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Forums - Sales - Japan Consoles Showdown 2025 |Completed|

XtremeBG on 01 January 2025

This is the Japan Console Showdown comparison thread for 2025.

It will be only for the Japan region, and will be the only sales thread from me, that will be updated weekly since the site is updating the worldwide numbers monthly instead of weekly. Just to clarify, my data is strictly adjusted with the VGChartz data. I fill up the data from Famitsu when it comes out, and when the given month data is out on VGChartz, I adjust that with those slightly different numbers. They are slightly different from the Famitsu ones, because there is 1 day difference in the weeks. That 1 day difference is there because the weeks are adjusted in order to be the same days they are with the NPD/Circana weeks (and Europe too).

The battles for this year for Japan are as follows:

  • Nintendo Switch 2 vs NSW '19 (4.45M)
  • Nintendo Switch vs PS3 '10 (1.55M)
  • PlayStation 5 vs PS3 '08 (1.05M)

For comparisons of other regions as well as worldwide ones you can check the Ultimate Consoles Showdown 2025 thread, or the Lifetime ones for Worldwide and Regional which are all updated monthly. You want to see how a console compares to it's previous years ? Year on Year Charts Showdown thread is the place.

The target for all of the comparisons is to be as close as possible and to give us better perspective where the given console is going this year and having good chance of finishing close in the end. Therefore if some of the contenders go way too far one from another then, the contender's year, or even the contender itself may change, so that it suits better to the given's console performance. Other thing is also I would not repeat main competitor (on the tables) from the year prior, so even if it's a good fit, I would always look for a different one, so it's always new, fresh and interesting.

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Switch 2019 vs Switch 2 Comparison

Week/Month NSW '19 - Weekly NSW '19 - Yearly NSW 2 - Weekly NSW 2 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 207,668 207,668 - - -207,668 -207,668
2 81,844 289,512 - - -81,844 -289,512
3 74,265 363,777 - - -74,265 -363,777
4 55,124 418,901 - - -55,124 -418,901
February 71,057 489,958 - - -71,057 -489,958
6 64,191 554,149 - - -64,191 -554,149
7 68,641 622,790 - - -68,641 -622,790
8 55,927 678,717 - - -55,927 -678,717
March 70,866 749,583 - - -70,866 -749,583
10 72,318 821,901 - - -72,318 -821,901
11 59,542 881,443 - - -59,542 -881,443
12 59,257 940,700 - - -59,257 -940,700
13 52,109 992,809 - - -52,109 -992,809
April 48,205 1,041,014 - - -48,205 -1,041,014
15 59,374 1,100,388 - - -59,374 -1,100,388
16 44,185 1,144,573 - - -44,185 -1,144,573
17 52,289 1,196,862 - - -52,289 -1,196,862
May 55,832 1,252,694 - - -55,832 -1,252,694
19 47,901 1,300,595 - - -47,901 -1,300,595
20 30,045 1,330,640 - - -30,045 -1,330,640
21 31,298 1,361,938 - - -31,298 -1,361,938
June 36,766 1,398,704 767,125 767,125 +730,359 -631,579
23 37,468 1,436,172 154,521 921,646 +117,053 -514,526
24 38,035 1,474,207 140,827 1,062,473 +102,792 -411,734
25 35,118 1,509,325 143,272 1,205,745 +108,154 -303,580
26 61,245 1,570,570 111,202 1,316,947 +49,957 -253,623
July 74,109 1,644,679 72,029 1,388,976 -2,080 -255,703
28 59,456 1,704,135 152,393 1,541,369 +92,937 -162,766
29 49,551 1,753,686 92,151 1,633,520 +42,600 -120,166
30 46,744 1,800,430 62,889 1,696,409 +16,145 -104,021
August 39,215 1,839,645 78,959 1,775,368 +39,744 -64,277
32 46,257 1,885,902 98,876 1,874,244 +52,619 -11,658
33 47,432 1,933,334 35,166 1,909,410 -12,266 -23,924
34 33,746 1,967,080 41,986 1,951,396 +8,240 -15,684
September 87,938 2,055,018 46,386 1,997,782 -41,552 -57,236
36 72,941 2,127,959 44,257 2,042,039 -28,684 -85,920
37 54,923 2,182,882 40,709 2,082,748 -14,214 -100,134
38 230,060 2,412,942 44,114 2,126,862 -185,946 -286,080
39 189,285 2,602,227 44,457 2,171,319 -144,828 -430,908
October 84,744 2,686,971 46,868 2,218,187 -37,876 -468,784
41 64,156 2,751,127 201,726 2,419,913 +137,570 -331,214
42 82,532 2,833,659 65,461 2,485,374 -17,071 -348,285
43 66,234 2,899,893 83,844 2,569,218 +17,610 -330,675
November 116,222 3,016,115 90,433 2,659,651 -25,789 -356,464
45 85,570 3,101,685 101,584 2,761,235 +16,014 -340,450
46 161,802 3,263,487 126,988 2,888,223 -34,814 -375,264
47 160,316 3,423,803 97,746 2,985,969 -62,570 -437,834
December 167,222 3,591,025 203,441 3,189,410 +36,219 -401,615
49 168,691 3,759,716 190,978 3,380,388 +22,287 -379,328
50 216,949 3,976,665 221,059 3,601,447 +4,110 -375,218
51 271,186 4,247,851 200,294 3,801,741 -70,892 -446,110
52 213,652 4,461,503 216,579 4,018,320 +2,927 -443,183

