.55 is 3.8M. So from 4.5M originally, down to 3.8M. I won't be surprised if that 2M end something like 1.7M or even 1.5M in the end. And with the price increase announced for Japan, the last possible leg that Switch could show was cut off. 157.5M by end of March 2027, and 158.5M at best by March 2028. That 1.5M will be very hard at this point, and the speed by it will be going by end of the year, and especially by end of next year.

Damn without the price rise they might have actually done it

Mess.
If they increase price for King Switch 1 it is because they have planned something else like new bundles….

Fingers crossed , I still believe they will break the record, we’re still in May at 156.5 million ,
158m after these 2026 holidays
160m for next fiscal year

But Nintendo also raised the Switch 2's price. The Switch 1 is still the cheapest video game console in the market and it is one factor in favor of it. It will be hard for it, but still, not impossible.

2027 sells 2 million - 157.92m

2028 sells 1 million - 158.92m

2029 sells 500k - 159.42m

2030 sells 250k - 159.67m

2031 sells 125k - 159.79m

All that for a drop of blood. Mods this is a pointless discussion now.

How many units of Nintendo Switches do you guys think have been produced so far? (Not shipped or sold)

Switch Compared to DS

 Switch needs 4.08 to reach 160.

Darn. Here I was thinking it’d be all said and done this morning… 158mil is a little bit higher than I was expecting for FY’27. It’ll be razor thin in the end, it seems. The JP price hike certainly isn’t helping anything— but it’s pretty obvious why Nintendo is doing this: To further encourage consumers to transition to NS2. Unfortunately I’m not sure Nintendo cares too much about hitting PS2 if it means damaging NS2 momentum.

Nintendo HAS to reach the 2 million shipped number to have any shot at this point. Given they've missed their forecasts recently for Switch 1 that isn't a great sign.

Yeah I was actually just about to edit my initial post (didn’t see that they had missed their previous target): I’m thinking that hitting 160mil is kinda a lost cause at this point, though I think 159mil would be a neat milestone to keep an eye out on.

The way I see it is that Nintendo is likely holding off from dropping their mega releases for the casual crowd until the Lite model release in 2027. That’s when we’ll start to see the traditional Nintendo tentpoles like 3D Mario and mainline Pokémon hit the system, with the budget system no longer be the NS1 but NS2Lite, at which point Nintendo will either hike NS1 prices even further to incentivize consumers to enter into the NS2 ecosystem or flat out discontinue the system— just look how soon they discontinued DS after 3DS (and DS 2012 is selling stronger than NS1 2026).