With Xbox Series not one, but two price hikes in the last year, and sales reaching record lows per week of just under 30k in 2025, and very likely ending 2025 with sales less than 3M, how much more do you think the Series will drop in 2026 and how much do you think it will sell when the year is finished ?

On the one hand RAM crisis and MS not giving a hoot about hardware. On the other hand: GTA6 (assuming it isn't delayed again).

I say it'll sell somewhere between 1 and 4 million!

2025 is looking to be about 2.5m so it should end up selling somewhere between 1-1.5m this year. There is GTA 6 assuming no more delays but it'll likely get yet another price increase due to the RAM issue so I'll play it safe and say 1.2-1.3m for about a 50% decline YoY. Though the Xbox Series has been consistently overestimated for a good while so it wouldn't really surprise me that much if it fails to even reach 1m. In general I dunno why someone would buy one over a PS5 to plays games on at this point since that console has much better value not only being cheaper but also getting all the first party Xbox games now.

Most Xbox gamers are (or at least were) GamePass subscribers, and most GamePass subscribers are Xbox gamers. This probably remains Xbox's main selling point over Playstation. And millions of people will just pick the brand they're more familiar with regardless of quality or reputation.

I am from the small number of people who bought Xbox Series in 2025, but it was just because of the hot deal I got. Brand new S console for 250€. Otherwise I would pick the PS5 of course, which was like 350€ or 400€, at that time (the month of May, again on sale).

Voted for 1.5M - 2M. I think 1.5M is not so hard for the Xbox to hit. It just needs to sell 125k per month on average, or 100-110k per month and have some mediocre holiday boost to compensate for the difference. GTA 6 also can help it.

1.5 million sounds right. With how much sales are cratering, 2026 should be the last year it cracks the million or more mark. 2027-2028 will probably the last year it's on the market.

The price is the biggest factor. If the huge increase in RAM causes another price hike below 1.5M. But if the price remains the same I'd say it can get to 1.5M to 2M in 2026 with the lineup of Halo Campaign Evolved, Gears of War E-Day, Forza Horizon 6, Fable, Call of Duty 2026, and of course GTA6. Yes I realize they are all day one on PC and at least Halo and CoD will be day one on PS5. Forza we know will launch at a later date on PS5. 

I would've said that GP was the one big advantage left before but then the big price increase happened so I dunno why someone would decide to get an Xbox for that now but not when it was way cheaper alongside the console itself being cheaper. The value of GP isn't great any more really. The latter part is why the next Xbox will get still get any notable level of sales at all but for the current gen there won't exactly be that many Xbox One users left at this point but I guess that could account for some amount of its sales this year. A small amount of Forza Horizon fans still playing FH5 on the Xbox One might decide to get an Xbox Series instead of waiting longer to play it on a PS5.

If GTAVI releases, then 1.2 - 1.5mil. Otherwise, 800k - 1.2mil.

The increase in ram prices is likely to cause a price hike. They already increased it by $150 and didn't do any holiday deals, so clearly they have no intention of selling it at a loss.

Sales are so low there's even a chance the memory crisis brings forward their decision to stop making the thing or reduce the amount they plan to manufacture.