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PlayStation 3 2010 vs 2025 Nintendo Switch Comparison

Week/Month PS3 '10 - Weekly PS3 '10 - Yearly NSW - Weekly NSW - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 62,406 62,406 57,846 57,846 -4,560 -4,560
2 36,662 99,068 47,574 105,420 +10,912 +6,352
3 27,303 126,371 45,339 150,759 +18,036 +24,388
4 33,781 160,152 44,357 195,116 +10,576 +34,964
February 25,804 185,956 43,681 238,797 +17,877 +52,841
6 24,342 210,298 40,019 278,816 +15,677 +68,518
7 31,038 241,336 39,188 318,004 +8,150 +76,668
8 27,069 268,405 45,198 363,202 +18,129 +94,797
March 28,851 297,256 37,853 401,055 +9,002 +103,799
10 27,022 324,278 27,911 428,966 +889 +104,688
11 46,592 370,870 30,518 459,484 -16,074 +88,614
12 48,260 419,130 30,504 489,988 -17,756 +70,858
13 38,539 457,669 35,058 525,046 -3,481 +67,377
April 29,446 487,115 25,057 550,103 -4,389 +62,988
15 24,559 511,674 25,441 575,544 +882 +63,870
16 24,162 535,836 25,136 600,680 +974 +64,844
17 29,707 565,543 31,088 631,768 +1,381 +66,225
May 25,322 590,865 29,742 661,510 +4,420 +70,645
19 18,660 609,525 24,539 686,049 +5,879 +76,524
20 17,842 627,367 24,341 710,390 +6,499 +83,023
21 19,698 647,065 20,139 730,529 +441 +83,464
June 18,394 665,459 16,650 747,179 -1,744 +81,720
23 17,235 682,694 13,341 760,520 -3,894 +77,826
24 16,852 699,546 12,841 773,361 -4,011 +73,815
25 20,825 720,371 15,348 788,709 -5,477 +68,338
26 22,789 743,160 17,745 806,454 -5,044 +63,294
July 23,676 766,836 13,426 819,880 -10,250 +53,044
28 22,783 789,619 11,778 831,658 -11,005 +42,039
29 20,592 810,211 14,621 846,279 -5,971 +36,068
30 43,868 854,079 18,648 864,927 -25,220 +10,848
August 27,652 881,731 18,370 883,297 -9,282 +1,566
32 31,939 913,670 18,976 902,273 -12,963 -11,397
33 27,758 941,428 17,962 920,235 -9,796 -21,193
34 23,766 965,194 20,604 940,839 -3,162 -24,355
September 21,238 986,432 24,191 965,030 +2,953 -21,402
36 18,475 1,004,907 19,065 984,095 +590 -20,812
37 19,516 1,024,423 16,624 1,000,719 -2,892 -23,704
38 19,628 1,044,051 23,123 1,023,842 +3,495 -20,209
39 19,281 1,063,332 24,122 1,047,964 +4,841 -15,368
October 19,980 1,083,312 23,172 1,071,136 +3,192 -12,176
41 21,817 1,105,129 23,727 1,094,863 +1,910 -10,266
42 19,881 1,125,010 25,122 1,119,985 +5,241 -5,025
43 26,239 1,151,249 26,723 1,146,708 +484 -4,541
November 21,726 1,172,975 23,892 1,170,600 +2,166 -2,375
45 19,262 1,192,237 22,751 1,193,351 +3,489 +1,114
46 27,867 1,220,104 29,409 1,222,760 +1,542 +2,656
47 65,618 1,285,722 35,369 1,258,129 -30,249 -27,593
December 40,153 1,325,875 51,338 1,309,467 +11,185 -16,408
49 42,254 1,368,129 31,367 1,340,834 -10,887 -27,295
50 48,821 1,416,950 38,201 1,379,035 -10,620 -37,915
51 62,944 1,479,894 32,791 1,411,826 -30,153 -68,068
52 73,744 1,553,638 30,611 1,442,437 -43,133 -111,201

