By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

XtremeBG said:

So .. with the recent price hike of the one of the current gen systems, and very likely the Switch 2 soon, Switch 1 will be the most affordable system by a long shot. At just 230$ for the Lite or just 340$ for the OG model, this might be enough to prolong it sales .. for how long however? The Switch 2 price will most likely go up if not by 100$, then surely by at least 70$. So the cheapest gaming system above the Switch 1 will be close to 200$ more, and if you look at handhelds, then around 300$ more, which is big. And even if you compare the OG model instead of the Lite, the difference will again be a whopping 200$.

I wouldn’t be so sure about the Switch 2 price going up so soon.It’ll still be a while before we see it. And when/if it does happen, it’ll just a modest $50. And they’ll introduce the Lite model for around $400 to help mitigate that. 

Nintendo is in a totally different position from Sony and Microsoft in that the Switch 2 is just getting started while the other systems are on the way out. Sony/Microsoft are not nearly as concerned about hardware sales because they’ve pretty much already sold through as much hardware as they’re going to sell and their main focus/priority is now trying to sell software to the install base they’ve built. Any additional hardware sales is a bonus at this stage.

Nintendo, on the other hand, are trying to sell as many Switch 2s and build up that system’s install base as fast as humanly possible - Now and for the foreseeable future. So a price hike would be more counterproductive and damaging for them than for Sony/Microsoft. That’s why only the Switch 1 and the accessories for both systems got the price hike last year. Because the accessories are not nearly as essential as the console itself and the Switch 1 is on its very last leg. It makes more sense to squeeze as much profits as possible out of those systems than Switch 2. They’ll more likely eat the additional costs for Switch 2 and hope to make that money back on software, NSO subscriptions, and other ventures (the Mario Galaxy movie, theme parks, etc.)

Like I said, we probably won’t see them touch Switch 2’s price until the install base is much larger than now and they’re about to launch the Lite model to mitigate it. But there’s a chance that by then, the bubble will have (hopefully) popped and the outrageous prices will start cratering back down to more reasonable levels and they’ll just leave Switch 2’s price alone and launch the Switch 2 Lite in that $300-350 range.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - 2 days ago

Around the Network
XtremeBG said:

So .. with the recent price hike of the one of the current gen systems, and very likely the Switch 2 soon, Switch 1 will be the most affordable system by a long shot. At just 230$ for the Lite or just 340$ for the OG model, this might be enough to prolong it sales .. for how long however? The Switch 2 price will most likely go up if not by 100$, then surely by at least 70$. So the cheapest gaming system above the Switch 1 will be close to 200$ more, and if you look at handhelds, then around 300$ more, which is big. And even if you compare the OG model instead of the Lite, the difference will again be a whopping 200$.

Wow, you re considering.

Despite  being more optimistic than you tregarding the legs of NS, i dont expect to be benefited much from what  you state, which is factual of course. 

Will that difference make all of a sudden people in the west to opt for ns1? Perhaps, They can be deeming it pricey too for its age (except in france?) 

In japan there is an affordable region locked version of ns2. 

And who knows, They might even increase NS price, unless They decide to offset less sales for ns2 with pushing the "affordable" predecessor. Plus they can rush the release of ns2 lite imstead. 

As for the height of price hike, you must be right. Nintendo can take some hit to avoid higher raise. 

They have been selling ns at the same price nine years... 

Extremely successful mario movie and soon its sequel. 

They certaintly can withstand some loss, the matter is if They are willing. 

Last edited by tak13 - 2 days ago

tak13 said:

Wow, you re considering.

Despite  being more optimistic than you tregarding the legs of NS, i dont expect to be benefited much from what  you state, which is factual of course. 

Will that difference make all of a sudden people in the west to opt for ns1? Perhaps, They can be deeming it pricey too for its age (except in france?) 

In japan there is an affordable region locked version of ns2. 

And who knows, They might even increase NS price, unless They decide to offset less sales for ns2 with pushing the "affordable" predecessor. Plus they can rush the release of ns2 lite imstead. 

As for the height of price hike, you must be right. Nintendo can take some hit to avoid higher raise. 

They have been selling ns at the same price nine years... 

Extremely successful mario movie and soon its sequel. 

They certaintly can withstand some loss, the matter is if They are willing. 

Considering about what ? Adding a few more hundreds of units to the total sales? Sure. Reaching 160M only by this (if it really happen like the way I explain it)? No.

