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Forums - Sales - How much Switch 2 will sell this holiday?

 

How much Switch 2 will sell this holiday?

Under 6M 1 3.57%
 
6-7M 9 32.14%
 
7-8M 13 46.43%
 
8-9M 4 14.29%
 
9M+ 1 3.57%
 
Total:28

Better late, than never. Switch 2 is out, and it's selling like hotcakes. It had the biggest launch in history, and even though it's launched at the half point of the year, it's sold more than PS5 by end of October (according to VGChartz). It did between 1.1M and 1.6M per month for the past few months and for the past 4 months has beaten the PS5 twice (50% of the cases, excluding launch month). How much do you think it will sell for both months combined, and even separate ? Write your opinion and vote. I will put again Switch 1 holidays chart here for reference, since I see most of you compare it to Switch 1's first year of 2017.

Last edited by XtremeBG - on 09 December 2025

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Comparing NS2 v NS1 October (WW): 1.3mil v 0.8mil.
Comparing NS2 v NS1 Black Friday (US): 300-370k (per Trunks’s early estimates) v 483k.
Comparing NS2 v NS1 November (JP): 415k v 372k (per Famitsu data).

It doesn’t seem clear how the Switch 2 will perform this Holiday (November/December) compared to NS1. However, my guess would be around—if not slightly higher—than NS1 Holiday 2017. Being that NS2 has almost exclusively outpaced NS1 so far, I expect this trend to continue into the holidays.

That said, 6-7mil is my prediction. (Though, more accurately, I would say 6.5-8mil.)



Yes I concur with what Firebush is going here with the analytics so far showing a similar holiday trajectory between the NS1 and the successor. With maybe a slight advantage to the newer system since it has so far a slight better momentum than the former.

So Switch 2 will do about 6.5M-7M I think.

Though a factor that could influence such statistic greatly would be it's performance in ROW territories where the Switch launch was up to date with the larger territories. It could enjoy a great season there since the SW2 has already established it's system worldwide.



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Depends on what Nintendo does.
https://www.techpowerup.com/343969/nintendo-switch-2-hardware-hit-by-41-price-jump-in-dram-nand-up-8



Random_Matt said:

Depends on what Nintendo does.
https://www.techpowerup.com/343969/nintendo-switch-2-hardware-hit-by-41-price-jump-in-dram-nand-up-8

That DRAM is evaluated at about 30$ in cost of production, which wouldn't involve in a marginally big increase really. 

Still considering the market conditions, it goes to say Nintendo could be quite tempted to diverge those costs to the consumers the same ways they up their prices for accessories n all. Impacting everything but the hardware price itself ... Or yeah they cut in the slim profit margin from the hardware ... 



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Random_Matt said:

Depends on what Nintendo does.
https://www.techpowerup.com/343969/nintendo-switch-2-hardware-hit-by-41-price-jump-in-dram-nand-up-8

No cause it's safe to say that Nintendo won't be raising the price of the Switch 2 in the next couple weeks.



units are made and ship with the old price maybe next year the cost of a Nintendo Swicth console may increased but rigth now it will not and that's a very good reason to buy rigth now and not to wait till 2026; and maybe pay more for the system. RAM problems will be worse in 2026.



34 years playing games.