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Forums - Sales - November 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

November 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from November 2 to 29 and will be released on December 17.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
  4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for November 2024:

  1. PS5 - 1,238K
  2. NS - 596K
  3. XS - 434K

VGChartz US estimates for October 2025:

  1. NS2 - 328K
  2. PS5 - 211K
  3. XS - 75K
  4. NS - 52K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

  • Black Friday
  • PS5 discounted by $100 starting November 21
  • Major game releases
    • Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 (PS5, XS, PC) on November 14
    • Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment (NS2) on November 6
    • Kirby Air Riders (NS2) on November 20

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

  • Nov (Nov 2 - Nov 29) - Dec 17
  • Dec (Nov 30 - Jan 3) - Jan 22

RESULTS

Rankings

Units: PS5 > NS2 > NEX > XS > NS
Revenue : PS5 > NS2 > XS

Link to the VGChartz article here.

PS5 Best-Seller in the US in Worst November Since 1995

The PlayStation 5 was the best-selling console in the US for November 2025 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four-week period of November 2 to 29.

This is the first time the PlayStation 5 came in first place since the launch of the Nintendo Switch 2.

The Nintendo Switch 2 came in second place in terms of units and dollars for the month. The NEX Playground ranked in third place in terms of units sold, while the Xbox Series X|S came in third place in terms of dollars.

Units sold for the PS5 is down over 40 percent year-on-year, while the Xbox Series X|S is down 70 percent, and the combined sales of the Switch 2 and Switch are down over 10 percent from Switch sales last year (via IGN).

There were 1.6 million units of video game hardware sold during the month, which is the lowest total for a November since the 1.4 million sold in 1995. The average price of hardware sold reached a record high of $439 for November, up 11 percent year-on-year.

Overall spending on video games in November decreased four percent year-on-year from $6.12 billion to $5.86 billion. Spending on video game content increased one percent from 4.80 billion to $4.84 billion, while video game hardware sales fell 27 percent from $949 million to $695 million. Spending on accessories decreased 13 percent from $375 million to $327 million.

In terms of 2025 total sales, overall spending on video games is up one percent year-on-year from $52.31 billion to $52.92 billion. Spending on video game content increased one percent from $45.95 billion to $46.36 billion, while video game hardware sales grew 10 percent from $3.86 billion to $4.23 billion. Spending on accessories decreased seven percent from $2.51 billion to $2.33 billion.

"The release of Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 marked the 18th consecutive year that a CoD franchise release has been the best-selling game of its release month, while PS5 led hardware in both unit and dollar sales," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella.

He added, "Total projected spending across video game hardware, content and accessories fell 4% when compared to a year ago, to $5.9 billion. Hardware, accessory and console content declines drove the change.

"Monthly hardware spending dropped by 27% when compared to a year ago, to $695M. This is the lowest video game hardware spending total for a November month since the $455M reached during the November 2005 tracking period.

"1.6 million units of video game hardware across all platforms sold in the US during November, the lowest total for a November month since 1995 (1.4 million). The average price paid for a new unit of video game hardware reached an all-time November high of $439, up 11% compared to a year ago."

Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 was the best-selling game in November and is the seventh best-selling game of 2025 after one month. There was a double-digit percentage sales decline compared to November 2024.

This is the 18th straight year a Call of Duty game was the best-selling game in its launch month. It started with Call of Duty: World at War in November 2008.

There were two other new releases in the top 20 with Kirby Air Riders in 10th place and Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment in 11th place.

Several titles saw a boost in sales due to discounts . This includes NBA 2K26, EA Sports FC 26, EA Sports College Football 26, Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds, Marvel’s Spider-Man 2, and more.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for November 2025:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in 2025 year-to-date:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PlayStation platforms in November 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Xbox platforms in November 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Nintendo platforms in November 2025:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PC in November 2025:

Last edited by trunkswd - on 17 December 2025

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Around the Network
  1. NS2 - 1.5M
  2. PS5 - 1M
  3. NS - 200K
  4. XS - 150K


My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

1. PS5 - 1.3m
2. NS2 - 1.1m
3. XS - 300k
4. NS - 175k



NS2 1.5 million
PS5 900k
Xbox 250k
Switch 200k



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Switch 2- 1.4 million
PS5- 1.1 million
Xbox- 210k
Switch- 160k



Around the Network

[REV] 930M

1. [PS5] 930K
2. [NS2] 740K
3. [XBS] 140K
4. [NSW] 85K



Can't really put into words why, but the USA market for me personally has become tough to predict. It's also been a very strange back and forth between USA and Europe looking at PS5.

Nevertheless:

• PS5 - 1405K
• Switch 2 - 1360K
• Switch - 356K
• X|S - 226K (298K)

Last edited by Panicradio - on 01 December 2025

1. PS5 - 1.45 million
2. NS2 - 1.44 million
3. XBS - 120k

My prediciton is that PS5 and NS2 are narly tied. It could go either way but given the huge Black Friday sale that started a whole week earlier, I am going to give it to the PS5.
And somehow, I still think that the PS5 is gonna sell more dureing next November and the GTA 6 release.



CosmicSex said:

1. PS5 - 1.45 million
2. NS2 - 1.44 million
3. XBS - 120k

My prediciton is that PS5 and NS2 are narly tied. It could go either way but given the huge Black Friday sale that started a whole week earlier, I am going to give it to the PS5.
And somehow, I still think that the PS5 is gonna sell more dureing next November and the GTA 6 release.

Where is Switch 1 ?

And... if it releases next November at all.. 2 delays .. will there be third one ?



My primary threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart

Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2

XtremeBG said:
CosmicSex said:

1. PS5 - 1.45 million
2. NS2 - 1.44 million
3. XBS - 120k

My prediciton is that PS5 and NS2 are narly tied. It could go either way but given the huge Black Friday sale that started a whole week earlier, I am going to give it to the PS5.
And somehow, I still think that the PS5 is gonna sell more dureing next November and the GTA 6 release.

Where is Switch 1 ?

And... if it releases next November at all.. 2 delays .. will there be third one ?

I don't have a Switch 1 prediction but I assume it will be above the XBS by quite a lot.  

As far as the delay... following the trends of the past, we should be good on the next November.   I think both Switch 2 and PS5 will have massive months.  I actually believe that Next November will be a record month around  the industry.   It may not be a huge boost for Xbox but it will be enough of a boost to stave off any further YoY declines.