More like I wanted to see what people think about that. But yeah, if for real Switch 2 prices go up, and Switch 1 don't, I can see a little better legs for the Switch 1 than originally expected, but only slightly better. Not enough to reach 160M. Like 500k to 1M at most for the total sales. But @PAOerfulone has a point about the price hike of the Switch 2. Then again I won't be surprised if after all they just go out next week and announce it. I can expect everything after the last few price increases of all the manufacturers. This whole thing isn't normal and shouldn't be a real thing.



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

Nintendo has the chance to do a finisher to Sony if they wanted too.

Drop the price of the lite to $199 and pack in a digital game.



我是广州人

Ashadelo said:

Nintendo has the chance to do a finisher to Sony if they wanted too.

Drop the price of the lite to $199 and pack in a digital game.

That was the price before the the hike.

There is plenty of room for growth in Europe. 

169 suggested price + vat 199.

However, for example the console has dissappeared in my Country. 

Only oled stock in big retailers. 

Last edited by tak13 - 2 days ago

Around the Network

I wouldn't expect a Switch 1 price cut at this point. Looking at how sales have been it comes down to how long Nintendo wants to keep selling it and how sales hold up in Japan and RoW as sales have dropped a LOT in North America and Europe.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

In 2027 in Europe the 'Right to Repair' rules come into effect. This would mean a easy to replace battery.

It is rumored that the NS2 will get a redesign for the Euro region for this reason, but off course this could mean the end of the NS1 in the Euro region too.

I could though see NS1 soldier on for a long time in the Asian/Japan region like the NES/Famicom did.



Tober said:

In 2027 in Europe the 'Right to Repair' rules come into effect. This would mean a easy to replace battery.

It is rumored that the NS2 will get a redesign for the Euro region for this reason, but off course this could mean the end of the NS1 in the Euro region too.

I could though see NS1 soldier on for a long time in the Asian/Japan region like the NES/Famicom did.

NS1 is surely get discontinued in Europe. The sales decreased by around 65% this year there and should move a bit above 500k this year. Next year it will sell bellow 200k units, I don't think this is enough to justify a redesign and production line 

There are good chances for sales this year to be bellow 400k units in NA as well, this would be close to Wii U-levels of sales in 2016

Wii U ceased its production by January 2017, I think NS1 will at least keep being sold in NA in 2027 because the production will keep going on for Japan, but will have small retail presence

I'm expecting NS1 in NA in 2027 to be similar to 3DS in NA in 2020, having okay-ish sales in the first half of the year but poor sales in Q3 and Q4 as consequence of Nintendo diverting production to focus entirely on NS2 



tak13 said:
Ashadelo said:

Nintendo has the chance to do a finisher to Sony if they wanted too.

Drop the price of the lite to $199 and pack in a digital game.

That was the price before the the hike.

There is plenty of room for growth in Europe. 

169 suggested price + vat 199.

However, for example the console has dissappeared in my Country. 

Only oled stock in big retailers. 

The same is happening in my country and I guess in most of Europe: The Lite was either not or very poorly restocked whereas the OLED and standard versions got lots of restock recently.



IcaroRibeiro said:
Tober said:

In 2027 in Europe the 'Right to Repair' rules come into effect. This would mean a easy to replace battery.

It is rumored that the NS2 will get a redesign for the Euro region for this reason, but off course this could mean the end of the NS1 in the Euro region too.

I could though see NS1 soldier on for a long time in the Asian/Japan region like the NES/Famicom did.

NS1 is surely get discontinued in Europe. The sales decreased by around 65% this year there and should move a bit above 500k this year. Next year it will sell bellow 200k units, I don't think this is enough to justify a redesign and production line 

There are good chances for sales this year to be bellow 400k units in NA as well, this would be close to Wii U-levels of sales in 2016

Wii U ceased its production by January 2017, I think NS1 will at least keep being sold in NA in 2027 because the production will keep going on for Japan, but will have small retail presence

I'm expecting NS1 in NA in 2027 to be similar to 3DS in NA in 2020, having okay-ish sales in the first half of the year but poor sales in Q3 and Q4 as consequence of Nintendo diverting production to focus entirely on NS2 

Expect mass importing from Japan then. 

Anywise oled for instance is almost cheaper by 100 euros in Japan.

We will find out in 1 month.