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Forums - Sales - When will the Switch pass 160M?

 

When will the Switch pass 160M?

By end of June 2026 1 1.92%
 
By end of 2026 6 11.54%
 
By end of 2027 19 36.54%
 
By end of 2028 7 13.46%
 
Never 19 36.54%
 
Total:52

@CourageTCD reminded me of this poll. Vote who hasn't till now. Once the quarter report is out, I will renew the poll, since almost all of the votes were from late last year, before the holiday data released.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

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I voted Summer 2026? I was a bit optimistic it seems lol. Granted, I was operating under the assumption that Switch was going to hit its FY’25 target of 13.5mil…and not fall short nearly 3mil units.



Ok, according to Nintendo's own website, they have sold 153.10 Million Switch Units as of June 30, 2025.  Since this site just took Sony at their word, why aren't they taking Nintendo's at theirs.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html



NexusFX said:

Ok, according to Nintendo's own website, they have sold 153.10 Million Switch Units as of June 30, 2025.  Since this site just took Sony at their word, why aren't they taking Nintendo's at theirs.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html

trunkswd said he's sorry, he's too busy overestimating Xbox Series sales. So you'll have to wait.

Thanks for the official figures. I thought the Switch would surpass the PS2, but not anymore.



NexusFX said:

Ok, according to Nintendo's own website, they have sold 153.10 Million Switch Units as of June 30, 2025.  Since this site just took Sony at their word, why aren't they taking Nintendo's at theirs.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html

Shipped/sold 



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It will still 100% happen. Switch is still selling a lot of units.

I guess around end of 2026 early 2027



Poll renewed!

One year later, let's see what the votes will be.
Switch has just reached 154M shipped. There is one more decent holiday to go.
How will 2026 and 2027 be for the system? The clock is ticking.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Forecast for Switch 1 has been reduced from 4.5m to 4m.

So currently 156.12m by March 31st 2026. But wouldn't be surprised if it's adjusted down again. I'm not expecting it will reach 160m.



The pipe dream is over.



Easily before Holidays 2026, just after Summer 2026. And will go on to sell some millions more too. Move over PS2, everybody in their right mind could see this coming 3+ years ago anyway. 




Watching the events of the cosmos unfold in tears and solitude