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First i think the original Switch could get to 1,5- (more likley) 2 million this year in Japan. For Switch 2 it entirely depends on when that thing is launching and the launch line up. I highly doubt we will see a Mario Kart, let alone a 3D Mario day 1. I also doubt MP4B will be cross gen. I do not share this widly spread believe. IF MK or 3D Mario launched day 1, sales would be amazing no doubt but first MK and 3D Mario would canibalize themselves and steal away each others thunder. I am sure Nintendo does not want to see that. Also it would canibalize any third party game as most people would only go with Mario Kart/ 3D Mario, leading to the possibility 3rds would cry that their games do not sell on Nintendo systems wich will lead to the possibility, that Switch 2 looses 3rd party support early on before the generation has even started. I don't know why everyone thinks MP4B woukd be Cross gen. Metroid never was. It will deffinitly be on Switch 1 otherwise Nintendo would loose a lot of trust...