Mat 2025 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from May 3 to May 30 and will be released on June 26.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000
4. [#4 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for May 2025:

1. PS5 - 219K
2. NS - 79K
3. XS - 73K

VGChartz US estimates for April 2026:

1. NS2 - 275K
2. PS5 - 125K
3. XS - 53K
4. NS - 28K

Possible impact on hardware sales:

• PS5 -Full month of higher price
  • PS5 DE - $500 to $600
  • PS5 Disc - $550 to $650
  • PS5 Pro - $750 to $900
• NS2 - People buying it before Sep 1 price hike (Announced May 8)

Current schedule for Circana (NPD):

• May (May 3 - May 30) - Jun 26
• Jun (May 31 - Jul 4) - Jul 22
• Jul (Jul 5 - Aug 1) - Aug 19
• Aug (Aug 2 - Aug 29) - Oct 8
• Sep (Aug 30 - Oct 3) - Oct 22
• Oct (Oct 4 - Oct 31) - Nov 19

Results

Units: NS2 > PS5 > XBS > NSW
Revenue: NS2 > PS5 > XBS > NSW

Given the data provided by Mat we get this for the month:

1. NS2 ~254K
2. PS5 ~93K
3. XS ~64K
4. NS1 ~35K

Link to the VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Best-Seller in the US in May 2026, 007 First Light Debuts in 1st

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in the US for May 2026 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four-week period of May 3 to 30.

Lifetime sales for the Switch 2 through 12 months are at 5.9 million units in the US. It is the second fastest video game hardware in US tracked history with it only behind the Game Boy Advance, which sold 6.5 million units in the same amount of time.

The PlayStation 5 came in second place once again in terms of units sold and dollar sales, followed by the Xbox Series X|S in third place.

The PlayStation 5 in terms of dollar sales is down 43 percent year-on-year, while unit sales are down 58 percent. Xbox Series X|S dollar sales are up seven percent, while unit sales are down 12 percent. PlayStation hardware units fell to the lowest for the month of May since May 2000, while for Xbox unit sales are the lowest ever for the month of May.

The average price of a video game hardware unit sold increased 14 percent year-on-year to $502. The average PS5 price or the month increased 33 percent to $672, while Xbox Series is up 22 percent to $524.

Overall spending on video games in May increased three percent year-on-year from $4.08 billion to $4.18 billion. Spending on video game content was up one percent from $3.74 billion to $3.77 billion, while video game hardware sales increased 38 percent from $180 million to $239 million. Spending on accessories increased eight percent from $155 million to $1568million.

In terms of 2026 total sales, overall spending on video games is up four percent year-on-year from $22.04 billion to $23.00 billion. Spending on video game content increased three percent from $19.91 billion to $20.43 billion, while video game hardware sales grew 37 percent from $1.15 billion to $1.58 billion. Spending on accessories is up less than one percent from $976 million to $979 million.

"007 First Light and Nintendo Switch 2 Drive 3% US Video Game Spending Growth in May 2026.," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella.

He added, "US video game spending reached $4.2 billion in May 2026, an increase of 3% when compared to a year ago. Year-to-date spending finished May 4% higher than 2025, at $23.0 billion."

007 First Light was the best-selling game in US in May 2026 and is already the fourth best-selling game of 2026 year-to-date. It was also the best-selling game on PlayStation consoles in terms of full game dollar sales.

Launch month full game dollar sales for 007 First Light was the highest ever for a video game based on the James Bond franchise.

Forza Horizon 6 was the second best-selling game for the month and already the fifth best-selling game of the year. It was the best-selling game on Xbox and PC in terms of full game dollar sales.

Other games to debut in the top 10 include LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight in third place, Subnautica 2 in fourth place, and Yoshi and the Mysterious Book in eighth place.

Here are the top 10 best-selling games in terms of dollars for May 2026:

Here are the top 10 best-selling games in May year-to-date:

• NS2 - 350K
• PS5 - 100K
• XS - 65K
• NS - 25K

The latest report release of the year! 

This will be the first one with the misfortune of price hike, right?

Ah, you have mentioned it the op.
The prediction of @XtremBG made me wonder.
However, Americans have more time available to purchase one before the increase , so in the end 350k might be a good call.

1. NS2 230k
2. PS5 98k
3. XS 52k
4. NS 24k

1. NS2 370k
2. PS5 88k
3. XS 51k
4. NS 32k

Bumping this as a reminder to get your predictions in. Still got 2 weeks and 2 days to go.

1. NS2 250k
2. PS5 135k
3. XS 65k
4. NS 30k

Switch 2 is about to have a ridiculous upcoming few months. Gonna get pretty ugly once September hits, though.

Totally agree.  Its funny because there is just so much to play and it feels like all these releases are getting herded together by GTA... on yeah we git GTA 6 too.   I'm gonna say that as a gamers, it really is great to have so much to choose from.  

The real loser is our wallets!