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2008 PlayStation 3 vs 2025 PlayStation 5 Comparison

Week/Month PS3 '08 - Weekly PS3 '08 - Yearly PS5 - Weekly PS5 - Yearly (+/-) Weekly (+/-) Yearly
January 68,433 68,433 46,685 46,685 -21,748 -21,748
2 37,183 105,616 11,834 58,519 -25,349 -47,097
3 35,760 141,376 10,747 69,266 -25,013 -72,110
4 32,315 173,691 12,348 81,614 -19,967 -92,077
February 39,676 213,367 12,879 94,493 -26,797 -118,874
6 22,942 236,309 14,417 108,910 -8,525 -127,399
7 18,175 254,484 16,058 124,968 -2,117 -129,516
8 13,801 268,285 13,565 138,533 -236 -129,752
March 14,035 282,320 108,992 247,525 +94,957 -34,795
10 21,424 303,744 52,539 300,064 +31,115 -3,680
11 16,796 320,540 27,872 327,936 +11,076 +7,396
12 14,726 335,266 15,221 343,157 +495 +7,891
13 12,345 347,611 13,739 356,896 +1,394 +9,285
April 11,375 358,986 12,527 369,423 +1,152 +10,437
15 8,482 367,468 8,871 378,294 +389 +10,826
16 7,963 375,431 7,502 385,796 -461 +10,365
17 10,000 385,431 9,455 395,251 -545 +9,820
May 10,800 396,231 10,763 406,014 -37 +9,783
19 8,443 404,674 8,621 414,635 +178 +9,961
20 7,498 412,172 6,562 421,197 -936 +9,025
21 8,757 420,929 6,745 427,942 -2,012 +7,013
June 9,113 430,042 15,277 443,219 +6,164 +13,177
23 10,637 440,679 20,798 464,017 +10,161 +23,338
24 77,679 518,358 14,143 478,160 -63,536 -40,198
25 23,037 541,395 6,012 484,172 -17,025 -57,223
26 18,697 560,092 7,342 491,514 -11,355 -68,578
July 15,993 576,085 8,638 500,152 -7,355 -75,933
28 13,494 589,579 7,275 507,427 -6,219 -82,152
29 11,703 601,282 6,162 513,589 -5,541 -87,693
30 11,437 612,719 6,928 520,517 -4,509 -92,202
August 10,336 623,055 7,154 527,671 -3,182 -95,384
32 10,167 633,222 8,536 536,207 -1,631 -97,015
33 12,294 645,516 8,595 544,802 -3,699 -100,714
34 8,729 654,245 6,442 551,244 -2,287 -103,001
September 10,471 664,716 8,322 559,566 -2,149 -105,150
36 8,493 673,209 31,714 591,280 +23,221 -81,929
37 8,132 681,341 21,721 613,001 +13,589 -68,340
38 8,260 689,601 8,396 621,397 +136 -68,204
39 8,370 697,971 16,927 638,324 +8,557 -59,647
October 7,400 705,371 27,359 665,683 +19,959 -39,688
41 5,875 711,246 14,812 680,495 +8,937 -30,751
42 4,810 716,056 12,098 692,593 +7,288 -23,463
43 4,056 720,112 10,515 703,108 +6,459 -17,004
November 38,171 758,283 7,549 710,657 -30,622 -47,626
45 22,399 780,682 7,704 718,361 -14,695 -62,321
46 20,426 801,108 5,867 724,228 -14,559 -76,880
47 17,895 819,003 37,007 761,235 +19,112 -57,768
48 35,339 854,342 35,801 797,036 +462 -57,306
December 28,432 882,774 25,263 822,299 -3,169 -60,475
50 32,169 914,943 18,929 841,228 -13,240 -73,715
51 38,431 953,374 19,325 860,553 -19,106 -92,821
52 47,464 1,000,838 19,249 879,802 -28,215 -121,036
53 64,970 1,065,808 31,071 910,873 -33,899 -154,935

