With the Switch 2 now reaching 5M sales in Japan vs PS5s 7,5M, when do you think Switch 2 will overtake PS5 in Japan?
When will Switch 2 overtake PS5 lifetime sales in Japan? | |||
| September (2026) | 1 | 8.33% | |
| October (2026) | 0 | 0% | |
| November (2026) | 3 | 25.00% | |
| December (2026) | 6 | 50.00% | |
| January (2027) | 1 | 8.33% | |
| February (2027) | 0 | 0% | |
| March (2027) | 1 | 8.33% | |
| Total: | 12 | ||
With the Switch 2 now reaching 5M sales in Japan vs PS5s 7,5M, when do you think Switch 2 will overtake PS5 in Japan?


EDIT: NVM, that will teach me to post at 10pm when I am half asleep lmao
Last edited by curl-6 - 3 days ago
| curl-6 said: 1.5 million to go, if it holds an average baseline of say 50k that's 30 weeks or about 7.5 months, which would be November. |
Its 2,5M to go (5M vs 7,5M) and not to mention PS5 will continue to add on that number the coming months, so would more likely be around 7,7-7,8 when Switch 2 is closing in on it.


PS5 has slowed to a crawl, moving at around 50k a month at its current baseline which would get it to say 7.85m by the holidays, assuming it doesn't fall even further.
If Switch 2 has a strong holiday lineup and a couple more big games sprinked throughout the rest of the year, it could possibly make it around the time the new year rolls around, or in early 2027.
A lot will depend on what their software schedule looks like over the next 9 months.
Last edited by curl-6 - 3 days ago
By December.
Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / JP 2025 / JP 2026 / 2026 / 2025 / 2024 / 2023 / 2022 / 2021
Lifetime Showdowns: Global / Regional / Historical / YOY Charts / 150M+ Club Chart
PS5 vs SW2 in 2026 / Best holiday months / When will the Switch pass 160M? / LT expectations of: Switch / PS5 / XBSX / Switch 2


Definitely November or (my guess) December. NS2 should be able to sell 1-2 million in just those two months alone assuming nothing catastrophic happens between now and then.


| curl-6 said: EDIT: NVM, that will teach me to post at 10pm when I am half asleep lmao |
10pm?? You’re half asleep at 10pm?! I’m still working/studying/exercising at the time of day lol. I’m usually not out until 2am.


firebush03 said:
10pm?? You’re half asleep at 10pm?! I’m still working/studying/exercising at the time of day lol. I’m usually not out until 2am. |
I used to stay up til the am hours when I was younger, but as I get older I find I need my full 8 hours sleep, and it takes me hours of lying in bed to drop off (thanks ADHD brain) so I need to be in bed by around 10pm if I wanna be asleep by midnight and get 8 hours without sleeping in too much.
I'm also on some pretty powerful meds for anxiety and the ones I take at night make me drowsy.
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