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Forums - Sales - May 2026 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

Mat 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from May 3 to May 30 and will be released on June 26.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
  4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for May 2025:

  1. PS5 - 219K
  2. NS - 79K
  3. XS - 73K

VGChartz US estimates for April 2026:

  1. NS2 - 275K
  2. PS5 - 125K
  3. XS - 53K
  4. NS - 28K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

  • PS5 -Full month of higher price
    • PS5 DE - $500 to $600
    • PS5 Disc - $550 to $650
    • PS5 Pro - $750 to $900
  • NS2 - People buying it before Sep 1 price hike (Announced May 8)

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

  • May (May 3 - May 30) - Jun 26
  • Jun (May 31 - Jul 4) - Jul 22
  • Jul (Jul 5 - Aug 1) - Aug 19
  • Aug (Aug 2 - Aug 29) - Oct 8
  • Sep (Aug 30 - Oct 3) - Oct 22
  • Oct (Oct 4 - Oct 31) - Nov 19


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Around the Network

  • NS2 - 350K
  • PS5 - 100K
  • XS - 65K
  • NS - 25K



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This will be the first one with the misfortune of price hike, right?

Last edited by tak13 - 11 hours ago

Ah, you have mentioned it the op.
The prediction of @XtremBG made me wonder.
However, Americans have more time available to purchase one before the increase , so in the end 350k might be a good call.



1. NS2 230k
2. PS5 98k
3. XS 52k
4. NS 24k



Around the Network

1. NS2 370k
2. PS5 88k
3. XS 51k
4. NS 32k



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won