November 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from November 2 to 29 and will be released on December 17.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for November 2024:

1. PS5 - 1,238K
2. NS - 596K
3. XS - 434K

VGChartz US estimates for October 2025:

1. NS2 - 328K
2. PS5 - 211K
3. XS - 75K
4. NS - 52K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

• Black Friday
• PS5 discounted by $100 starting November 21
• Major game releases
  
  • Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 (PS5, XS, PC) on November 14
  • Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment (NS2) on November 6
  • Kirby Air Riders (NS2) on November 20

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

• Nov (Nov 2 - Nov 29) - Dec 17
• Dec (Nov 30 - Jan 3) - Jan 22

1. NS2 - 1.5M
2. PS5 - 1M
3. NS - 200K
4. XS - 150K

1. PS5 - 1.3m
2. NS2 - 1.1m
3. XS - 300k
4. NS - 175k

NS2 1.5 million
PS5 900k
Xbox 250k
Switch 200k

Switch 2- 1.4 million
PS5- 1.1 million
Xbox- 210k
Switch- 160k

[REV] 930M

1. [PS5] 930K
2. [NS2] 740K
3. [XBS] 140K
4. [NSW] 85K

Can't really put into words why, but the USA market for me personally has become tough to predict. It's also been a very strange back and forth between USA and Europe looking at PS5.

Nevertheless:

• PS5 - 1405K
• Switch 2 - 1360K
• Switch - 356K
• X|S - 226K (298K)

1. PS5 - 1.45 million
2. NS2 - 1.44 million
3. XBS - 120k

My prediciton is that PS5 and NS2 are narly tied. It could go either way but given the huge Black Friday sale that started a whole week earlier, I am going to give it to the PS5.
And somehow, I still think that the PS5 is gonna sell more dureing next November and the GTA 6 release.

Where is Switch 1 ?

And... if it releases next November at all.. 2 delays .. will there be third one ?

I don't have a Switch 1 prediction but I assume it will be above the XBS by quite a lot.  

As far as the delay... following the trends of the past, we should be good on the next November.   I think both Switch 2 and PS5 will have massive months.  I actually believe that Next November will be a record month around  the industry.   It may not be a huge boost for Xbox but it will be enough of a boost to stave off any further YoY declines.