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Poll from the third quarter of 2025:

Poll from the second quarter of 2025:

Poll from the first quarter of 2025:

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 15 January 2026

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Around the Network
XtremeBG on 16 January 2025

Data has been updated with weeks 1 and 2 from Famitsu.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Norion on 16 January 2025

1.5-1.7m is my guess for the Switch this year unless the Switch 2 releases later than expected. For the PS5 1.2-1.3m seems right due to Wilds and a lesser extent GTA 6 and the Pro model helping sales.

Last edited by Norion - on 24 October 2025

Shtinamin_ on 21 January 2025

Going over the two weeks of 2025 here is what we are dealing with.

Announcement of Switch 2 with a Direct on April 2nd

Sony dropped production on a plethora of software and will stop producing PS4 software

Microsoft says they will be bringing their IP’s over to the competitor’s consoles Switch, Switch 2 and PS5.

Switch is outpacing 2024 by ~16.4k. I expect that Switch will continue to sell close to 2024 numbers up until the Switch 2 is released (rumored by June). So for simplicity by June 30, 2025 Switch will be at 1.32M. Once the Switch 2 is released we should expect the rest of the year to have around a 50% drop in hardware sales. Meaning Switch by Dec 31, 2025 will reach 2.18M.

Switch 2 is announced to have a brand new Mario Kart sometime in its lifecycle. Mario Kart is one of the highest selling Nintendo Switch games in Japan. Switch 2 is also rumored to launch in June. Bloomberg reports that Nintendo wants to sell 20M Switch 2 hardware units in 2025. We should expect Japan to make up at a minimum of 1/3 this amount. Switch 2 by Dec 31, 2025 will sell 6.67M units. This feels really high.

PS5 is behind 2024 by ~19.2k. Considering that the first week of January is usually one of the highest selling weeks (with exceptions of huge AAA game releases) we should expect PS5 to continue to sell at a -24.67% YoY decline until June 30, 2025 reaching 596k. 

They declared that no existing major franchises will get a release before March 31, 2025 and will announce existing major franchises in the State of Play in February. We should expect a reasonable amount of PS5 exclusives in 2025 and with the release of GTA VI nearing the end of 2025 PS5 will make a considerable jump in hardware sales during the second half of the year. By December 31, 2025 PS5 will reach 2.11M.

Xbox Series is ahead of 2024 by 160 units. I expect Xbox Series to be selling near but below what they sold in 2024 as they bring their IPs over to PS5 and Switch 2. By June 30, 2025, Xbox Series will reach 57k. By Dec 31, 2025 Xbox Series will reach 110k.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

Norion on 21 January 2025
Shtinamin_ said:

PS5 is behind 2024 by ~19.2k. Considering that the first week of January is usually one of the highest selling weeks (with exceptions of huge AAA game releases) we should expect PS5 to continue to sell at a -24.67% YoY decline until June 30, 2025 reaching 596k. 

They declared that no existing major franchises will get a release before March 31, 2025 and will announce existing major franchises in the State of Play in February. We should expect a reasonable amount of PS5 exclusives in 2025 and with the release of GTA VI nearing the end of 2025 PS5 will make a considerable jump in hardware sales during the second half of the year. By December 31, 2025 PS5 will reach 2.11M.

That's way too high considering the PS5 didn't even reach 1.5m last year. GTA 6 will help but I would guess the series is not as popular in Japan compared to the west so it'll only do so much to make up for the price increase harming sales. 



Around the Network
Bofferbrauer2 on 22 January 2025

How did I mess this thread so long?

