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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

Before we stop the derailing, I never though super-etecoon commentaries were seriously made, but I guess those are hard to analyse sometimes on the internet ...

Anyway, back to the Switch discussion !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

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Mar1217 said:

Before we stop the derailing...

Anyway, back to the Switch discussion !

Back on course to the top of the duel tower.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown / Historical Showdown / YOY Charts / 140M+ Club Chart / Quantity of Games

XtremeBG said:
Mar1217 said:

Before we stop the derailing...

Anyway, back to the Switch discussion !

Back on course to the top of the duel tower.

I just want the Succession War arc to be over so they can make the anime adaptation happen ....



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Well Nintendo hasn't lowered the 13.5 sales forecast



143.42M, so just 16.58M to go!



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2.1m for FQ1 which is a solid start for a year that I had expected to finish at 11m. Nintendo, however, aims for 13.5m which is only 2.2m less than the year before. Through the first quarter the deficit is 1.81m, so from here on out Switch has to be almost flat for the remainder of the year. Because last year had TotK, it was expected that the deficit would be big for this quarter, so nothing has really changed regarding what has been talked about during the past few months in this thread.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.

RolStoppable said:

2.1m for FQ1 which is a solid start for a year that I had expected to finish at 11m. Nintendo, however, aims for 13.5m which is only 2.2m less than the year before. Through the first quarter the deficit is 1.81m, so from here on out Switch has to be almost flat for the remainder of the year. Because last year had TotK, it was expected that the deficit would be big for this quarter, so nothing has really changed regarding what has been talked about during the past few months in this thread.

It's not just TotK that released, but also the Super Mario Bros Movie, which additionally pushed both the console and Mario titles. This double punch however resulted in very muted holiday sales as everybody already their fix in spring, so it's quite possible Nintendo is banking on the possibility that holiday sales will make up for the other losses throughout the year.



so with the forecast unchanged, we will have Switch at 155 by the end of next March. possibly just before Switch 2 releases. still very much possible to get to 160+ mil lifetime



Switch!!!

So only 15 million left to reach PS2. Should be done by the end of next year.
DS should be reached by end of March.



2.10mil is certainly a lot stronger than I was personally expecting. Looking at  regional data, it appears as though either (i) VGChartz heavily underestimated NA sales figures or (ii) Nintendo overshipped this past quarter. With an average of ~210k shipped-per-month in NA >> average ~130k sold-per-month in NA…that’s a pretty massive discrepancy.

(@XtremeBG I recall you bringing up the poor showing in NA by NSW, so thought I would tag you here. Maybe stronger sales figures for July through September wouldn’t be so unprecedented after all. April through June was certainly tracking to be a weak quarter, with momentum having picked-up in late-June according to Famitsu Japanese data.)

Last edited by firebush03 - on 02 August 2024