Subscribed, of course.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

XtremeBG on 22 January 2025

I don't know why people continue to believe, or at least act like it's 100% lock GTA VI will release this year. Many of the previous Rockstar titles have been delayed. Many games in general are getting delayed. And especially the big AAA games also are getting delayed left and right in the last decade or even more. Let alone when you threw game in development for 12 years. GTA IV was a far smaller ambition than the V and the VI and ended getting delayed. GTA V released almost 2 years after it's first trailer. And all the people truly believe and expect a far bigger and ambitious game to launch with the same window of 2 years between it's first trailer and it's release ? Absurd. GTA VI is getting delayed to 2026. Mark my word. I've been saying this since the game got announced. I wouldn't say it's impossible in the end to release this year, but I highly doubt it, and the chance for me are something like 80/20 that it won't release this year.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 22 January 2025

My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Bofferbrauer2 on 22 January 2025
Norion said:
Shtinamin_ said:

PS5 is behind 2024 by ~19.2k. Considering that the first week of January is usually one of the highest selling weeks (with exceptions of huge AAA game releases) we should expect PS5 to continue to sell at a -24.67% YoY decline until June 30, 2025 reaching 596k. 

They declared that no existing major franchises will get a release before March 31, 2025 and will announce existing major franchises in the State of Play in February. We should expect a reasonable amount of PS5 exclusives in 2025 and with the release of GTA VI nearing the end of 2025 PS5 will make a considerable jump in hardware sales during the second half of the year. By December 31, 2025 PS5 will reach 2.11M.

That's way too high considering the PS5 didn't even reach 1.5m last year. GTA 6 will help but I would guess the series is not as popular in Japan compared to the west so it'll only do so much to make up for the price increase harming sales. 

There's no guarantee that GTA VI will come out this year, and I doubt it can reverse what the price hikes cut off in terms of sales.

As for @Shtinamin_ predicting 2.11M, I'm not sure if this wasn't a typo. I'm expecting more something like 1M-1.2M, so if you would reverse the numbers it would come down to the same range.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

killer7 on 22 January 2025

First i think the original Switch could get to 1,5- (more likley) 2 million this year in Japan. For Switch 2 it entirely depends on when that thing is launching and the launch line up. I highly doubt we will see a Mario Kart, let alone a 3D Mario day 1. I also doubt MP4B will be cross gen. I do not share this widly spread believe. IF MK or 3D Mario launched day 1, sales would be amazing no doubt but first MK and 3D Mario would canibalize themselves and steal away each others thunder. I am sure Nintendo does not want to see that. Also it would canibalize any third party game as most people would only go with Mario Kart/ 3D Mario, leading to the possibility 3rds would cry that their games do not sell on Nintendo systems wich will lead to the possibility, that Switch 2 looses 3rd party support early on before the generation has even started. I don't know why everyone thinks MP4B woukd be Cross gen. Metroid never was. It will deffinitly be on Switch 1 otherwise Nintendo would loose a lot of trust...



Norion on 22 January 2025
XtremeBG said:

I don't know why people continue to believe, or at least act like it's 100% lock GTA VI will release this year. Many of the previous Rockstar titles have been delayed. Many games in general are getting delayed. And especially the big AAA games also are getting delayed left and right in the last decade or even more. Let alone when you threw game in development for 12 years. GTA IV was a far smaller ambition than the V and the VI and ended getting delayed. GTA V released almost 2 years after it's first trailer. And all the people truly believe and expect a far bigger and ambitious game to launch with the same window of 2 years between it's first trailer and it's release ? Absurd. GTA VI is getting delayed to 2026. Mark my word. I've been saying this since the game got announced. I wouldn't say it's impossible in the end to release this year, but I highly doubt it, and the chance for me are something like 80/20 that it won't release this year.

For me I'm just going along with it releasing this year for my predictions since that's the current target and to keep things simpler. If it gets delayed I'll change the predictions.

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Norion said:

That's way too high considering the PS5 didn't even reach 1.5m last year. GTA 6 will help but I would guess the series is not as popular in Japan compared to the west so it'll only do so much to make up for the price increase harming sales.

There's no guarantee that GTA VI will come out this year, and I doubt it can reverse what the price hikes cut off in terms of sales.

As for @Shtinamin_ predicting 2.11M, I'm not sure if this wasn't a typo. I'm expecting more something like 1M-1.2M, so if you would reverse the numbers it would come down to the same range.

A delay is entirely possible yeah and I said that it'll only do so much to make up for that so there's agreement there.

He said just under 600k by the end of June and that there will be a considerable jump in hardware sales in the 2nd half of the year so I doubt it's a typo since he said he expects higher sales in the 2nd half of the year.